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NCAAF

Michigan Wolverines

#38 FBS · 4-3

G&W Power Rating+7.50#38 of 138

Record4-3

Exp W%64.7%what the scoring says

Luck−7.6%winning less than the scoring says

Close W-L3-3games decided by 8 or less

Through games of Oct 27

Team stats

Scoring

For/G20.3108th of 138

Agst/G15.711th of 138

Diff/G+4.5751st of 138

Adj. Margin+4.9351st of 138

SOS+3.05

Efficiency

Off EPA/play (raw)−0.00596th of 138

Def EPA/play (raw)−0.1755th of 138

Net EPA/play (raw)+0.17122nd of 138

Off SR47.9%58th of 138

Def SR41.8%17th of 138

League ranks among 138 FBS teams. Green = top third, red = bottom third. Same numbers as the NCAAF power rankings table (2026).

Schedule and results

3-4 ATS · O/U 1-6

Next up

Oct 31atRutgers Scarlet KnightsUpcomingPreview ›
Nov 7vsMichigan State SpartansUpcoming
Nov 14atOregon DucksUpcoming
Nov 21vsUCLA BruinsUpcoming
Nov 28atOhio State BuckeyesUpcoming

Results, newest first

Oct 24vsIndiana HoosiersL6–13+7.5 coveredU 43.5Recap ›
Oct 17vsPenn State Nittany LionsW21–18−6.5 missedU 43.5Recap ›
Oct 3atMinnesota Golden GophersL14–20−6.5 missedU 41.5Recap ›
Sep 26vsIowa HawkeyesL19–20−5.5 missedU 39.5
Sep 19vsUTEP MinersW52–17−34.5 coveredO 48.5
Sep 12vsOklahoma SoonersW17–10+4.5 coveredU 43.5
Sep 5vsWestern Michigan BroncosW13–12−27.5 missedU 49.5

Result vs the close: against the consensus closing spread (covered / missed) and the closing total (O = over, U = under). Against-the-spread and over/under records exclude the postseason. Preview and Recap open the game page.

Team leaders

Passing leader

72/124, 924 YDS, 5 TD, 6 INT

Rushing leader · RB

Jordan Marshall

81 CAR, 319 YDS, 4 TD

Receiving leader · WR

JJ Buchanan

33 REC, 539 YDS, 4 TD

Season to date, all games.

Michigan Wolverines players on G&W

Trends

G&W Power Rating rank

#38down 26 since Sep 26

Last 5 vs season (points)

Record2-3season 4-3

Scored per game22.4▲ season 20.3

Allowed per game17.6▲ season 15.7

Margin per game+4.8 season +4.6

Against the spread2-3season 3-4

Rank is the G&W Power Rating rank on each day we published it. Last-5 numbers are regular-season games.

Against the market

League table ›

3-4 against the close · −36.5 pts

Against the close3-4avg cover margin −5.2

Beat the close by−36.5 ptsover 7 games

Against the bet-time line1-5-1−35.5 pts in total

Totals vs the close1-6avg −8.2 pts vs the total

Each game vs the closeRunning total vs the closeRunning total vs the bet-time line

Last 4 games: −5.5 pts a game vs the close.

Home 6Road 1

3-3Against the close0-1

−4.0Avg cover margin−12.5

1-5Over/under0-1

−8.3Total vs the close−7.5

Favorite 5Underdog 2

1-4Against the close2-0

−9.7Avg cover margin+6.0

1-4Over/under0-2

−3.3Total vs the close−20.5

G&W vs the market for the Michigan Wolverines, game by game, is part of Official Plays.See plans ›

Cover margin: the team's final margin plus its closing spread. Positive means they beat the number by that many points. The bet-time line is the consensus line on the morning of the bet window (Tuesday for football, game day for most other sports). The close is the consensus line just before the start. Every game uses only lines captured before it began. Regular season only.

Our record on this team

Full NCAAF archive ›

Graded plays

2-2-0

W-L-P

+0.50u

Units

+10.7%

ROI

Every graded official play that involved this team, on either side, at the price it was sent. The same plays as the Pick Archive and Results.

About these numbers

G&W Power Rating: how many points (goals, runs) better than an average team on a neutral field. The rank and every stat match the NCAAF power rankings table.

Exp W% is the win percentage the Michigan Wolverines scoring margin says they should have. Luck is actual win % minus Exp W%: positive means winning more than the scoring says, which tends to even out. Close W-L is the record in one-score games.

Closing line. The consensus spread, total and moneyline just before the game started. Each game page shows the full market for that game.