WNBA model output for July 28, 2026. Pick, sizing, reasoning, and final result.
Gridiron & Wine's WNBA model fired Portland Fire Moneyline (+545) for Portland Fire vs. Las Vegas Aces on July 28, 2026, sized at 0.8 units.
Moneyline edge — MPDM and Four Factors models agree the pick's win probability exceeds the moneyline's implied probability after vig. The model only fires when its fair probability beats the market by enough margin to clear the tier threshold.
The WNBA pick on Portland Fire vs. Las Vegas Aces graded as a LOSS for -0.75u.
Every Gridiron & Wine pick involving the Portland Fire or the Las Vegas Aces is logged on their respective team archive pages, with rolling W-L and ROI.
Every Gridiron & Wine WNBA pick is logged and published — wins, losses, and pushes alike. No deletions. No quiet retirements. The full track record is verified here.
Learn how the model works on the WNBA picks page, or see the glossary for any unfamiliar terms.