NFL Week 6 trends, 2025

What changed after Week 6

Season-to-date ranks among all 32 teams after Week 6 of the 2025 season, compared with where each team stood after Week 3. Offense numbers are what a team gained; defense numbers are what it allowed, so a defense that "rose" is allowing less.

Offense: EPA/play risers and fallers

• The Texans' offense rose from 28th to 14th in EPA/play over the last three weeks (-0.140 to +0.043).
• The Cowboys' offense rose from 12th to 3rd in EPA/play over the last three weeks (+0.050 to +0.168).
• The Seahawks' offense rose from 19th to 10th in EPA/play over the last three weeks (-0.005 to +0.082).
• The Ravens' offense fell from 4th to 24th in EPA/play over the last three weeks (+0.189 to -0.037).
• The Eagles' offense fell from 11th to 22nd in EPA/play over the last three weeks (+0.058 to +0.002).
• The Chargers' offense fell from 10th to 20th in EPA/play over the last three weeks (+0.077 to +0.008).

Defense: EPA/play allowed risers and fallers

• The Texans' defense rose from 16th to 3rd in EPA/play allowed over the last three weeks (-0.015 to -0.114).
• The Bears' defense rose from 24th to 11th in EPA/play allowed over the last three weeks (+0.068 to -0.006).
• The Lions' defense rose from 18th to 8th in EPA/play allowed over the last three weeks (+0.014 to -0.036).
• The Packers' defense fell from 3rd to 19th in EPA/play allowed over the last three weeks (-0.124 to +0.021).
• The 49ers' defense fell from 4th to 18th in EPA/play allowed over the last three weeks (-0.105 to +0.015).
• The Panthers' defense fell from 13th to 27th in EPA/play allowed over the last three weeks (-0.042 to +0.077).

Other movers

• The Packers' offense rose from 16th to 5th in success rate over the last three weeks (43.7% to 49.3%).
• The Ravens' offense fell from 11th to 23rd in success rate over the last three weeks (45.8% to 43.2%).
• The Seahawks' offense rose from 13th to 1st in EPA/dropback over the last three weeks (+0.115 to +0.317).
• The Ravens' offense fell from 3rd to 22nd in EPA/dropback over the last three weeks (+0.343 to +0.010).
• The Panthers' offense rose from 18th to 2nd in EPA/rush over the last three weeks (-0.087 to +0.055).
• The Rams' offense fell from 7th to 21st in EPA/rush over the last three weeks (+0.077 to -0.119).
• The Falcons' offense rose from 27th to 17th in explosive pass rate over the last three weeks (10.7% to 15.1%).
• The Chargers' offense fell from 13th to 24th in explosive pass rate over the last three weeks (15.5% to 13.0%).
• The Chiefs' offense rose from 28th to 16th in sack + QB hit rate allowed over the last three weeks (20.8% to 14.9%).
• The Cardinals' offense fell from 11th to 20th in sack + QB hit rate allowed over the last three weeks (12.3% to 15.4%).
• The Cardinals' offense rose from 22nd to 6th in 3rd-down conversion rate over the last three weeks (37.8% to 43.9%).
• The Eagles' offense fell from 7th to 26th in 3rd-down conversion rate over the last three weeks (45.0% to 35.1%).
• The Eagles' offense became more pass-heavy over the last three weeks: its PROE went from -6.6% (29th) to -0.5% (16th).
• The Panthers' offense became more run-heavy over the last three weeks: its PROE went from -0.2% (13th) to -5.7% (28th).
• The Titans' defense rose from 27th to 12th in success rate allowed over the last three weeks (47.2% to 43.3%).
• The Packers' defense fell from 2nd to 11th in success rate allowed over the last three weeks (36.2% to 42.8%).
• The Lions' defense rose from 26th to 11th in EPA/dropback allowed over the last three weeks (+0.201 to +0.039).
• The Panthers' defense fell from 6th to 26th in EPA/dropback allowed over the last three weeks (-0.115 to +0.177).
• The Panthers' defense rose from 27th to 14th in EPA/rush allowed over the last three weeks (+0.074 to -0.090).
• The Commanders' defense fell from 8th to 20th in EPA/rush allowed over the last three weeks (-0.159 to -0.054).
• The Vikings' defense rose from 17th to 8th in explosive pass rate allowed over the last three weeks (14.6% to 13.8%).
• The 49ers' defense fell from 8th to 21st in explosive pass rate allowed over the last three weeks (12.1% to 15.5%).
• The Colts' defense rose from 28th to 10th in sack + QB hit rate over the last three weeks (11.5% to 15.9%).
• The Bears' defense fell from 12th to 25th in sack + QB hit rate over the last three weeks (16.0% to 12.7%).
• The Giants' defense rose from 29th to 17th in 3rd-down conversion rate allowed over the last three weeks (47.4% to 40.5%).
• The Commanders' defense fell from 1st to 11th in 3rd-down conversion rate allowed over the last three weeks (28.6% to 38.0%).

EPA/play ranks after Week 6, all 32 teams

Hot and cold: the last five games

• Over its last five games the Panthers' offense ranks 15th in EPA/play (+0.051), 6 spots above its season rank (21st).
• Over its last five games the Giants' offense ranks 23rd in EPA/play (-0.045), 5 spots above its season rank (28th).
• Over its last five games the Commanders' offense ranks 13th in EPA/play (+0.075), 5 spots below its season rank (8th).
• Over its last five games the Chargers' offense ranks 24th in EPA/play (-0.050), 4 spots below its season rank (20th).
• Over its last five games the Chiefs' defense ranks 8th in EPA/play allowed (-0.041), 12 spots above its season rank (20th).
• Over its last five games the Bills' defense ranks 9th in EPA/play allowed (-0.031), 12 spots above its season rank (21st).
• Over its last five games the Jaguars' defense ranks 14th in EPA/play allowed (-0.007), 8 spots below its season rank (6th).
• Over its last five games the 49ers' defense ranks 25th in EPA/play allowed (+0.060), 7 spots below its season rank (18th).

Active streaks

• The Browns' defense has held opponents below the league average in EPA/rush in 6 straight games (since Week 1).
• The Broncos' defense has beaten the league average in sack + QB hit rate in 6 straight games (since Week 1).
• The Browns' defense has held opponents below the league average in success rate in 6 straight games (since Week 1).
• The Bills' offense has beaten the league average in success rate in 6 straight games (since Week 1).
• The Colts' offense has beaten the league average in success rate in 6 straight games (since Week 1).
• The Steelers' defense has beaten the league average in sack + QB hit rate in 5 straight games (since Week 1).
• The Patriots' offense has beaten the league average in EPA/dropback in 5 straight games (since Week 2).
• The Seahawks' offense has beaten the league average in EPA/dropback in 5 straight games (since Week 2).
• Trey McBride has had a 20%+ target share in 6 straight games (since Week 1).
• Jaxon Smith-Njigba has had 75+ receiving yards in 6 straight games (since Week 1).
• Sam Darnold has had positive EPA per play in 5 straight games (since Week 2).
• Jordan Love has had positive EPA per play in 5 straight games (since Week 1).
• Drake Maye has had positive EPA per play in 5 straight games (since Week 2).
• Justin Jefferson has had a 25%+ target share in 5 straight games (since Week 1).
• Amon-Ra St. Brown has had a 25%+ target share in 5 straight games (since Week 2).
• Mac Jones has had 250+ passing yards in 4 straight games (since Week 2).

Player movers

• C.J. Stroud rose from 28th to 12th among qualified quarterbacks in EPA/play over the last three weeks (-0.117 to +0.126).
• Dak Prescott rose from 17th to 8th among qualified quarterbacks in EPA/play over the last three weeks (+0.050 to +0.252).
• Justin Herbert fell from 7th to 24th among qualified quarterbacks in EPA/play over the last three weeks (+0.163 to +0.022).
• Geno Smith fell from 14th to 28th among qualified quarterbacks in EPA/play over the last three weeks (+0.061 to -0.063).
• Omarion Hampton rose from 29th to 9th among qualified running backs in EPA/rush over the last three weeks (-0.124 to +0.034).
• Rico Dowdle rose from 17th to 1st among qualified running backs in EPA/rush over the last three weeks (-0.018 to +0.152).
• Cam Skattebo fell from 10th to 30th among qualified running backs in EPA/rush over the last three weeks (+0.036 to -0.119).
• Jordan Mason fell from 8th to 21st among qualified running backs in EPA/rush over the last three weeks (+0.080 to -0.041).
• Stefon Diggs rose from 64th to 29th among qualified wide receivers in target share over the last three weeks (14.4% to 21.4%).
• Romeo Doubs rose from 62nd to 36th among qualified wide receivers in target share over the last three weeks (14.9% to 20.6%).
• Rashod Bateman fell from 37th to 62nd among qualified wide receivers in target share over the last three weeks (20.0% to 13.4%).
• Jauan Jennings fell from 34th to 54th among qualified wide receivers in target share over the last three weeks (20.8% to 15.1%).
• Mason Taylor rose from 26th to 11th among qualified tight ends in target share over the last three weeks (11.7% to 17.7%).
• Dallas Goedert rose from 12th to 2nd among qualified tight ends in target share over the last three weeks (18.0% to 23.1%).
• Tucker Kraft fell from 7th to 18th among qualified tight ends in target share over the last three weeks (20.3% to 16.2%).
• Noah Gray fell from 25th to 34th among qualified tight ends in target share over the last three weeks (11.8% to 9.1%).