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NCAAF · October 31, 2026

Michigan Wolverines vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights Preview & Odds — October 31, 2026

Michigan Wolverines

4-3

Quarterback Tommy Carr

Rutgers Scarlet Knights

1-5

Quarterback AJ Surace

Saturday, October 31 · 12:30 PM ET

MICHOffense2026 regular season to dateRUTG

96th−0.005

EPA/play

−0.062115th

58th47.9%

Success %

47.8%60th

108th20.3

PPG

23.882nd

MICHDefenseRUTG

5th−0.175

EPA/play allowed

+0.207123rd

17th41.8%

Success % allowed

50.8%117th

11th15.7

Opp PPG

37.7129th

MICHRecent formRUTG

Wvs UTEP 52-17Lvs Iowa 19-20L@ Minnesota 14-20Wvs Penn State 21-18Lvs Indiana 6-13

Resultsoldest to newest

Lvs USC 35-42Wvs Howard 58-7Lvs Indiana 15-47W@ Maryland 37-30L@ Northwestern 14-42

4-3

Record

2-5

3-4

ATS

3-4

1-6

Over–under

5-2

MICHHome and roadseason to dateRUTG

4-2

Home record

1-3

0-1

Road record

1-2

3-3

Home ATS

2-2

0-1

Road ATS

1-2

1-5

Home O/U

4-0

0-1

Road O/U

1-2

MICHLast 10 gamesRUTG

Game by game

4-3

Last 7

2-5

+32

Net points

-32

Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)

Rest & travelrest and travel

MICHRest & travelRUTG

7 days

Days of rest

7 days

496 mi798 km

Travel to the game

Home

Venue

SHI Stadium

About these numbers

2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.

Margin of each of the last 7 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.

Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.

Matchup preview

Michigan (4-3) visits Rutgers (1-5) on Saturday, October 31 at 12:30 PM ET.

Michigan has the 96th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 5th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Rutgers has the 115th-ranked offense and the 123rd-ranked defense. When Michigan has the ball, a 96th-ranked offense (−0.005 EPA per play) meets a 123rd-ranked defense (+0.207 allowed); when Rutgers has it, a 115th-ranked offense (−0.062) meets a 5th-ranked defense (−0.175 allowed).

By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Michigan offense is at 47.9% (58th) and the Rutgers offense at 47.8% (60th). Michigan scores 20.3 points per game (108th) and allows 15.7 (11th); Rutgers scores 23.8 (82nd) and allows 37.7 (129th).

Michigan is 4-3 and 3-4 against the spread; its last game was a 13-6 loss to Indiana. Rutgers is 2-5 and 3-4 against the spread; its last game was a 42-14 loss to Northwestern.

Michigan is a 14.5-point road favorite, with Rutgers getting the points at home. The spread has not moved since it opened. The total is 46.5, down from 47.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Michigan -625, Rutgers +450) prices Michigan at 83% and Rutgers at 17%.

Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.

Market

Odds and line movement

Spreadno move

OpenRutgers +14.5 (-108)
Michigan -14.5 (-112)

NowRutgers +14.5 (-113)
Michigan -14.5 (-107)

Totaldown 1

Open47.5 (o -110 / u -110)

Now46.5 (o -112 / u -107)

Moneyline

OpenMichigan -683 84%
Rutgers +486 16%

NowMichigan -625 83%
Rutgers +450 17%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Best available prices on Oct 28

Michigan -14.5+108Novig
Rutgers +14.5-110theScore Bet
Over 46.5-106Novig
Under 46.5+100Novig
Michigan-525Novig
Rutgers+510BetRivers

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score

Spread

Total

Win %

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Matchup

Players to watch

Michigan

QB · Tommy Carr

Attempts32
Completion %68.8%
Passing yards199
Yards per attempt6.2
TD–INT1–1

Leading rusher (RB) · Jordan Marshall

Rushing yards319181st
Season line81 carries, 319 yds, 4 TD

Leading receiver (WR) · JJ Buchanan

Receiving yards53941st
Season line33 catches, 539 yds, 4 TD

Leading tackler (LB) · Troy Bowles

Tackles5579th

Rutgers

QB · AJ Surace

Attempts60
Completion %56.7%
Passing yards474
Yards per attempt7.9
TD–INT5–5

Leading rusher (RB) · Antwan Raymond

Rushing yards64823rd
Season line123 carries, 648 yds, 6 TD

Leading receiver (WR) · KJ Duff

Receiving yards7747th
Season line45 catches, 774 yds, 9 TD

Leading tackler (DB) · Chris Joines

Tackles34434th

Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured October 28, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.

Success by situation

Situation	Michigan	Rutgers
Early-down success rateMichigan offense vs Rutgers defense	44.3%53rd	45.6%106th
Early-down success rateRutgers offense vs Michigan defense	38.3%13th	45.9%35th
3rd-down conversion rateMichigan offense vs Rutgers defense	39.1%82nd	44.6%104th
3rd-down conversion rateRutgers offense vs Michigan defense	35.2%31st	40.9%63rd
Explosive play rateMichigan offense vs Rutgers defense	4.5%130th	8.9%125th
Explosive play rateRutgers offense vs Michigan defense	4.7%12th	5.8%104th
Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks	44.0%114th-highest	50.1%76th-highest

On 3rd down Michigan converts 39.1% (82nd) against a Rutgers defense allowing 44.6% (104th).

On 3rd down Rutgers converts 40.9% (63rd) against a Michigan defense allowing 35.2% (31st).

2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.

Coaching staff

Staff	Michigan	Rutgers
Head coach	Kyle Whittingham	Greg Schiano
Tenureat this school	1st season	7th season
Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below	4–3	101–113
Career recordas an FBS head coach	181–91	101–113
Offensive coordinator	Jason Beck	Kirk Ciarrocca
Defensive coordinator	Jay Hill	Travis Johansen

Staff list as of October 27, 6:50 a.m. ET.

Head-to-head

The teams have met 3 times since 2021: Michigan won 3 and Rutgers 0.

Date	Score	Line	Total
Sep 23, 2023	Rutgers 7, Michigan 31 Michigan won
Nov 5, 2022	Michigan 52, Rutgers 17 Michigan won
Sep 25, 2021	Rutgers 13, Michigan 20 Michigan won

Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.

Result

After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.

Teams