NHL model output for January 5, 2026. Pick, sizing, reasoning, and final result.
Gridiron & Wine's NHL model fired Detroit Red Wings Moneyline (+130) for Detroit Red Wings vs. Ottawa Senators on January 5, 2026, sized at 1.5 units.
Underdog moneyline edge — model fair probability exceeds the closing-line implied probability after vig. The model only fires when its fair probability beats the market by enough margin to clear the tier threshold.
The NHL pick on Detroit Red Wings vs. Ottawa Senators graded as a WIN for +1.95u.
Every Gridiron & Wine pick involving the Detroit Red Wings or the Ottawa Senators is logged on their respective team archive pages, with rolling W-L and ROI.
Every Gridiron & Wine NHL pick is logged and published — wins, losses, and pushes alike. No deletions. No quiet retirements. The full track record is verified here.
Learn how the model works on the NHL picks page, or see the glossary for any unfamiliar terms.