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NCAAF

Michigan State Spartans

#59 FBS · 2-6
G&W Power Rating+1.99#59 of 138
Record2-6
Exp W%35.1%what the scoring says
Luck−10.1%winning less than the scoring says
Close W-L0-2games decided by 8 or less

Through games of Oct 27

Team stats

Scoring
For/G19.9112th of 138
Agst/G25.868th of 138
Diff/G−5.8899th of 138
Adj. Margin+4.2556th of 138
SOS+11.06
Efficiency
Off EPA/play (raw)−0.022102nd of 138
Def EPA/play (raw)0.11683rd of 138
Net EPA/play (raw)−0.138112th of 138
Off SR46.8%73rd of 138
Def SR46.0%57th of 138

League ranks among 138 FBS teams. Green = top third, red = bottom third. Same numbers as the NCAAF power rankings table (2026).

Schedule and results

4-3-1 ATS · O/U 2-6
Next up
Results, newest first

Result vs the close: against the consensus closing spread (covered / missed) and the closing total (O = over, U = under). Against-the-spread and over/under records exclude the postseason. Preview and Recap open the game page.

Team leaders

Passing leader · QB
Alessio Milivojevic
121/185, 1263 YDS, 7 TD, 3 INT
Rushing leader · RB
Jaziun Patterson
76 CAR, 327 YDS, 5 TD
Receiving leader · WR
Chrishon McCray
29 REC, 289 YDS, 1 TD

Season to date, all games.

Michigan State Spartans players on G&W

Against the market

League table ›

4-3-1 against the close · −4.5 pts

Against the close4-3-1avg cover margin −0.6
Beat the close by−4.5 ptsover 8 games
Against the bet-time line4-3-1−3.5 pts in total
Totals vs the close2-6avg −2.4 pts vs the total
Sep 4: +0.0Sep 12: +10.5Sep 19: +12.5Sep 26: −12.5Oct 3: −19.5Oct 10: +1.5Oct 17: +4.5Oct 24: −1.5+23.5 pts−19.5Sep 4Oct 24
Each game vs the closeRunning total vs the closeRunning total vs the bet-time line

Last 4 games: −3.8 pts a game vs the close.

Home 5Road 3
3-1-1Against the close1-2
+0.8Avg cover margin−2.8
2-3Over/under0-3
+2.1Total vs the close−9.8
Favorite 2Underdog 6
1-0-1Against the close3-3
+5.2Avg cover margin−2.5
1-1Over/under1-5
−3.0Total vs the close−2.2
G&W vs the market for the Michigan State Spartans, game by game, is part of Official Plays.See plans ›

Cover margin: the team's final margin plus its closing spread. Positive means they beat the number by that many points. The bet-time line is the consensus line on the morning of the bet window (Tuesday for football, game day for most other sports). The close is the consensus line just before the start. Every game uses only lines captured before it began. Regular season only.

Our record on this team

Full NCAAF archive ›
2
Graded plays
0-1-1
W-L-P
-1.00u
Units
-100.0%
ROI

Every graded official play that involved this team, on either side, at the price it was sent. The same plays as the Pick Archive and Results.

About these numbers

G&W Power Rating: how many points (goals, runs) better than an average team on a neutral field. The rank and every stat match the NCAAF power rankings table.

Exp W% is the win percentage the Michigan State Spartans scoring margin says they should have. Luck is actual win % minus Exp W%: positive means winning more than the scoring says, which tends to even out. Close W-L is the record in one-score games.

Closing line. The consensus spread, total and moneyline just before the game started. Each game page shows the full market for that game.