Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors Final — November 5, 2026
MIAOffenseFull 2025-26 regular season (last season)GS
MIADefenseGSMIATeamGSMIARecent formGSMIAHome and roadseason to dateGSMIALast 10 gamesGSInjuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel
MIARest & travelGSMIAKey injuriesGSAbout these numbers
Full 2025-26 regular season (last season), captured before tip-off. League rank in small type (30 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Margin of each of the last 10 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is a straight-line estimate from each team's home arena, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Days of rest are full days off since each team's previous game this season (0 = back-to-back); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.
No key players listed.
Key players only. Injury report as of November 5, 7:50 a.m. ET.
The pre-game matchup
The Heat (3-5) visited the Warriors (5-3) on Thursday, November 5 at 10:10 PM ET.
Last season (2025-26), the Heat scored 120.9 points per game (2nd of 30) and allowed 118.5 (22nd). The Warriors scored 114.6 points per game (21st of 30) and allowed 115.2 (14th).
Offensive rating, the points scored per 100 possessions: Heat 115.8 (12th), Warriors 113.8 (19th). Defensive rating, the points allowed per 100 possessions: Heat 113.6 (13th), Warriors 114.4 (16th). Net rating, the offensive minus defensive rating: Heat +2.2 (13th), Warriors −0.6 (20th). These are last season's full-season numbers because the new season's sample is still small; rosters change over the offseason.
The Heat are 3-5; their last game was a 117-116 win over the Clippers. The Warriors are 5-3 and 6-2 against the spread; their last game was a 116-113 win over the Suns.
The Warriors closed as 3.5-point favorites at home against the Heat. The spread opened at Warriors -6.5. The total closed at 236.5, up from 235.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Heat +139, Warriors -168) prices the Heat at 40% and the Warriors at 60%.
Written from the numbers available before tip-off.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
Miami Heat 100, Golden State Warriors 120
Golden State Warriors won by 20.
- Against the closing spread (Golden State Warriors -3.5): Golden State Warriors covered.
- Combined score 220 vs the closing total of 236.5: Under.
- Golden State Warriors closed at -168 on the moneyline (a 60% no-vig market-implied chance).
Market
Closing line and line movement
Heat +6.5 (-105)
Heat +3.5 (-105)
Warriors -285 71%
Warriors -168 60%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at tip-off. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Points per game27.69th
- Rebounds per game9.812th
- Assists per game5.435th
- Minutes per game28.9
- Points per game20.142nd
- Rebounds per game10.011th
- Assists per game3.2109th
- Minutes per game32.4
- Points per game26.612th
- Rebounds per game3.6199th
- Assists per game4.751st
- Minutes per game30.9
- Points per game20.046th
- Rebounds per game5.686th
- Assists per game4.947th
- Minutes per game31.1
Last season's (2025-26) regular-season per-game averages; players listed with their current team, top two scorers per team, from season player stats captured before game time. Ranks among the 393 players with at least 20 games.
Head-to-head
The teams have met 8 times since 2022: the Heat won 5 and the Warriors 3.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2026 | Heat 112, Warriors 135 Warriors won | ||
| Nov 19, 2025 | Warriors 96, Heat 110 Heat won | ||
| Mar 25, 2025 | Warriors 86, Heat 112 Heat won | ||
| Jan 7, 2025 | Heat 114, Warriors 98 Heat won | ||
| Mar 26, 2024 | Warriors 113, Heat 92 Warriors won |
Meetings since 2022, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.
Teams
Miami Heat
- Miami Heat team stats
- Miami Heat 115, Utah Jazz 109 (Nov 10)
- Miami Heat 114, Sacramento Kings 108 (Nov 8)
- Miami Heat 117, Los Angeles Clippers 116 (Nov 4)
Golden State Warriors
- Golden State Warriors team stats
- Golden State Warriors 108, Houston Rockets 115 (Nov 11)
- New Orleans Pelicans 87, Golden State Warriors 138 (Nov 9)
- Orlando Magic 119, Golden State Warriors 126 (Nov 7)
Gridiron & Wine graded a pick on this game: see the archived pick.
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