NFL Week 5 trends, 2025
Who rose and who fell after Week 5: offense, defense, streaks and players.
What changed after Week 5
Season-to-date ranks among all 32 teams after Week 5 of the 2025 season, compared with where each team stood after Week 2. Offense numbers are what a team gained; defense numbers are what it allowed, so a defense that "rose" is allowing less.
Offense: EPA/play risers and fallers
- The Seahawks' offense rose from 25th to 9th in EPA/play over the last three weeks (-0.073 to +0.087).
- The Texans' offense rose from 26th to 15th in EPA/play over the last three weeks (-0.102 to +0.043).
- The Commanders' offense rose from 17th to 7th in EPA/play over the last three weeks (+0.008 to +0.127).
- The Chargers' offense fell from 6th to 22nd in EPA/play over the last three weeks (+0.159 to -0.012).
- The Ravens' offense fell from 1st to 13th in EPA/play over the last three weeks (+0.255 to +0.051).
- The Bengals' offense fell from 23rd to 32nd in EPA/play over the last three weeks (-0.051 to -0.242).
Defense: EPA/play allowed risers and fallers
- The Texans' defense rose from 22nd to 2nd in EPA/play allowed over the last three weeks (+0.060 to -0.114).
- The Chiefs' defense rose from 29th to 15th in EPA/play allowed over the last three weeks (+0.162 to +0.006).
- The Lions' defense rose from 15th to 3rd in EPA/play allowed over the last three weeks (-0.013 to -0.097).
- The Raiders' defense fell from 10th to 25th in EPA/play allowed over the last three weeks (-0.046 to +0.062).
- The Ravens' defense fell from 16th to 30th in EPA/play allowed over the last three weeks (-0.006 to +0.189).
- The 49ers' defense fell from 1st to 10th in EPA/play allowed over the last three weeks (-0.157 to -0.031).
Other movers
- The Steelers' offense rose from 29th to 14th in success rate over the last three weeks (37.5% to 45.5%).
- The Chargers' offense fell from 2nd to 18th in success rate over the last three weeks (50.9% to 43.9%).
- The Seahawks' offense rose from 29th to 3rd in EPA/dropback over the last three weeks (-0.117 to +0.305).
- The Chargers' offense fell from 1st to 24th in EPA/dropback over the last three weeks (+0.437 to +0.011).
- The Chiefs' offense rose from 27th to 5th in EPA/rush over the last three weeks (-0.176 to +0.034).
- The Buccaneers' offense fell from 11th to 29th in EPA/rush over the last three weeks (+0.025 to -0.172).
- The 49ers' offense rose from 27th to 14th in explosive pass rate over the last three weeks (10.4% to 15.2%).
- The Jets' offense fell from 14th to 31st in explosive pass rate over the last three weeks (15.7% to 10.3%).
- The Dolphins' offense rose from 23rd to 5th in sack + QB hit rate allowed over the last three weeks (17.8% to 9.7%).
- The Chargers' offense fell from 7th to 29th in sack + QB hit rate allowed over the last three weeks (9.6% to 19.6%).
- The Packers' offense rose from 17th to 1st in 3rd-down conversion rate over the last three weeks (40.9% to 52.7%).
- The Browns' offense fell from 6th to 28th in 3rd-down conversion rate over the last three weeks (47.1% to 34.2%).
- The Texans' offense became more pass-heavy over the last three weeks: its PROE went from -1.9% (22nd) to +0.7% (9th).
- The Raiders' offense became more run-heavy over the last three weeks: its PROE went from +6.8% (3rd) to -3.2% (23rd).
- The Texans' defense rose from 27th to 7th in success rate allowed over the last three weeks (47.7% to 41.4%).
- The Ravens' defense fell from 16th to 30th in success rate allowed over the last three weeks (43.6% to 49.7%).
- The Chiefs' defense rose from 27th to 8th in EPA/dropback allowed over the last three weeks (+0.220 to -0.027).
- The Ravens' defense fell from 9th to 29th in EPA/dropback allowed over the last three weeks (-0.044 to +0.226).
- The Colts' defense rose from 30th to 15th in EPA/rush allowed over the last three weeks (+0.118 to -0.097).
- The Falcons' defense fell from 7th to 17th in EPA/rush allowed over the last three weeks (-0.193 to -0.059).
- The Eagles' defense rose from 19th to 6th in explosive pass rate allowed over the last three weeks (15.7% to 13.0%).
- The Titans' defense fell from 14th to 26th in explosive pass rate allowed over the last three weeks (14.7% to 18.1%).
- The Lions' defense rose from 29th to 6th in sack + QB hit rate over the last three weeks (9.5% to 17.4%).
- The Raiders' defense fell from 11th to 26th in sack + QB hit rate over the last three weeks (16.5% to 12.2%).
- The Eagles' defense rose from 25th to 8th in 3rd-down conversion rate allowed over the last three weeks (47.8% to 34.9%).
- The Raiders' defense fell from 4th to 27th in 3rd-down conversion rate allowed over the last three weeks (32.0% to 45.2%).
EPA/play ranks after Week 5, all 32 teams
| Team | Offense rank | After Wk 2 | Offense EPA/play | Defense rank | After Wk 2 | EPA/play allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indianapolis Colts | 1st ▲2 | 3rd | +0.198 | 5th ▲9 | 14th | -0.071 |
| Buffalo Bills | 2nd | 2nd | +0.190 | 19th ▲2 | 21st | +0.021 |
| Detroit Lions | 3rd ▲2 | 5th | +0.172 | 3rd ▲12 | 15th | -0.097 |
| Green Bay Packers | 4th | 4th | +0.167 | 14th ▼9 | 5th | +0.004 |
| Dallas Cowboys | 5th ▲6 | 11th | +0.166 | 31st | 31st | +0.206 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 6th ▲9 | 15th | +0.136 | 15th ▲14 | 29th | +0.006 |
| Washington Commanders | 7th ▲10 | 17th | +0.127 | 18th ▼7 | 11th | +0.017 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 8th | 8th | +0.096 | 21st ▼4 | 17th | +0.025 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 9th ▲16 | 25th | +0.087 | 20th ▼7 | 13th | +0.021 |
| Los Angeles Rams | 10th ▼3 | 7th | +0.083 | 12th ▼9 | 3rd | -0.029 |
| New England Patriots | 11th ▼1 | 10th | +0.081 | 23rd ▲2 | 25th | +0.050 |
| Denver Broncos | 12th ▲6 | 18th | +0.064 | 4th ▲3 | 7th | -0.088 |
| Baltimore Ravens | 13th ▼12 | 1st | +0.051 | 30th ▼14 | 16th | +0.189 |
| Miami Dolphins | 14th ▲8 | 22nd | +0.046 | 32nd | 32nd | +0.239 |
| Houston Texans | 15th ▲11 | 26th | +0.043 | 2nd ▲20 | 22nd | -0.114 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 16th ▼4 | 12th | +0.039 | 10th ▼9 | 1st | -0.031 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 17th ▼8 | 9th | +0.036 | 6th ▼2 | 4th | -0.065 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 18th ▲3 | 21st | +0.030 | 22nd ▲5 | 27th | +0.038 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 19th ▼6 | 13th | +0.021 | 7th ▲1 | 8th | -0.040 |
| New York Jets | 20th ▼1 | 19th | -0.005 | 29th ▲1 | 30th | +0.172 |
| Arizona Cardinals | 21st ▼7 | 14th | -0.007 | 13th ▼1 | 12th | -0.020 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 22nd ▼16 | 6th | -0.012 | 9th ▼3 | 6th | -0.039 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 23rd ▼7 | 16th | -0.015 | 8th ▼6 | 2nd | -0.040 |
| Chicago Bears | 24th ▲3 | 27th | -0.025 | 16th ▲8 | 24th | +0.009 |
| Carolina Panthers | 25th ▲3 | 28th | -0.028 | 24th ▲2 | 26th | +0.057 |
| New Orleans Saints | 26th ▼2 | 24th | -0.059 | 17th ▲3 | 20th | +0.013 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 27th ▲5 | 32nd | -0.060 | 1st ▲8 | 9th | -0.129 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 28th ▲1 | 29th | -0.130 | 25th ▼15 | 10th | +0.062 |
| New York Giants | 29th ▼9 | 20th | -0.141 | 26th ▲2 | 28th | +0.079 |
| Cleveland Browns | 30th | 30th | -0.167 | 11th ▲7 | 18th | -0.031 |
| Tennessee Titans | 31st | 31st | -0.205 | 27th ▼4 | 23rd | +0.112 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 32nd ▼9 | 23rd | -0.242 | 28th ▼9 | 19th | +0.121 |
Active streaks
- The Jaguars' defense has held opponents below the league average in EPA/dropback in 5 straight games (since Week 1).
- The Eagles' defense has held opponents below the league average in EPA/dropback in 5 straight games (since Week 1).
- The Cardinals' defense has held opponents below the league average in EPA/rush in 5 straight games (since Week 1).
- The Browns' defense has held opponents below the league average in EPA/rush in 5 straight games (since Week 1).
- The Patriots' defense has held opponents below the league average in EPA/rush in 5 straight games (since Week 1).
- The Seahawks' defense has held opponents below the league average in EPA/rush in 5 straight games (since Week 1).
- The Broncos' defense has beaten the league average in sack + QB hit rate in 5 straight games (since Week 1).
- The Browns' defense has held opponents below the league average in success rate in 5 straight games (since Week 1).
- Josh Allen has had positive EPA per play in 5 straight games (since Week 1).
- Jacory Croskey-Merritt has had positive EPA per carry in 5 straight games (since Week 1).
- Trey McBride has had a 20%+ target share in 5 straight games (since Week 1).
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba has had 75+ receiving yards in 5 straight games (since Week 1).
- Puka Nacua has had 75+ receiving yards in 5 straight games (since Week 1).
- Justin Jefferson has had a 25%+ target share in 5 straight games (since Week 1).
- Puka Nacua has had a 25%+ target share in 5 straight games (since Week 1).
- Sam Darnold has had positive EPA per play in 4 straight games (since Week 2).
Player movers
- Sam Darnold rose from 30th to 2nd among qualified quarterbacks in EPA/play over the last three weeks (-0.103 to +0.321).
- C.J. Stroud rose from 27th to 15th among qualified quarterbacks in EPA/play over the last three weeks (-0.071 to +0.126).
- Justin Herbert fell from 7th to 27th among qualified quarterbacks in EPA/play over the last three weeks (+0.301 to -0.017).
- Russell Wilson fell from 16th to 29th among qualified quarterbacks in EPA/play over the last three weeks (+0.086 to -0.084).
- David Montgomery rose from 32nd to 10th among qualified running backs in EPA/rush over the last three weeks (-0.169 to +0.053).
- Omarion Hampton rose from 31st to 11th among qualified running backs in EPA/rush over the last three weeks (-0.169 to +0.034).
- Derrick Henry fell from 8th to 35th among qualified running backs in EPA/rush over the last three weeks (+0.023 to -0.170).
- Alvin Kamara fell from 14th to 33rd among qualified running backs in EPA/rush over the last three weeks (-0.016 to -0.158).
- Stefon Diggs rose from 49th to 25th among qualified wide receivers in target share over the last three weeks (17.6% to 22.8%).
- Khalil Shakir rose from 58th to 38th among qualified wide receivers in target share over the last three weeks (15.7% to 19.5%).
- Jalen Nailor fell from 38th to 61st among qualified wide receivers in target share over the last three weeks (19.5% to 14.9%).
- Cedric Tillman fell from 45th to 67th among qualified wide receivers in target share over the last three weeks (18.1% to 13.3%).
- Hunter Henry rose from 16th to 9th among qualified tight ends in target share over the last three weeks (16.2% to 18.8%).
- Evan Engram rose from 31st to 26th among qualified tight ends in target share over the last three weeks (9.0% to 13.1%).
- Zach Ertz fell from 10th to 19th among qualified tight ends in target share over the last three weeks (18.8% to 15.7%).
- Ja'Tavion Sanders fell from 19th to 27th among qualified tight ends in target share over the last three weeks (13.8% to 12.6%).
Explore every team and player trend, with rolling form charts, on NFL Trends.
Play-by-play data: nflverse (CC-BY 4.0). EPA is raw, not adjusted for opponents, so it differs from the opponent-adjusted EPA on Power Rankings. Explosive plays are passes of 15+ yards and designed runs of 10+. Qualified players meet the NFL Player Stats volume minimums for the season so far.