Home › Game previews › WNBA › October 2026 › New York Liberty at Atlanta Dream
WNBA · October 4, 2026

New York Liberty vs Atlanta Dream Final — October 4, 2026

New York Liberty logo
14-10
82
Top scorer Breanna Stewart43 games
FINAL
Atlanta Dream logo
13-10
92
Top scorer Allisha Gray44 games
Sunday, October 4 · 3:00 PM ET
NYOffense2026 regular season to dateATL
7th87.9
PPG
87.78th
NYDefenseATL
3rd84.1
Opp PPG
84.44th
NYTeamATL
5th+3.8
Point diff/G
+3.37th
NYLast 10 gamesATL
-7+7-19+19+12+37-11-18+16+16
Game by game
+10+7-18+8+44+25+11+18+15+18
6-4
Last 10
9-1
+52
Net points
+138
Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)
Injuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel
NYRest & travelATL
5 days
Days of rest
4 days
753 mi1,212 km
Travel to the game
Home
NYKey injuriesATL
None listed
Players out or limited
Brionna Jones FOut
About these numbers

2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (15 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

Margin of each of the last 10 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.

Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.

No key players listed.

Key players only. Injury report as of October 3, 8:10 p.m. ET.

The pre-game matchup

The Liberty (14-10) visited the Dream (13-10) on Sunday, October 4 at 3:00 PM ET.

The Liberty score 87.9 points per game (7th of 15) and allow 84.1 (3rd). The Dream score 87.7 points per game (8th of 15) and allow 84.4 (4th).

The Dream closed as 4.5-point favorites at home against the Liberty. The spread opened at Dream -3.5. The total closed 172.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Liberty +165, Dream -197) prices the Liberty at 36% and the Dream at 64%.

Written from the numbers available before kickoff.

Result

Final score and result vs the closing line

New York Liberty 82, Atlanta Dream 92

Atlanta Dream won by 10.

  • Against the closing spread (Atlanta Dream -4.5): Atlanta Dream covered.
  • Combined score 174 vs the closing total of 172.5: Over.
  • Atlanta Dream closed at -197 on the moneyline (a 64% no-vig market-implied chance).

Market

Closing line and line movement

Spreadmoved 1
OpenDream -3.5 (-108)
Liberty +3.5 (-112)
CloseDream -4.5 (-115)
Liberty +4.5 (-105)
Totalno move
Open172.5 (o -107 / u -112)
Close172.5 (o -112 / u -108)
Moneyline
OpenLiberty +130 42%
Dream -155 58%
CloseLiberty +165 36%
Dream -197 64%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score
Spread
Total
Win %

Matchup

Players to watch

New York Liberty logo
Liberty
43 games · Breanna Stewart
  • Points per game20.96th
  • Rebounds per game8.311th
  • Assists per game3.332nd
  • Minutes per game33.0
32 games · Sabrina Ionescu
  • Points per game14.925th
  • Rebounds per game3.852nd
  • Assists per game4.718th
  • Minutes per game29.9
Atlanta Dream logo
Dream
44 games · Allisha Gray
  • Points per game19.011th
  • Rebounds per game3.563rd
  • Assists per game2.744th
  • Minutes per game32.6
43 games · Rhyne Howard
  • Points per game17.713th
  • Rebounds per game3.853rd
  • Assists per game3.724th
  • Minutes per game34.2

Season per-game averages before game time (playoffs included), top two scorers per team. Ranks among the 196 players with at least 10 games.

Head-to-head

The teams have met 13 times since 2024: the Liberty won 8 and the Dream 5.

DateScoreLineTotal
Sep 23, 2026Dream 83, Liberty 65
Dream won


Sep 21, 2026Dream 95, Liberty 84
Dream won


Jun 11, 2026Liberty 104, Dream 90
Liberty won


Aug 23, 2025Liberty 62, Dream 78
Dream won


Jul 13, 2025Dream 72, Liberty 79
Liberty won


Meetings since 2024, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.

Teams

New York Liberty

Atlanta Dream

More WNBA games on October 4, 2026

All WNBA games in October 2026

Follow the market every day

See every game's current line on the odds board, or check our fully tracked results.

Odds boardTracked results