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Research

Research Notes

Betting ideas from members and from our desk, tested at the price we actually bet and checked out of sample. Every note says plainly whether the idea held up.

• RejectedNFL · Totals

  Does the highest NFL total of the week go over?

  Each week one NFL game carries the highest posted total. Does that game go over more often than the price implies?

• RejectedNFL · Spreads

  Which NFL teams win more than their scoring says?

  Some NFL teams have a better record than their points scored and allowed would predict, usually by winning close games. Is betting against those teams, or backing the ones with a worse record than their scoring, profitable against the spread?