Home › Game previews › MLB › October 2026 › Milwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays

MLB · October 27, 2026

Milwaukee Brewers vs Tampa Bay Rays Final — October 27, 2026

Milwaukee Brewers

103-59

Starting pitcher Dustin May Probable

FINAL

Tampa Bay Rays

98-64

Starting pitcher Griffin Jax Probable

Tuesday, October 27 · 8:00 PM ET

MILStarting pitchersseason to dateTB

4.70

ERA

3.53

45th3.63

FIP

3.7653rd

145.2

Innings

112.1

Starts

MILOffense2026 regular season to dateTB

2nd5.14

R/G

4.5412th

MILDefenseTB

4th3.81

RA/G

4.016th

MILTeamTB

1st+1.32

Run diff/G

+0.536th

MILLast 10 gamesTB

Game by game

8-2

Last 10

5-5

+14

Net

Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)

Injuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel

MILRest & travelTB

1,095 mi1,763 km

Travel to the game

Home

+1 hclock change vs home

Time-zone change

Home

MILKey injuriesTB

None listed

Players out or limited

Shane McClanahan SPOut

About these numbers

Probable starters as listed by MLB, captured October 27, 4:36 p.m. ET. Season pitching line before game time; FIP rank among the 188 pitchers with at least 10 starts (1st = lowest).

2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (30 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

Margin of each of the last 10 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.

Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.

No key players listed.

Key players only. Injury report and probable pitchers as of October 27, 10:10 a.m. ET.

The pre-game matchup

The Brewers (103-59) visited the Rays (98-64) on Tuesday, October 27 at 8:00 PM ET.

The Brewers score 5.14 runs per game (2nd of 30) and allow 3.81 (4th). The Rays score 4.54 runs per game (12th of 30) and allow 4.01 (6th).

The total closed at 7.5, up from 7 at the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Brewers -120, Rays +104) prices the Brewers at 53% and the Rays at 47%.

Written from the numbers available before kickoff.

Result

Final score and result vs the closing line

Milwaukee Brewers 3, Tampa Bay Rays 4

Tampa Bay Rays won by 1.

Against the closing spread (Tampa Bay Rays +1.5): Tampa Bay Rays covered.
Combined score 7 vs the closing total of 7.5: Under.
Tampa Bay Rays closed at +104 on the moneyline (a 47% no-vig market-implied chance).

Market

Closing line and line movement

Run lineno move

OpenRays +1.5 (-169)
Brewers -1.5 (+140)

CloseRays +1.5 (-171)
Brewers -1.5 (+141)

Totalup 0.5

Open7 (o -117 / u -111)

Close7.5 (o +104 / u -123)

Moneyline

OpenBrewers -130 54%
Rays +109 46%

CloseBrewers -120 53%
Rays +104 47%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Matchup

Head-to-head

The teams have met 12 times since 2023: the Brewers won 6 and the Rays 6.

Date	Score	Line	Total
Apr 1, 2026	Rays 2, Brewers 8 Brewers won
Mar 31, 2026	Rays 2, Brewers 6 Brewers won
Mar 30, 2026	Rays 3, Brewers 2 Rays won
May 11, 2025	Brewers 4, Rays 2 Brewers won
May 10, 2025	Brewers 2, Rays 3 Rays won

Meetings since 2023, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.

Teams