NFL Week 7 trends, 2025

What changed after Week 7

Season-to-date ranks among all 32 teams after Week 7 of the 2025 season, compared with where each team stood after Week 4. Offense numbers are what a team gained; defense numbers are what it allowed, so a defense that "rose" is allowing less.

Offense: EPA/play risers and fallers

• The Bears' offense rose from 23rd to 15th in EPA/play over the last three weeks (-0.025 to +0.026).
• The Steelers' offense rose from 14th to 8th in EPA/play over the last three weeks (+0.030 to +0.104).
• The Panthers' offense rose from 25th to 20th in EPA/play over the last three weeks (-0.073 to -0.007).
• The Ravens' offense fell from 6th to 23rd in EPA/play over the last three weeks (+0.125 to -0.037).
• The Dolphins' offense fell from 13th to 24th in EPA/play over the last three weeks (+0.034 to -0.038).
• The Jets' offense fell from 21st to 29th in EPA/play over the last three weeks (-0.010 to -0.097).

Defense: EPA/play allowed risers and fallers

• The Bears' defense rose from 19th to 7th in EPA/play allowed over the last three weeks (+0.009 to -0.051).
• The Patriots' defense rose from 23rd to 14th in EPA/play allowed over the last three weeks (+0.053 to -0.006).
• The Browns' defense rose from 12th to 5th in EPA/play allowed over the last three weeks (-0.050 to -0.086).
• The Chargers' defense fell from 4th to 22nd in EPA/play allowed over the last three weeks (-0.106 to +0.043).
• The Jaguars' defense fell from 2nd to 11th in EPA/play allowed over the last three weeks (-0.130 to -0.025).
• The Eagles' defense fell from 8th to 15th in EPA/play allowed over the last three weeks (-0.073 to -0.006).

Other movers

• The Chiefs' offense rose from 13th to 2nd in success rate over the last three weeks (45.3% to 50.5%).
• The Jets' offense fell from 7th to 22nd in success rate over the last three weeks (48.3% to 42.6%).
• The Steelers' offense rose from 16th to 10th in EPA/dropback over the last three weeks (+0.071 to +0.167).
• The Ravens' offense fell from 8th to 20th in EPA/dropback over the last three weeks (+0.176 to +0.010).
• The Panthers' offense rose from 21st to 2nd in EPA/rush over the last three weeks (-0.096 to +0.040).
• The Vikings' offense fell from 10th to 26th in EPA/rush over the last three weeks (-0.006 to -0.129).
• The Eagles' offense rose from 28th to 16th in explosive pass rate over the last three weeks (11.1% to 15.0%).
• The Raiders' offense fell from 7th to 17th in explosive pass rate over the last three weeks (18.5% to 14.8%).
• The Rams' offense rose from 27th to 17th in sack + QB hit rate allowed over the last three weeks (19.4% to 14.2%).
• The Jaguars' offense fell from 1st to 16th in sack + QB hit rate allowed over the last three weeks (6.0% to 14.0%).
• The Giants' offense rose from 28th to 14th in 3rd-down conversion rate over the last three weeks (32.7% to 40.0%).
• The Eagles' offense fell from 7th to 27th in 3rd-down conversion rate over the last three weeks (42.6% to 34.5%).
• The Eagles' offense became more pass-heavy over the last three weeks: its PROE went from -6.0% (27th) to -0.8% (17th).
• The Ravens' offense became more run-heavy over the last three weeks: its PROE went from +1.7% (7th) to -4.2% (26th).
• The Panthers' defense rose from 14th to 3rd in success rate allowed over the last three weeks (42.7% to 39.4%).
• The Chargers' defense fell from 1st to 11th in success rate allowed over the last three weeks (37.1% to 43.0%).
• The Browns' defense rose from 19th to 8th in EPA/dropback allowed over the last three weeks (+0.057 to -0.002).
• The Chargers' defense fell from 4th to 16th in EPA/dropback allowed over the last three weeks (-0.110 to +0.054).
• The Bears' defense rose from 22nd to 7th in EPA/rush allowed over the last three weeks (-0.022 to -0.137).
• The Chargers' defense fell from 14th to 26th in EPA/rush allowed over the last three weeks (-0.098 to +0.024).
• The Panthers' defense rose from 24th to 9th in explosive pass rate allowed over the last three weeks (16.7% to 13.6%).
• The 49ers' defense fell from 3rd to 20th in explosive pass rate allowed over the last three weeks (10.0% to 15.8%).
• The Cowboys' defense rose from 27th to 10th in sack + QB hit rate over the last three weeks (11.8% to 15.8%).
• The Giants' defense fell from 7th to 23rd in sack + QB hit rate over the last three weeks (17.9% to 13.6%).
• The Browns' defense rose from 28th to 13th in 3rd-down conversion rate allowed over the last three weeks (44.8% to 38.0%).
• The Eagles' defense fell from 14th to 26th in 3rd-down conversion rate allowed over the last three weeks (36.2% to 43.0%).

EPA/play ranks after Week 7, all 32 teams

Hot and cold: the last five games

• Over its last five games the Panthers' offense ranks 14th in EPA/play (+0.044), 6 spots above its season rank (20th).
• Over its last five games the Seahawks' offense ranks 9th in EPA/play (+0.068), 5 spots above its season rank (14th).
• Over its last five games the Ravens' offense ranks 28th in EPA/play (-0.115), 5 spots below its season rank (23rd).
• Over its last five games the Jaguars' offense ranks 24th in EPA/play (-0.055), 5 spots below its season rank (19th).
• Over its last five games the Bills' defense ranks 11th in EPA/play allowed (-0.031), 9 spots above its season rank (20th).
• Over its last five games the Giants' defense ranks 17th in EPA/play allowed (+0.013), 9 spots above its season rank (26th).
• Over its last five games the Jaguars' defense ranks 19th in EPA/play allowed (+0.018), 8 spots below its season rank (11th).
• Over its last five games the 49ers' defense ranks 23rd in EPA/play allowed (+0.056), 7 spots below its season rank (16th).

Active streaks

• The Browns' defense has held opponents below the league average in EPA/rush in 7 straight games (since Week 1).
• The Broncos' defense has beaten the league average in sack + QB hit rate in 7 straight games (since Week 1).
• The Browns' defense has held opponents below the league average in success rate in 7 straight games (since Week 1).
• The Colts' offense has beaten the league average in success rate in 7 straight games (since Week 1).
• The Patriots' offense has beaten the league average in EPA/dropback in 6 straight games (since Week 2).
• The Bills' offense has beaten the league average in success rate in 6 straight games (since Week 1).
• The Rams' offense has beaten the league average in success rate in 6 straight games (since Week 2).
• The Patriots' defense has held opponents below the league average in EPA/play in 5 straight games (since Week 3).
• Trey McBride has had a 20%+ target share in 7 straight games (since Week 1).
• Jaxon Smith-Njigba has had 75+ receiving yards in 7 straight games (since Week 1).
• Jordan Love has had positive EPA per play in 6 straight games (since Week 1).
• Drake Maye has had positive EPA per play in 6 straight games (since Week 2).
• Justin Jefferson has had a 25%+ target share in 6 straight games (since Week 1).
• Amon-Ra St. Brown has had a 25%+ target share in 6 straight games (since Week 2).
• Patrick Mahomes has had positive EPA per play in 5 straight games (since Week 3).
• Kareem Hunt has had positive EPA per carry in 5 straight games (since Week 3).

Player movers

• Jayden Daniels rose from 29th to 17th among qualified quarterbacks in EPA/play over the last three weeks (-0.046 to +0.061).
• Aaron Rodgers rose from 17th to 10th among qualified quarterbacks in EPA/play over the last three weeks (+0.065 to +0.165).
• Justin Fields fell from 12th to 27th among qualified quarterbacks in EPA/play over the last three weeks (+0.152 to -0.071).
• Josh Allen fell from 2nd to 9th among qualified quarterbacks in EPA/play over the last three weeks (+0.327 to +0.196).
• Rico Dowdle rose from 30th to 2nd among qualified running backs in EPA/rush over the last three weeks (-0.109 to +0.137).
• D'Andre Swift rose from 35th to 12th among qualified running backs in EPA/rush over the last three weeks (-0.146 to +0.028).
• Jacory Croskey-Merritt fell from 1st to 17th among qualified running backs in EPA/rush over the last three weeks (+0.225 to -0.009).
• Jordan Mason fell from 7th to 21st among qualified running backs in EPA/rush over the last three weeks (+0.051 to -0.046).
• Romeo Doubs rose from 50th to 28th among qualified wide receivers in target share over the last three weeks (17.3% to 22.0%).
• Kendrick Bourne rose from 75th to 56th among qualified wide receivers in target share over the last three weeks (11.5% to 15.8%).
• Elic Ayomanor fell from 28th to 49th among qualified wide receivers in target share over the last three weeks (22.1% to 18.1%).
• Mike Evans fell from 7th to 27th among qualified wide receivers in target share over the last three weeks (29.5% to 22.1%).
• Dallas Goedert rose from 12th to 4th among qualified tight ends in target share over the last three weeks (17.6% to 21.7%).
• Evan Engram rose from 29th to 21st among qualified tight ends in target share over the last three weeks (11.9% to 15.0%).
• Brenton Strange fell from 16th to 25th among qualified tight ends in target share over the last three weeks (16.7% to 14.7%).
• Chig Okonkwo fell from 15th to 23rd among qualified tight ends in target share over the last three weeks (16.8% to 14.8%).