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NCAAF

Buffalo Bulls

#119 FBS · 5-3
G&W Power Rating−12.16#119 of 138
Record5-3
Exp W%38.2%what the scoring says
Luck+24.3%winning more than the scoring says
Close W-L2-1games decided by 8 or less

Through games of Oct 27

Team stats

Scoring
For/G21.5100th of 138
Agst/G26.371st of 138
Diff/G−4.8395th of 138
Adj. Margin−12.29107th of 138
SOS−7.46
Efficiency
Off EPA/play (raw)−0.01197th of 138
Def EPA/play (raw)0.08371st of 138
Net EPA/play (raw)−0.09498th of 138
Off SR39.3%136th of 138
Def SR48.8%97th of 138

League ranks among 138 FBS teams. Green = top third, red = bottom third. Same numbers as the NCAAF power rankings table (2026).

Schedule and results

4-2 ATS · O/U 3-3
Next up
Results, newest first

Result vs the close: against the consensus closing spread (covered / missed) and the closing total (O = over, U = under). Against-the-spread and over/under records exclude the postseason and count the 6 of 8 games with a closing line on file. Preview and Recap open the game page.

Team leaders

Passing leader
92/185, 987 YDS, 7 TD, 4 INT
Rushing leader · RB
Messiah Burch
151 CAR, 845 YDS, 5 TD
Receiving leader · WR
Chance Morrow
41 REC, 480 YDS, 6 TD

Season to date, all games.

Buffalo Bulls players on G&W

Against the market

League table ›

4-2 against the close · +41.0 pts

Against the close4-2avg cover margin +6.8
Beat the close by+41.0 ptsover 6 games
Against the bet-time line4-2+44.0 pts in total
Totals vs the close3-3avg +0.5 pts vs the total
Sep 12: −4.5Sep 19: −2.5Oct 3: +10.0Oct 10: +33.5Oct 17: +0.5Oct 24: +4.0+44.0 pts−7.0Sep 12Oct 24
Each game vs the closeRunning total vs the closeRunning total vs the bet-time line

Last 4 games: +12.0 pts a game vs the close.

Home 3Road 3
3-0Against the close1-2
+4.8Avg cover margin+8.8
1-2Over/under2-1
+0.5Total vs the close+0.5
Favorite 2Underdog 4
2-0Against the close2-2
+2.2Avg cover margin+9.1
1-1Over/under2-2
+5.0Total vs the close−1.8
G&W vs the market for the Buffalo Bulls, game by game, is part of Official Plays.See plans ›

Cover margin: the team's final margin plus its closing spread. Positive means they beat the number by that many points. The bet-time line is the consensus line on the morning of the bet window (Tuesday for football, game day for most other sports). The close is the consensus line just before the start. Every game uses only lines captured before it began. Regular season only.

Our record on this team

Full NCAAF archive ›

No graded official plays involving the Buffalo Bulls yet.

About these numbers

G&W Power Rating: how many points (goals, runs) better than an average team on a neutral field. The rank and every stat match the NCAAF power rankings table.

Exp W% is the win percentage the Buffalo Bulls scoring margin says they should have. Luck is actual win % minus Exp W%: positive means winning more than the scoring says, which tends to even out. Close W-L is the record in one-score games.

Closing line. The consensus spread, total and moneyline just before the game started. Each game page shows the full market for that game.