New York Rangers vs Detroit Red Wings Preview & Odds — October 2, 2026
Matchup preview
The Rangers visit the Red Wings on Friday, October 2 at 6:40 PM ET.
Last season (2025-26), the Rangers scored 2.90 goals per game (23rd of 32) and allowed 3.05 (13th). The Red Wings scored 2.94 goals per game (22nd of 32) and allowed 3.15 (19th). The Rangers earned 47.0% of available standings points (29th) and the Red Wings 56.1% (15th).
Expected-goals share (5-on-5), the share of 5-on-5 expected goals created: Rangers 48.4% (23rd), Red Wings 48.6% (21st). Shot-attempt share (5-on-5), the share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts: Rangers 48.9% (20th), Red Wings 48.8% (21st). High-danger chance share, the share of 5-on-5 high-danger chances: Rangers 49.0% (17th), Red Wings 48.5% (19th). These are last season's full-season numbers because the new season's sample is still small; rosters change over the offseason.
The total is 5.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Rangers +110, Red Wings -130) prices the Rangers at 46% and the Red Wings at 54%.
Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.
Tale of the tape
RangersFull 2025-26 regular season (last season), captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Goaltending head-to-head
Igor Shesterkin has made the most starts for the Rangers; last season he had 51 starts, a .912 save percentage and +18.8 goals saved above expected.
- This season1 start · .909 Sv% · +0.2 GSAx
- Last season51 starts · .912 Sv% · .859 HD Sv% · +18.8 GSAx · 5 back-to-back starts
Starter status as reported by Daily Faceoff or the NHL before game time; teams confirm starters close to puck drop. GSAx = goals saved above expected (Gridiron & Wine expected goals). HD Sv% = save rate on high-danger shots.
5-on-5 play
| 5-on-5 | Rangers | Red Wings |
|---|---|---|
| Expected-goals shareshare of 5-on-5 expected goals | 48.4%23rd | 48.6%21st |
| Expected goals for per 605-on-5 | 2.2630th | 2.4621st |
| Expected goals against per 605-on-5 | 2.4111th | 2.6022nd |
| Shot-attempt share (Corsi)5-on-5 | 48.9%20th | 48.8%21st |
| High-danger chance share5-on-5 | 49.0%17th | 48.5%19th |
| Shooting %5-on-5 | 9.5%17th | 8.1%30th |
| Save %5-on-5 | 91.4%9th | 90.5%17th |
| Paceshot attempts per 60, both teams | 115.018th | 118.26th |
| Expected-goals share, last 205-on-5 | 47.7%22nd | 47.6%23rd |
At 5-on-5 the Rangers share of expected goals is 48.4% (23rd) and the Red Wings share is 48.6% (21st).
2025-26 regular season, public NHL Lab tables; ranks out of 32 teams. Expected goals are Gridiron & Wine's own expected-goals numbers.
Special teams
| Special teams | Rangers | Red Wings |
|---|---|---|
| Power-play goals per 60per 60 power-play minutes | 9.026th | 8.1713th |
| Power-play expected goals per 60per 60 power-play minutes | 10.127th | 10.535th |
| Power-play unblocked attempts per 60 | 85.12nd | 82.98th |
| Power-play minutes per gametime on the man advantage | 4.328th | 4.98th |
| Penalty-kill goals allowed per 60per 60 shorthanded minutes | 7.4116th | 8.5727th |
| Penalty-kill expected goals allowed per 60 | 9.8121st | 9.1715th |
| Penalty-kill minutes per gametime shorthanded | 4.922nd | 4.13rd |
On the power play the Rangers generate 10.12 expected goals per 60 minutes (7th) against a Red Wings penalty kill allowing 9.17 (15th); the Red Wings generate 10.53 (5th) against a Rangers kill allowing 9.81 (21st).
2025-26 regular season. Rates are per 60 minutes of power-play or penalty-kill time.
Travel and schedule
The Rangers travel about 612 miles from home.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
Recent form
RangersRegular-season results this season, oldest to newest (OTL = overtime or shootout loss).
Head-to-head
The teams have met 21 times since 2018-19: the Rangers won 14 and the Red Wings 7.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Red Wings 1, Rangers 4 Rangers won | ||
| Nov 16, 2025 | Red Wings 2, Rangers 1 Red Wings won | Rangers -142 underdog won | 6 under |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Rangers 4, Red Wings 1 Rangers won | Red Wings -122 underdog won | 6 under |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Rangers 4, Red Wings 0 Rangers won | Rangers -220 favorite won | 6.5 under |
| Oct 17, 2024 | Rangers 5, Red Wings 2 Rangers won | Rangers -150 favorite won | 6.5 over |
Regular-season meetings since 2018-19, most recent first. Line = consensus closing moneyline favorite and total where line history is available.
Odds and line movement
Rangers +1.5 (-232)
Rangers +1.5 (-232)
Red Wings -130 54%
Red Wings -130 54%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Best available prices on Oct 2
- Over 6+103ProphetX
- Under 5.5+117Polymarket
- Rangers+122Novig
- Red Wings-122Polymarket
Dig deeper
Teams
New York Rangers
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Detroit Red Wings
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