Utah Utes vs Cincinnati Bearcats Preview & Odds — October 31, 2026
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About these numbers
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Margin of each of the last 7 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
Matchup preview
Utah (6-0) visits Cincinnati (4-2) on Saturday, October 31 at 3:45 PM ET.
Utah has the 18th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 10th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Cincinnati has the 24th-ranked offense and the 98th-ranked defense. When Utah has the ball, a 18th-ranked offense (+0.223 EPA per play) meets a 98th-ranked defense (+0.144 allowed); when Cincinnati has it, a 24th-ranked offense (+0.200) meets a 10th-ranked defense (−0.120 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Utah offense is at 53.0% (9th) and the Cincinnati offense at 52.8% (11th). Utah scores 32.7 points per game (31st) and allows 14.7 (7th); Cincinnati scores 31.0 (40th) and allows 29.2 (95th).
Utah is 7-0 and 6-1 against the spread; its last game was a 21-13 win over Houston. Cincinnati is 5-2 and 4-3 against the spread; its last game was a 37-24 win over Texas Tech.
Utah is a 6.5-point road favorite, with Cincinnati getting the points at home. The spread has not moved since it opened. The total is 57.5, up from 55.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Utah -250, Cincinnati +200) prices Utah at 68% and Cincinnati at 32%.
Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.
Market
Odds and line movement
Utah -6.5 (-110)
Utah -6.5 (-115)
Cincinnati +192 33%
Cincinnati +200 32%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Best available prices on Oct 28
- Utah -6.5-112BetMGM
- Cincinnati +6.5+108Novig
- Over 57.5-109Bally Bet
- Under 57.5-110theScore Bet
- Utah-233Novig
- Cincinnati+228Novig
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Attempts198
- Completion %68.7%26th
- Passing yards1,61680th
- Yards per attempt8.264th
- TD–INT15–6
- Rushing yards64424th
- Season line102 carries, 644 yds, 8 TD
- Receiving yards45973rd
- Season line34 catches, 459 yds, 6 TD
- Tackles44214th
- Attempts183
- Completion %69.4%21st
- Passing yards1,510100th
- Yards per attempt8.258th
- TD–INT13–2
- Rushing yards62130th
- Season line65 carries, 621 yds, 9 TD
- Receiving yards385114th
- Season line29 catches, 385 yds, 4 TD
- Tackles6047th
Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured October 28, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.
Success by situation
| Situation | Utah | Cincinnati |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateUtah offense vs Cincinnati defense | 47.0%19th | 45.9%111th |
| Early-down success rateCincinnati offense vs Utah defense | 32.0%1st | 50.0%6th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateUtah offense vs Cincinnati defense | 53.1%8th | 44.9%105th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateCincinnati offense vs Utah defense | 37.5%44th | 43.2%47th |
| Explosive play rateUtah offense vs Cincinnati defense | 9.0%16th | 6.9%76th |
| Explosive play rateCincinnati offense vs Utah defense | 6.5%64th | 7.7%39th |
| Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks | 50.1%77th-highest | 45.9%106th-highest |
On 3rd down Utah converts 53.1% (8th) against a Cincinnati defense allowing 44.9% (105th).
On 3rd down Cincinnati converts 43.2% (47th) against a Utah defense allowing 37.5% (44th).
2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.
Coaching staff
| Staff | Utah | Cincinnati |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Morgan Scalley | Scott Satterfield |
| Tenureat this school | 1st season | 4th season |
| Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below | 8–0 | 20–24 |
| Career recordas an FBS head coach | 8–0 | 92–64 |
| Offensive coordinator | Kevin McGiven | Nic Cardwell / Pete Thomas |
| Defensive coordinator | Colton Swan | Nate Woody |
Staff list as of October 27, 6:50 a.m. ET.
Head-to-head
The teams have met 1 time since 2021: Utah won 1 and Cincinnati 0.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2025 | Cincinnati 14, Utah 45 Utah won |
Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.
Result
After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.
Teams
Utah Utes
- Utah Utes team stats
- Houston Cougars 13, Utah Utes 21 (Oct 24)
- Utah Utes 27, Colorado Buffaloes 24 (Oct 17)
- Kansas Jayhawks 24, Utah Utes 41 (Oct 10)
Cincinnati Bearcats
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