Home › Game previews › MLB › October 2026 › Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Guardians

MLB · October 5, 2026

Chicago White Sox vs Cleveland Guardians Final — October 5, 2026

Chicago White Sox

84-78

Starting pitcher Anthony Kay Probable

FINAL

Cleveland Guardians

84-77

Starting pitcher Gavin Williams Probable

Monday, October 5 · 5:10 PM ET

CHWStarting pitchersseason to dateCLE

4.44

ERA

3.76

142nd4.75

FIP

3.4730th

158.0

Innings

184.1

Starts

CHWOffense2026 regular season to dateCLE

5th4.79

R/G

4.1924th

CHWDefenseCLE

14th4.44

RA/G

4.138th

CHWTeamCLE

9th+0.35

Run diff/G

+0.0613th

CHWSeason ratingCLE

11th+0.27

Margin rtg

-0.0416th

23rd-0.08

SOS

-0.1024th

84-78

Regular-season record

84-77

CHWLast 10 gamesCLE

Game by game

7-3

Last 10

8-2

+22

Net

+21

Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)

Injuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel

CHWRest & travelCLE

308 mi495 km

Travel to the game

Home

+1 hclock change vs home

Time-zone change

Home

CHWKey injuriesCLE

Luis Castillo SP15-day IL

Players out or limited

None listed

About these numbers

Probable starters as listed by MLB, captured October 5, 6:15 a.m. ET. Season pitching line before game time; FIP rank among the 188 pitchers with at least 10 starts (1st = lowest).

2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (30 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

Margin of each of the last 10 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.

Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.

No key players listed.

Key players only. Injury report and probable pitchers as of October 4, 8:10 p.m. ET.

The pre-game matchup

The White Sox (84-78) visited the Guardians (84-77) on Monday, October 5 at 5:10 PM ET.

The White Sox score 4.79 runs per game (5th of 30) and allow 4.44 (14th). The Guardians score 4.19 runs per game (24th of 30) and allow 4.13 (8th).

The total closed 6.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (White Sox +130, Guardians -155) prices the White Sox at 42% and the Guardians at 58%.

Written from the numbers available before kickoff.

Result

Final score and result vs the closing line

Chicago White Sox 4, Cleveland Guardians 3

Chicago White Sox won by 1.

Against the closing spread (Cleveland Guardians -1.5): Chicago White Sox covered.
Combined score 7 vs the closing total of 6.5: Over.
Chicago White Sox closed at +130 on the moneyline (a 42% no-vig market-implied chance).

Market

Closing line and line movement

Run lineno move

OpenGuardians -1.5 (+150)
White Sox +1.5 (-180)

CloseGuardians -1.5 (+148)
White Sox +1.5 (-180)

Totalno move

Open6.5 (o -118 / u -101)

Close6.5 (o -120 / u +100)

Moneyline

OpenWhite Sox +130 42%
Guardians -155 58%

CloseWhite Sox +130 42%
Guardians -155 58%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Matchup

Head-to-head

The teams have met 52 times since 2023: the White Sox won 22 and the Guardians 30.

Date	Score	Line	Total
Sep 16, 2026	White Sox 3, Guardians 6 Guardians won
Sep 15, 2026	White Sox 6, Guardians 7 Guardians won
Sep 14, 2026	White Sox 7, Guardians 3 White Sox won
Aug 9, 2026	Guardians 3, White Sox 5 White Sox won
Aug 8, 2026	Guardians 3, White Sox 6 White Sox won

Meetings since 2023, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.

Teams