WNBA model output for July 19, 2026. Pick, sizing, reasoning, and final result.
Gridiron & Wine's WNBA model fired Connecticut Sun Moneyline (+150) for Connecticut Sun vs. Phoenix Mercury on July 19, 2026, sized at 1.0 units.
Moneyline edge — MPDM and Four Factors models agree the pick's win probability exceeds the moneyline's implied probability after vig. The model only fires when its fair probability beats the market by enough margin to clear the tier threshold.
The WNBA pick on Connecticut Sun vs. Phoenix Mercury graded as a LOSS for -1.00u.
Every Gridiron & Wine pick involving the Connecticut Sun or the Phoenix Mercury is logged on their respective team archive pages, with rolling W-L and ROI.
Every Gridiron & Wine WNBA pick is logged and published — wins, losses, and pushes alike. No deletions. No quiet retirements. The full track record is verified here.
Learn how the model works on the WNBA picks page, or see the glossary for any unfamiliar terms.