Portland Fire vs Phoenix Mercury Final — August 16, 2026
Last 10 games
Rest & travelrest and travel
Rest & travelAbout these numbers
Margin of each of the last 10 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
The pre-game matchup
The Fire visited the Mercury on Sunday, August 16 at 7:00 PM ET.
The Mercury closed as 5.5-point favorites at home against the Fire. The spread closed where it opened. The total closed at 177.5, up from 176.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Fire +170, Mercury -207) prices the Fire at 35% and the Mercury at 65%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
Portland Fire 88, Phoenix Mercury 85
Portland Fire won by 3.
- Against the closing spread (Phoenix Mercury -5.5): Portland Fire covered.
- Combined score 173 vs the closing total of 177.5: Under.
- Portland Fire closed at +170 on the moneyline (a 35% no-vig market-implied chance).
Chance Quality Result
Based on the quality of shots each team created, Phoenix Mercury won 55% of G&W replays (Portland Fire 45%). The chances each team created were close to even.
The Chance Quality Result describes the chances each team created. It is not the official result and never changes it or any record.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Fire +5.5 (-115)
Fire +5.5 (-116)
Mercury -210 64%
Mercury -207 65%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Head-to-head
The teams have met 1 time since 2024: the Fire won 0 and the Mercury 1.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 5, 2026 | Mercury 78, Fire 72 Mercury won |
Meetings since 2024, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.
Teams
Portland Fire
- Portland Fire team stats
- Golden State Valkyries 82, Portland Fire 90 (Sep 22)
- Portland Fire 84, Los Angeles Sparks 105 (Sep 20)
- Portland Fire 66, Golden State Valkyries 82 (Sep 18)
Phoenix Mercury
More WNBA games on August 16, 2026
Dig deeper
Follow the market every day
See every game's current line on the odds board, or check our fully tracked results.
Odds boardTracked results