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Miami Heat

#18 NBA · 43-39
G&W Power Rating+0.17#18 of 30
Record43-392025-26 season
Exp W%56.8%what the scoring says
Luck−4.3%winning less than the scoring says
Close W-L8-8games decided by 5 or less

Rating through games of Oct 27

Miami Heat team stats: efficiency, four factors, shooting and luck with league ranks, season and recent form.

Team stats

Schedule and results

43-39-2 ATS · O/U 46-37-1
Next up
Results, newest first
Show all 87 games

Result vs the close: against the consensus closing spread (covered / missed) and the closing total (O = over, U = under). Against-the-spread and over/under records exclude the postseason and count the 84 of 86 games with a closing line on file. Preview and Recap open the game page.

Scoring leaders

F
Giannis Antetokounmpo
27.6PTS · 9th9.8REB5.4AST36GP
C
Bam Adebayo
20.1PTS · 42nd10.0REB3.2AST73GP
F
Andrew Wiggins
15.4PTS · 87th4.8REB2.7AST68GP
F
Bobby Portis
13.7PTS · 116th6.4REB1.6AST67GP
G
Tim Hardaway Jr.
13.5PTS · 123rd2.6REB1.4AST80GP
G
Klay Thompson
11.7PTS2.1REB1.4AST69GP

2025-26 per-game averages for players on the current roster (10+ games). Points rank is among players with 20+ games.

Miami Heat players on G&W

Against the market

League table ›

43-39-2 against the close · +15.5 pts

Against the close43-39-2avg cover margin +0.2
Beat the close by+15.5 ptsover 84 games
Against the bet-time line41-38+25.0 pts in total
Totals vs the close46-37-1avg +2.1 pts vs the total
Oct 22: +4.5Oct 24: +35.5Oct 26: +11.5Oct 28: +22.5Oct 30: +0.0Nov 2: −5.0Nov 5: −0.5Nov 7: +10.5Nov 8: +8.5Nov 10: +9.5Nov 12: −19.5Nov 14: −1.5Nov 17: +0.5Nov 19: +3.5Nov 21: +38.5Nov 23: +8.5Nov 24: −3.5Nov 26: −7.5Nov 29: −7.0Dec 3: −14.5Dec 5: +5.5Dec 6: −25.0Dec 9: −7.5Dec 15: −15.5Dec 18: +3.5Dec 19: −5.5Dec 21: +0.0Dec 23: −26.5Dec 26: +18.0Dec 27: +19.5Dec 29: +25.5Jan 1: +10.5Jan 3: −7.5Jan 4: +10.5Jan 6: −22.5Jan 10: −30.5Jan 11: +3.0Jan 13: +4.5Jan 15: −2.5Jan 17: +12.5Jan 19: −18.0Jan 20: +9.0Jan 22: −13.5Jan 24: +24.5Jan 25: +13.5Jan 28: −12.5Jan 29: +0.5Jan 31: −12.5Feb 1: +37.5Feb 3: −13.0Feb 6: +3.5Feb 8: +18.0Feb 9: −9.5Feb 11: +13.5Feb 20: +27.5Feb 21: +4.5Feb 24: −17.0Feb 26: −5.0Feb 28: +12.0Mar 3: +13.5Mar 5: +3.5Mar 6: +15.5Mar 8: +12.5Mar 10: +5.5Mar 12: +1.5Mar 14: −8.5Mar 17: −24.5Mar 19: −11.5Mar 21: +1.5Mar 23: −21.5Mar 25: +19.5Mar 27: −15.5Mar 29: −25.5Mar 30: +12.0Apr 1: −13.5Apr 4: −2.0Apr 7: −23.5Apr 9: −10.5Apr 10: +7.0Apr 12: +15.5Oct 21: −26.5Oct 23: −15.5Oct 24: −9.5Oct 26: −11.5+179.5 pts−30.5Oct 22Oct 26
Each game vs the closeRunning total vs the closeRunning total vs the bet-time line

Last 10 games: −9.0 pts a game vs the close.

Home 43Road 41
22-21Against the close21-18-2
−0.4Avg cover margin+0.8
23-19-1Over/under23-18
+3.8Total vs the close+0.3
Favorite 43Underdog 41
22-21Against the close21-18-2
−1.3Avg cover margin+1.8
21-22Over/under25-15-1
+0.6Total vs the close+3.7
G&W vs the market for the Miami Heat, game by game, is part of Official Plays.See plans ›

Cover margin: the team's final margin plus its closing spread. Positive means they beat the number by that many points. The bet-time line is the consensus line on the morning of the bet window (Tuesday for football, game day for most other sports). The close is the consensus line just before the start. Every game uses only lines captured before it began. Regular season only.

Our record on this team

Full NBA archive ›
15
Graded plays
9-6-0
W-L-P
+0.05u
Units
+0.3%
ROI

Every graded official play that involved this team, on either side, at the price it was sent. The same plays as the Pick Archive and Results.

About these numbers

The Miami Heat on every Lab metric, with each window side by side so you can see whether recent form matches the full season. Under each value is the team's rank for that window; the colour is its percentile against the league.

Windows. Season is every game so far. Last 10 and Last 5 are each team's most recent games. Back-to-back is the second of two games on consecutive days; 2+ days rest and 3 games in 4 nights follow the schedule. vs top third and vs bottom third split games by how strong the opponent was at the time. Custom dates covers any date range you choose. Every number is recomputed from the games themselves, and a window never uses a game played after its last date.

Free and members. Season and Last 10 are free for everyone. Last 5, Home, Road, Back-to-back, 2+ days rest, 3 games in 4 nights, vs top third, vs bottom third and custom dates are part of Analytics, and every higher plan includes them.

All metric definitions are on the NBA Team Stats page.