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NFL Week 5 trends, 2025

Who rose and who fell after Week 5: offense, defense, streaks and players.

What changed after Week 5

Season-to-date ranks among all 32 teams after Week 5 of the 2025 season, compared with where each team stood after Week 2. Offense numbers are what a team gained; defense numbers are what it allowed, so a defense that "rose" is allowing less.

Offense: EPA/play risers and fallers

  • The Seahawks' offense rose from 25th to 9th in EPA/play over the last three weeks (-0.073 to +0.087).
  • The Texans' offense rose from 26th to 15th in EPA/play over the last three weeks (-0.102 to +0.043).
  • The Commanders' offense rose from 17th to 7th in EPA/play over the last three weeks (+0.008 to +0.127).
  • The Chargers' offense fell from 6th to 22nd in EPA/play over the last three weeks (+0.159 to -0.012).
  • The Ravens' offense fell from 1st to 13th in EPA/play over the last three weeks (+0.255 to +0.051).
  • The Bengals' offense fell from 23rd to 32nd in EPA/play over the last three weeks (-0.051 to -0.242).

Defense: EPA/play allowed risers and fallers

  • The Texans' defense rose from 22nd to 2nd in EPA/play allowed over the last three weeks (+0.060 to -0.114).
  • The Chiefs' defense rose from 29th to 15th in EPA/play allowed over the last three weeks (+0.162 to +0.006).
  • The Lions' defense rose from 15th to 3rd in EPA/play allowed over the last three weeks (-0.013 to -0.097).
  • The Raiders' defense fell from 10th to 25th in EPA/play allowed over the last three weeks (-0.046 to +0.062).
  • The Ravens' defense fell from 16th to 30th in EPA/play allowed over the last three weeks (-0.006 to +0.189).
  • The 49ers' defense fell from 1st to 10th in EPA/play allowed over the last three weeks (-0.157 to -0.031).

Other movers

  • The Steelers' offense rose from 29th to 14th in success rate over the last three weeks (37.5% to 45.5%).
  • The Chargers' offense fell from 2nd to 18th in success rate over the last three weeks (50.9% to 43.9%).
  • The Seahawks' offense rose from 29th to 3rd in EPA/dropback over the last three weeks (-0.117 to +0.305).
  • The Chargers' offense fell from 1st to 24th in EPA/dropback over the last three weeks (+0.437 to +0.011).
  • The Chiefs' offense rose from 27th to 5th in EPA/rush over the last three weeks (-0.176 to +0.034).
  • The Buccaneers' offense fell from 11th to 29th in EPA/rush over the last three weeks (+0.025 to -0.172).
  • The 49ers' offense rose from 27th to 14th in explosive pass rate over the last three weeks (10.4% to 15.2%).
  • The Jets' offense fell from 14th to 31st in explosive pass rate over the last three weeks (15.7% to 10.3%).
  • The Dolphins' offense rose from 23rd to 5th in sack + QB hit rate allowed over the last three weeks (17.8% to 9.7%).
  • The Chargers' offense fell from 7th to 29th in sack + QB hit rate allowed over the last three weeks (9.6% to 19.6%).
  • The Packers' offense rose from 17th to 1st in 3rd-down conversion rate over the last three weeks (40.9% to 52.7%).
  • The Browns' offense fell from 6th to 28th in 3rd-down conversion rate over the last three weeks (47.1% to 34.2%).
  • The Texans' offense became more pass-heavy over the last three weeks: its PROE went from -1.9% (22nd) to +0.7% (9th).
  • The Raiders' offense became more run-heavy over the last three weeks: its PROE went from +6.8% (3rd) to -3.2% (23rd).
  • The Texans' defense rose from 27th to 7th in success rate allowed over the last three weeks (47.7% to 41.4%).
  • The Ravens' defense fell from 16th to 30th in success rate allowed over the last three weeks (43.6% to 49.7%).
  • The Chiefs' defense rose from 27th to 8th in EPA/dropback allowed over the last three weeks (+0.220 to -0.027).
  • The Ravens' defense fell from 9th to 29th in EPA/dropback allowed over the last three weeks (-0.044 to +0.226).
  • The Colts' defense rose from 30th to 15th in EPA/rush allowed over the last three weeks (+0.118 to -0.097).
  • The Falcons' defense fell from 7th to 17th in EPA/rush allowed over the last three weeks (-0.193 to -0.059).
  • The Eagles' defense rose from 19th to 6th in explosive pass rate allowed over the last three weeks (15.7% to 13.0%).
  • The Titans' defense fell from 14th to 26th in explosive pass rate allowed over the last three weeks (14.7% to 18.1%).
  • The Lions' defense rose from 29th to 6th in sack + QB hit rate over the last three weeks (9.5% to 17.4%).
  • The Raiders' defense fell from 11th to 26th in sack + QB hit rate over the last three weeks (16.5% to 12.2%).
  • The Eagles' defense rose from 25th to 8th in 3rd-down conversion rate allowed over the last three weeks (47.8% to 34.9%).
  • The Raiders' defense fell from 4th to 27th in 3rd-down conversion rate allowed over the last three weeks (32.0% to 45.2%).

EPA/play ranks after Week 5, all 32 teams

TeamOffense rankAfter Wk 2Offense EPA/playDefense rankAfter Wk 2EPA/play allowed
Indianapolis Colts1st ▲23rd+0.1985th ▲914th-0.071
Buffalo Bills2nd2nd+0.19019th ▲221st+0.021
Detroit Lions3rd ▲25th+0.1723rd ▲1215th-0.097
Green Bay Packers4th4th+0.16714th ▼95th+0.004
Dallas Cowboys5th ▲611th+0.16631st31st+0.206
Kansas City Chiefs6th ▲915th+0.13615th ▲1429th+0.006
Washington Commanders7th ▲1017th+0.12718th ▼711th+0.017
Tampa Bay Buccaneers8th8th+0.09621st ▼417th+0.025
Seattle Seahawks9th ▲1625th+0.08720th ▼713th+0.021
Los Angeles Rams10th ▼37th+0.08312th ▼93rd-0.029
New England Patriots11th ▼110th+0.08123rd ▲225th+0.050
Denver Broncos12th ▲618th+0.0644th ▲37th-0.088
Baltimore Ravens13th ▼121st+0.05130th ▼1416th+0.189
Miami Dolphins14th ▲822nd+0.04632nd32nd+0.239
Houston Texans15th ▲1126th+0.0432nd ▲2022nd-0.114
San Francisco 49ers16th ▼412th+0.03910th ▼91st-0.031
Jacksonville Jaguars17th ▼89th+0.0366th ▼24th-0.065
Pittsburgh Steelers18th ▲321st+0.03022nd ▲527th+0.038
Philadelphia Eagles19th ▼613th+0.0217th ▲18th-0.040
New York Jets20th ▼119th-0.00529th ▲130th+0.172
Arizona Cardinals21st ▼714th-0.00713th ▼112th-0.020
Los Angeles Chargers22nd ▼166th-0.0129th ▼36th-0.039
Atlanta Falcons23rd ▼716th-0.0158th ▼62nd-0.040
Chicago Bears24th ▲327th-0.02516th ▲824th+0.009
Carolina Panthers25th ▲328th-0.02824th ▲226th+0.057
New Orleans Saints26th ▼224th-0.05917th ▲320th+0.013
Minnesota Vikings27th ▲532nd-0.0601st ▲89th-0.129
Las Vegas Raiders28th ▲129th-0.13025th ▼1510th+0.062
New York Giants29th ▼920th-0.14126th ▲228th+0.079
Cleveland Browns30th30th-0.16711th ▲718th-0.031
Tennessee Titans31st31st-0.20527th ▼423rd+0.112
Cincinnati Bengals32nd ▼923rd-0.24228th ▼919th+0.121

Active streaks

  • The Jaguars' defense has held opponents below the league average in EPA/dropback in 5 straight games (since Week 1).
  • The Eagles' defense has held opponents below the league average in EPA/dropback in 5 straight games (since Week 1).
  • The Cardinals' defense has held opponents below the league average in EPA/rush in 5 straight games (since Week 1).
  • The Browns' defense has held opponents below the league average in EPA/rush in 5 straight games (since Week 1).
  • The Patriots' defense has held opponents below the league average in EPA/rush in 5 straight games (since Week 1).
  • The Seahawks' defense has held opponents below the league average in EPA/rush in 5 straight games (since Week 1).
  • The Broncos' defense has beaten the league average in sack + QB hit rate in 5 straight games (since Week 1).
  • The Browns' defense has held opponents below the league average in success rate in 5 straight games (since Week 1).
  • Josh Allen has had positive EPA per play in 5 straight games (since Week 1).
  • Jacory Croskey-Merritt has had positive EPA per carry in 5 straight games (since Week 1).
  • Trey McBride has had a 20%+ target share in 5 straight games (since Week 1).
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba has had 75+ receiving yards in 5 straight games (since Week 1).
  • Puka Nacua has had 75+ receiving yards in 5 straight games (since Week 1).
  • Justin Jefferson has had a 25%+ target share in 5 straight games (since Week 1).
  • Puka Nacua has had a 25%+ target share in 5 straight games (since Week 1).
  • Sam Darnold has had positive EPA per play in 4 straight games (since Week 2).

Player movers

  • Sam Darnold rose from 30th to 2nd among qualified quarterbacks in EPA/play over the last three weeks (-0.103 to +0.321).
  • C.J. Stroud rose from 27th to 15th among qualified quarterbacks in EPA/play over the last three weeks (-0.071 to +0.126).
  • Justin Herbert fell from 7th to 27th among qualified quarterbacks in EPA/play over the last three weeks (+0.301 to -0.017).
  • Russell Wilson fell from 16th to 29th among qualified quarterbacks in EPA/play over the last three weeks (+0.086 to -0.084).
  • David Montgomery rose from 32nd to 10th among qualified running backs in EPA/rush over the last three weeks (-0.169 to +0.053).
  • Omarion Hampton rose from 31st to 11th among qualified running backs in EPA/rush over the last three weeks (-0.169 to +0.034).
  • Derrick Henry fell from 8th to 35th among qualified running backs in EPA/rush over the last three weeks (+0.023 to -0.170).
  • Alvin Kamara fell from 14th to 33rd among qualified running backs in EPA/rush over the last three weeks (-0.016 to -0.158).
  • Stefon Diggs rose from 49th to 25th among qualified wide receivers in target share over the last three weeks (17.6% to 22.8%).
  • Khalil Shakir rose from 58th to 38th among qualified wide receivers in target share over the last three weeks (15.7% to 19.5%).
  • Jalen Nailor fell from 38th to 61st among qualified wide receivers in target share over the last three weeks (19.5% to 14.9%).
  • Cedric Tillman fell from 45th to 67th among qualified wide receivers in target share over the last three weeks (18.1% to 13.3%).
  • Hunter Henry rose from 16th to 9th among qualified tight ends in target share over the last three weeks (16.2% to 18.8%).
  • Evan Engram rose from 31st to 26th among qualified tight ends in target share over the last three weeks (9.0% to 13.1%).
  • Zach Ertz fell from 10th to 19th among qualified tight ends in target share over the last three weeks (18.8% to 15.7%).
  • Ja'Tavion Sanders fell from 19th to 27th among qualified tight ends in target share over the last three weeks (13.8% to 12.6%).

Explore every team and player trend, with rolling form charts, on NFL Trends.

Play-by-play data: nflverse (CC-BY 4.0). EPA is raw, not adjusted for opponents, so it differs from the opponent-adjusted EPA on Power Rankings. Explosive plays are passes of 15+ yards and designed runs of 10+. Qualified players meet the NFL Player Stats volume minimums for the season so far.