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NCAAF

Cincinnati Bearcats

#51 FBS · 5-2
G&W Power Rating+4.41#51 of 138
Record5-2
Exp W%53.6%what the scoring says
Luck+17.8%winning more than the scoring says
Close W-L2-1games decided by 8 or less

Through games of Oct 27

Team stats

Scoring
For/G31.040th of 138
Agst/G29.295th of 138
Diff/G+1.8361st of 138
Adj. Margin+4.4554th of 138
SOS+3.87
Efficiency
Off EPA/play (raw)0.20024th of 138
Def EPA/play (raw)0.14498th of 138
Net EPA/play (raw)+0.05746th of 138
Off SR52.8%11th of 138
Def SR50.5%115th of 138

League ranks among 138 FBS teams. Green = top third, red = bottom third. Same numbers as the NCAAF power rankings table (2026).

Schedule and results

3-3 ATS · O/U 4-2
Next up
Results, newest first

Result vs the close: against the consensus closing spread (covered / missed) and the closing total (O = over, U = under). Against-the-spread and over/under records exclude the postseason and count the 6 of 7 games with a closing line on file. Preview and Recap open the game page.

Team leaders

Passing leader · QB
JC French IV
127/183, 1510 YDS, 13 TD, 2 INT
Rushing leader · RB
Cole Tabb
65 CAR, 621 YDS, 9 TD
Receiving leader · WR
JV Gibson
29 REC, 385 YDS, 4 TD

Season to date, all games.

Cincinnati Bearcats players on G&W

Against the market

League table ›

3-3 against the close · +14.5 pts

Against the close3-3avg cover margin +2.4
Beat the close by+14.5 ptsover 6 games
Against the bet-time line3-3+15.5 pts in total
Totals vs the close4-2avg +4.3 pts vs the total
Sep 5: +12.0Sep 19: −10.5Sep 26: +11.0Oct 3: −20.0Oct 17: −1.5Oct 24: +23.5+23.5 pts−20.0Sep 5Oct 24
Each game vs the closeRunning total vs the closeRunning total vs the bet-time line

Last 4 games: +3.2 pts a game vs the close.

Home 4Road 2
3-1Against the close0-2
+9.0Avg cover margin−10.8
3-1Over/under1-1
+4.5Total vs the close+4.0
Favorite 2Underdog 4
1-1Against the close2-2
+0.8Avg cover margin+3.2
1-1Over/under3-1
+6.5Total vs the close+3.2
G&W vs the market for the Cincinnati Bearcats, game by game, is part of Official Plays.See plans ›

Cover margin: the team's final margin plus its closing spread. Positive means they beat the number by that many points. The bet-time line is the consensus line on the morning of the bet window (Tuesday for football, game day for most other sports). The close is the consensus line just before the start. Every game uses only lines captured before it began. Regular season only.

Our record on this team

Full NCAAF archive ›
5
Graded plays
2-3-0
W-L-P
-0.06u
Units
-0.9%
ROI

Every graded official play that involved this team, on either side, at the price it was sent. The same plays as the Pick Archive and Results.

About these numbers

G&W Power Rating: how many points (goals, runs) better than an average team on a neutral field. The rank and every stat match the NCAAF power rankings table.

Exp W% is the win percentage the Cincinnati Bearcats scoring margin says they should have. Luck is actual win % minus Exp W%: positive means winning more than the scoring says, which tends to even out. Close W-L is the record in one-score games.

Closing line. The consensus spread, total and moneyline just before the game started. Each game page shows the full market for that game.