Golden State Valkyries vs Phoenix Mercury Final — July 29, 2026
Last 10 games
Rest & travelrest and travel
Rest & travelAbout these numbers
Margin of each of the last 10 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
The pre-game matchup
The Valkyries visited the Mercury on Wednesday, July 29 at 10:00 PM ET.
The Valkyries closed as 3.5-point road favorites, with the Mercury getting the points at home. The spread opened at Valkyries -4.5. The total closed at 157.5, up from 155.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Valkyries -151, Mercury +125) prices the Valkyries at 58% and the Mercury at 42%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
Golden State Valkyries 89, Phoenix Mercury 91
Phoenix Mercury won by 2.
- Against the closing spread (Phoenix Mercury +3.5): Phoenix Mercury covered.
- Combined score 180 vs the closing total of 157.5: Over.
- Phoenix Mercury closed at +125 on the moneyline (a 42% no-vig market-implied chance).
Chance Quality Result
Based on the quality of shots each team created, Golden State Valkyries won 62% of G&W replays (Phoenix Mercury 38%). The result went the other way from the chances each team created.
The Chance Quality Result describes the chances each team created. It is not the official result and never changes it or any record.
The official play, graded
The official play on this game, at the price it was sent, graded against the final score.
Every official play is logged and graded, wins and losses alike. Full track record.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Valkyries -4.5 (-114)
Valkyries -3.5 (-105)
Mercury +162 36%
Mercury +125 42%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Head-to-head
The teams have met 6 times since 2024: the Valkyries won 2 and the Mercury 4.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2026 | Mercury 81, Valkyries 87 Valkyries won | ||
| May 10, 2026 | Mercury 79, Valkyries 95 Valkyries won | ||
| Aug 22, 2025 | Valkyries 72, Mercury 81 Mercury won | ||
| Aug 19, 2025 | Mercury 98, Valkyries 91 Mercury won | ||
| Jul 14, 2025 | Mercury 78, Valkyries 77 Mercury won |
Meetings since 2024, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.
Teams
Golden State Valkyries
- Golden State Valkyries team stats
- Golden State Valkyries at Atlanta Dream (Oct 29)
- Atlanta Dream 55, Golden State Valkyries 64 (Oct 26)
- Golden State Valkyries 67, Atlanta Dream 62 (Oct 24)
- Golden State Valkyries 71, Atlanta Dream 97 (Oct 21)
Phoenix Mercury
- Phoenix Mercury team stats
- Las Vegas Aces 100, Phoenix Mercury 82 (Sep 24)
- Dallas Wings 86, Phoenix Mercury 87 (Sep 21)
- Phoenix Mercury 82, Dallas Wings 87 (Sep 19)
Gridiron & Wine graded a pick on this game: see the archived pick.
More WNBA games on July 29, 2026
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