NFL Week 7 trends, 2026
Who rose and who fell after Week 7: offense, defense, streaks and players.
What changed after Week 7
Season-to-date ranks among all 32 teams after Week 7 of the 2026 season, compared with where each team stood after Week 4. Offense numbers are what a team gained; defense numbers are what it allowed, so a defense that "rose" is allowing less. The small line on each card is the rank (or the number) after every week so far: higher on the line is better (for PROE, more pass-heavy).
Offense: EPA/play risers and fallers
Rising
- 23rd11th-0.049 +0.056
The Patriots' offense rose from 23rd to 11th in EPA/play over the last three weeks (-0.049 to +0.056).
- 26th16th-0.091 -0.003
The Packers' offense rose from 26th to 16th in EPA/play over the last three weeks (-0.091 to -0.003).
- 22nd14th-0.047 +0.013
The Giants' offense rose from 22nd to 14th in EPA/play over the last three weeks (-0.047 to +0.013).
Falling
- 17th26th-0.018 -0.050
The Browns' offense fell from 17th to 26th in EPA/play over the last three weeks (-0.018 to -0.050).
- 13th21st+0.018 -0.040
The Seahawks' offense fell from 13th to 21st in EPA/play over the last three weeks (+0.018 to -0.040).
- 25th31st-0.085 -0.135
The Titans' offense fell from 25th to 31st in EPA/play over the last three weeks (-0.085 to -0.135).
Defense: EPA/play allowed risers and fallers
Rising
- 22nd4th+0.041 -0.057
The Packers' defense rose from 22nd to 4th in EPA/play allowed over the last three weeks (+0.041 to -0.057).
- 23rd7th+0.063 -0.049
The Broncos' defense rose from 23rd to 7th in EPA/play allowed over the last three weeks (+0.063 to -0.049).
- 18th9th+0.017 -0.043
The 49ers' defense rose from 18th to 9th in EPA/play allowed over the last three weeks (+0.017 to -0.043).
Falling
- 4th23rd-0.104 +0.054
The Raiders' defense fell from 4th to 23rd in EPA/play allowed over the last three weeks (-0.104 to +0.054).
- 5th16th-0.059 -0.002
The Bears' defense fell from 5th to 16th in EPA/play allowed over the last three weeks (-0.059 to -0.002).
- 8th14th-0.057 -0.018
The Falcons' defense fell from 8th to 14th in EPA/play allowed over the last three weeks (-0.057 to -0.018).
Hot and cold: the last five games
Hot
- Season 23rdLast 5 7th+0.111
Over its last five games the Falcons' offense ranks 7th in EPA/play (+0.111), 16 spots above its season rank (23rd).
- Season 25thLast 5 13th+0.069
Over its last five games the Steelers' offense ranks 13th in EPA/play (+0.069), 12 spots above its season rank (25th).
- Season 22ndLast 5 8th-0.069
Over its last five games the Colts' defense ranks 8th in EPA/play allowed (-0.069), 14 spots above its season rank (22nd).
- Season 18thLast 5 7th-0.077
Over its last five games the Giants' defense ranks 7th in EPA/play allowed (-0.077), 11 spots above its season rank (18th).
Cold
- Season 8thLast 5 15th+0.029
Over its last five games the Ravens' offense ranks 15th in EPA/play (+0.029), 7 spots below its season rank (8th).
- Season 21stLast 5 28th-0.090
Over its last five games the Seahawks' offense ranks 28th in EPA/play (-0.090), 7 spots below its season rank (21st).
- Season 8thLast 5 18th+0.010
Over its last five games the Steelers' defense ranks 18th in EPA/play allowed (+0.010), 10 spots below its season rank (8th).
- Season 6thLast 5 14th-0.016
Over its last five games the Chiefs' defense ranks 14th in EPA/play allowed (-0.016), 8 spots below its season rank (6th).
Quarterbacks
Rising
- 21st8th-0.004 +0.200
Drake Maye rose from 21st to 8th among qualified quarterbacks in EPA/play over the last three weeks (-0.004 to +0.200).
- 13th7th+0.135 +0.218
Joe Burrow rose from 13th to 7th among qualified quarterbacks in EPA/play over the last three weeks (+0.135 to +0.218).
Falling
- 7th16th+0.225 +0.097
Bryce Young fell from 7th to 16th among qualified quarterbacks in EPA/play over the last three weeks (+0.225 to +0.097).
- 16th23rd+0.078 -0.009
Deshaun Watson fell from 16th to 23rd among qualified quarterbacks in EPA/play over the last three weeks (+0.078 to -0.009).
Skill players: running backs, receivers and tight ends
Rising
- 40th22nd-0.179 -0.098
Jacory Croskey-Merritt rose from 40th to 22nd among qualified running backs in EPA/rush over the last three weeks (-0.179 to -0.098).
- 18th1st-0.015 +0.144
Christian McCaffrey rose from 18th to 1st among qualified running backs in EPA/rush over the last three weeks (-0.015 to +0.144).
- 36th11th19.8% 26.2%
Emeka Egbuka rose from 36th to 11th among qualified wide receivers in target share over the last three weeks (19.8% to 26.2%).
- 73rd53rd12.4% 15.2%
Kendrick Bourne rose from 73rd to 53rd among qualified wide receivers in target share over the last three weeks (12.4% to 15.2%).
- 20th9th14.9% 18.8%
Colston Loveland rose from 20th to 9th among qualified tight ends in target share over the last three weeks (14.9% to 18.8%).
- 21st16th14.1% 16.7%
Greg Dulcich rose from 21st to 16th among qualified tight ends in target share over the last three weeks (14.1% to 16.7%).
Falling
- 2nd12th+0.132 +0.027
Bijan Robinson fell from 2nd to 12th among qualified running backs in EPA/rush over the last three weeks (+0.132 to +0.027).
- 1st10th+0.199 +0.047
Brian Robinson fell from 1st to 10th among qualified running backs in EPA/rush over the last three weeks (+0.199 to +0.047).
- 39th60th19.0% 13.8%
Kalif Raymond fell from 39th to 60th among qualified wide receivers in target share over the last three weeks (19.0% to 13.8%).
- 24th42nd23.7% 17.9%
Terry McLaurin fell from 24th to 42nd among qualified wide receivers in target share over the last three weeks (23.7% to 17.9%).
- 16th28th16.4% 12.7%
Kenyon Sadiq fell from 16th to 28th among qualified tight ends in target share over the last three weeks (16.4% to 12.7%).
- 11th20th19.0% 15.2%
Cade Otton fell from 11th to 20th among qualified tight ends in target share over the last three weeks (19.0% to 15.2%).
Other movers
Offense
- 12th5th44.9% 48.5%
The Bengals' offense rose from 12th to 5th in success rate over the last three weeks (44.9% to 48.5%).
- 5th13th49.4% 44.7%
The Falcons' offense fell from 5th to 13th in success rate over the last three weeks (49.4% to 44.7%).
- 21st5th+0.020 +0.211
The Patriots' offense rose from 21st to 5th in EPA/dropback over the last three weeks (+0.020 to +0.211).
- 12th21st+0.146 +0.021
The Browns' offense fell from 12th to 21st in EPA/dropback over the last three weeks (+0.146 to +0.021).
- 15th6th-0.045 +0.023
The 49ers' offense rose from 15th to 6th in EPA/rush over the last three weeks (-0.045 to +0.023).
- 17th25th-0.078 -0.153
The Saints' offense fell from 17th to 25th in EPA/rush over the last three weeks (-0.078 to -0.153).
- 14th4th15.9% 19.8%
The Patriots' offense rose from 14th to 4th in explosive pass rate over the last three weeks (15.9% to 19.8%).
- 15th25th15.7% 13.2%
The Saints' offense fell from 15th to 25th in explosive pass rate over the last three weeks (15.7% to 13.2%).
- 15th6th16.2% 13.1%
The Texans' offense rose from 15th to 6th in sack + QB hit rate allowed over the last three weeks (16.2% to 13.1%).
- 8th23rd14.8% 17.2%
The Cardinals' offense fell from 8th to 23rd in sack + QB hit rate allowed over the last three weeks (14.8% to 17.2%).
- 26th10th33.3% 42.7%
The Ravens' offense rose from 26th to 10th in 3rd-down conversion rate over the last three weeks (33.3% to 42.7%).
- 12th31st40.4% 31.5%
The Broncos' offense fell from 12th to 31st in 3rd-down conversion rate over the last three weeks (40.4% to 31.5%).
- 21st11th-3.8% -0.6%
The Bears' offense became more pass-heavy over the last three weeks: its PROE went from -3.8% (21st) to -0.6% (11th).
- 17th28th-2.1% -5.6%
The Buccaneers' offense became more run-heavy over the last three weeks: its PROE went from -2.1% (17th) to -5.6% (28th).
Defense
- 24th9th46.0% 41.6%
The Steelers' defense rose from 24th to 9th in success rate allowed over the last three weeks (46.0% to 41.6%).
- 3rd19th38.1% 43.9%
The Falcons' defense fell from 3rd to 19th in success rate allowed over the last three weeks (38.1% to 43.9%).
- 21st5th+0.093 -0.034
The Packers' defense rose from 21st to 5th in EPA/dropback allowed over the last three weeks (+0.093 to -0.034).
- 5th25th-0.077 +0.134
The Raiders' defense fell from 5th to 25th in EPA/dropback allowed over the last three weeks (-0.077 to +0.134).
- 19th2nd-0.059 -0.174
The 49ers' defense rose from 19th to 2nd in EPA/rush allowed over the last three weeks (-0.059 to -0.174).
- 7th23rd-0.146 -0.058
The Raiders' defense fell from 7th to 23rd in EPA/rush allowed over the last three weeks (-0.146 to -0.058).
- 21st5th16.7% 12.4%
The Steelers' defense rose from 21st to 5th in explosive pass rate allowed over the last three weeks (16.7% to 12.4%).
- 5th17th11.5% 15.8%
The Patriots' defense fell from 5th to 17th in explosive pass rate allowed over the last three weeks (11.5% to 15.8%).
- 28th18th11.9% 14.4%
The Jets' defense rose from 28th to 18th in sack + QB hit rate over the last three weeks (11.9% to 14.4%).
- 17th27th15.1% 13.1%
The Colts' defense fell from 17th to 27th in sack + QB hit rate over the last three weeks (15.1% to 13.1%).
- 30th15th50.0% 39.8%
The Giants' defense rose from 30th to 15th in 3rd-down conversion rate allowed over the last three weeks (50.0% to 39.8%).
- 11th22nd37.5% 43.3%
The Falcons' defense fell from 11th to 22nd in 3rd-down conversion rate allowed over the last three weeks (37.5% to 43.3%).
Active streaks
The Seahawks' defense has held opponents below the league average in EPA/play in 7 straight games (since Week 1).
The Cowboys' offense has beaten the league average in success rate in 7 straight games (since Week 1).
The 49ers' offense has beaten the league average in success rate in 7 straight games (since Week 1).
The Vikings' defense has held opponents below the league average in EPA/dropback in 6 straight games (since Week 1).
The Vikings' defense has held opponents below the league average in EPA/play in 6 straight games (since Week 1).
The Vikings' defense has beaten the league average in sack + QB hit rate in 6 straight games (since Week 1).
The Seahawks' defense has beaten the league average in sack + QB hit rate in 6 straight games (since Week 2).
The Vikings' defense has held opponents below the league average in success rate in 6 straight games (since Week 1).
Trey McBride has had a 20%+ target share in 7 straight games (since Week 1).
Jaxon Smith-Njigba has had 75+ receiving yards in 7 straight games (since Week 1).
Jaxon Smith-Njigba has had a 25%+ target share in 7 straight games (since Week 1).
Zay Flowers has had a 25%+ target share in 6 straight games (since Week 1).
Jared Goff has had 250+ passing yards in 5 straight games (since Week 2).
Jared Goff has had positive EPA per play in 5 straight games (since Week 2).
Jordan Love has had positive EPA per play in 5 straight games (since Week 3).
James Cook has had 75+ rushing yards in 5 straight games (since Week 2).
EPA/play ranks after Week 7, all 32 teams
Change is the move in rank since Week 4. Select a column heading to sort.
| Team | Offense rank | Change | Offense EPA/play | Defense rank | Change | EPA/play allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Bills | 1st | ▲1 | +0.204 | 29th | -- | +0.128 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 2nd | ▼1 | +0.177 | 9th | ▲9 | -0.043 |
 Jacksonville Jaguars | 3rd | ▲1 | +0.155 | 13th | ▼6 | -0.036 |
| Detroit Lions | 4th | ▲3 | +0.140 | 31st | -- | +0.134 |
 Kansas City Chiefs | 5th | -- | +0.118 | 6th | ▲3 | -0.056 |
| Dallas Cowboys | 6th | -- | +0.114 | 32nd | -- | +0.138 |
 Cincinnati Bengals | 7th | ▲3 | +0.109 | 10th | -- | -0.041 |
| Baltimore Ravens | 8th | ▼5 | +0.081 | 17th | ▼6 | +0.011 |
 Carolina Panthers | 9th | ▼1 | +0.063 | 20th | ▼1 | +0.024 |
 Los Angeles Rams | 10th | ▲1 | +0.059 | 5th | ▼2 | -0.057 |
 New England Patriots | 11th | ▲12 | +0.056 | 19th | ▼6 | +0.020 |
 Chicago Bears | 12th | ▼3 | +0.047 | 16th | ▼11 | -0.002 |
 Houston Texans | 13th | ▲6 | +0.027 | 21st | -- | +0.031 |
 New York Giants | 14th | ▲8 | +0.013 | 18th | ▼2 | +0.011 |
 New York Jets | 15th | ▼3 | +0.013 | 15th | -- | -0.002 |
| Green Bay Packers | 16th | ▲10 | -0.003 | 4th | ▲18 | -0.057 |
 Las Vegas Raiders | 17th | ▼3 | -0.008 | 23rd | ▼19 | +0.054 |
 Washington Commanders | 18th | ▲3 | -0.014 | 25th | ▼5 | +0.067 |
| Arizona Cardinals | 19th | ▲1 | -0.034 | 27th | ▼2 | +0.095 |
 New Orleans Saints | 20th | ▼5 | -0.037 | 26th | ▲4 | +0.075 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 21st | ▼8 | -0.040 | 2nd | -- | -0.131 |
 Denver Broncos | 22nd | ▼6 | -0.041 | 7th | ▲16 | -0.049 |
 Atlanta Falcons | 23rd | ▼5 | -0.042 | 14th | ▼6 | -0.018 |
 Miami Dolphins | 24th | ▲6 | -0.042 | 30th | ▼2 | +0.133 |
 Pittsburgh Steelers | 25th | ▲3 | -0.048 | 8th | ▲6 | -0.044 |
 Cleveland Browns | 26th | ▼9 | -0.050 | 11th | ▲6 | -0.037 |
 Indianapolis Colts | 27th | ▼3 | -0.068 | 22nd | ▲4 | +0.048 |
 Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 28th | ▲3 | -0.084 | 3rd | ▲3 | -0.111 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 29th | ▼2 | -0.096 | 1st | -- | -0.193 |
 Philadelphia Eagles | 30th | ▼1 | -0.116 | 28th | ▼1 | +0.112 |
 Tennessee Titans | 31st | ▼6 | -0.135 | 24th | -- | +0.057 |
 Los Angeles Chargers | 32nd | -- | -0.225 | 12th | -- | -0.036 |
Explore every team and player trend, with rolling form charts, on NFL Trends.
EPA is raw, not adjusted for opponents, so it differs from the opponent-adjusted EPA on Power Rankings. Explosive plays are passes of 15+ yards and designed runs of 10+. Qualified players meet the NFL Player Stats volume minimums for the season so far.