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NBA · October 21, 2026

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Miami Heat Final — October 21, 2026

Minnesota Timberwolves

131

Top scorer Anthony Edwards61 games

FINAL

Miami Heat

106

Top scorer Giannis Antetokounmpo36 games

Wednesday, October 21 · 7:40 PM ET

MINOffenseFull 2025-26 regular season (last season)MIA

12th114.6

Offensive ratingpoints scored per 100 possessions

114.513th

7th118.0

PPG

120.92nd

MINDefenseMIA

9th111.3

Defensive ratingpoints allowed per 100 possessions

112.314th

13th114.7

Opp PPG

118.522nd

MINTeamMIA

10th+3.3

Net ratingoffensive minus defensive rating

+2.213th

MINLast 10 gamesMIA

Game by game

0-10

Last 10

1-9

-185

Net points

-173

Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)

Injuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel

MINRest & travelMIA

5 days

Days of rest

5 days

1,513 mi2,435 km

Travel to the game

Home

+1 hclock change vs home

Time-zone change

Home

MINKey injuriesMIA

Donte DiVincenzo GOut

Players out or limited

None listed

About these numbers

Full 2025-26 regular season (last season), captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (30 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

Margin of each of the last 10 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.

Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.

No key players listed.

Key players only. Injury report as of October 21, 9:40 a.m. ET.

The pre-game matchup

The Timberwolves visited the Heat on Wednesday, October 21 at 7:40 PM ET.

Last season (2025-26), the Timberwolves scored 118.0 points per game (7th of 30) and allowed 114.7 (13th). The Heat scored 120.9 points per game (2nd of 30) and allowed 118.5 (22nd).

Offensive rating, the points scored per 100 possessions: Timberwolves 114.6 (12th), Heat 114.5 (13th). Defensive rating, the points allowed per 100 possessions: Timberwolves 111.3 (9th), Heat 112.3 (14th). Net rating, the offensive minus defensive rating: Timberwolves +3.3 (10th), Heat +2.2 (13th). These are last season's full-season numbers because the new season's sample is still small; rosters change over the offseason.

The Heat closed as 1.5-point favorites at home against the Timberwolves. The spread closed where it opened. The total closed at 240.5, down from 243.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Timberwolves +104, Heat -122) prices the Timberwolves at 47% and the Heat at 53%.

Written from the numbers available before kickoff.

Result

Final score and result vs the closing line

Minnesota Timberwolves 131, Miami Heat 106

Minnesota Timberwolves won by 25.

Against the closing spread (Miami Heat -1.5): Minnesota Timberwolves covered.
Combined score 237 vs the closing total of 240.5: Under.
Minnesota Timberwolves closed at +104 on the moneyline (a 47% no-vig market-implied chance).

Market

Closing line and line movement

Spreadno move

OpenHeat -1.5 (-110)
Timberwolves +1.5 (-110)

CloseHeat -1.5 (-110)
Timberwolves +1.5 (-110)

Totaldown 3

Open243.5 (o -108 / u -114)

Close240.5 (o -115 / u -105)

Moneyline

OpenTimberwolves +102 48%
Heat -120 52%

CloseTimberwolves +104 47%
Heat -122 53%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score

Spread

Total

Win %

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Matchup

Players to watch

Timberwolves

61 games · Anthony Edwards

Points per game28.83rd
Rebounds per game5.0119th
Assists per game3.775th
Minutes per game35.0

72 games · LaMelo Ball

Points per game20.144th
Rebounds per game4.8127th
Assists per game7.112th
Minutes per game28.0

Heat

36 games · Giannis Antetokounmpo

Points per game27.69th
Rebounds per game9.812th
Assists per game5.435th
Minutes per game28.9

73 games · Bam Adebayo

Points per game20.142nd
Rebounds per game10.011th
Assists per game3.2108th
Minutes per game32.4

2025-26 regular-season per-game averages, top two scorers per team, from season player stats captured before game time. Ranks among the 389 players with at least 20 games.

Head-to-head

The teams have met 15 times since 2022: the Timberwolves won 13 and the Heat 2.

Date	Score	Line	Total
Oct 10, 2026	Timberwolves 125, Heat 124 Timberwolves won
Oct 10, 2026	Timberwolves 125, Heat 124 Timberwolves won
Oct 10, 2026	Timberwolves 125, Heat 124 Timberwolves won
Oct 10, 2026	Timberwolves 125, Heat 124 Timberwolves won
Oct 10, 2026	Timberwolves 125, Heat 124 Timberwolves won

Meetings since 2022, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.

Teams