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NCAAF

UCF Knights

#39 FBS · 4-3
G&W Power Rating+7.26#39 of 138
Record4-3
Exp W%50.4%what the scoring says
Luck+6.7%winning more than the scoring says
Close W-L2-1games decided by 8 or less

Through games of Oct 27

Team stats

Scoring
For/G26.066th of 138
Agst/G25.869th of 138
Diff/G+0.1770th of 138
Adj. Margin+10.6836th of 138
SOS+10.52
Efficiency
Off EPA/play (raw)−0.024103rd of 138
Def EPA/play (raw)0.07470th of 138
Net EPA/play (raw)−0.098101st of 138
Off SR43.5%104th of 138
Def SR48.4%88th of 138

League ranks among 138 FBS teams. Green = top third, red = bottom third. Same numbers as the NCAAF power rankings table (2026).

Schedule and results

4-2 ATS · O/U 3-3
Next up
Results, newest first

Result vs the close: against the consensus closing spread (covered / missed) and the closing total (O = over, U = under). Against-the-spread and over/under records exclude the postseason and count the 6 of 7 games with a closing line on file. Preview and Recap open the game page.

Team leaders

Passing leader · QB
Keyone Jenkins
108/159, 1099 YDS, 11 TD, 3 INT
Rushing leader · RB
Duke Watson
85 CAR, 577 YDS, 3 TD
Receiving leader · WR
Josh Derry
34 REC, 358 YDS, 3 TD

Season to date, all games.

UCF Knights players on G&W

Against the market

League table ›

4-2 against the close · +22.5 pts

Against the close4-2avg cover margin +3.8
Beat the close by+22.5 ptsover 6 games
Against the bet-time line4-2+21.5 pts in total
Totals vs the close3-3avg +1.5 pts vs the total
Sep 12: +2.0Sep 19: −3.5Sep 26: +11.5Oct 3: +0.5Oct 10: −3.5Oct 24: +15.5+22.5 pts−3.5Sep 12Oct 24
Each game vs the closeRunning total vs the closeRunning total vs the bet-time line

Last 4 games: +6.0 pts a game vs the close.

Home 3Road 3
2-1Against the close2-1
+7.8Avg cover margin−0.3
2-1Over/under1-2
+11.8Total vs the close−8.8
Favorite 1Underdog 5
0-1Against the close4-1
−3.5Avg cover margin+5.2
1-0Over/under2-3
+23.5Total vs the close−2.9
G&W vs the market for the UCF Knights, game by game, is part of Official Plays.See plans ›

Cover margin: the team's final margin plus its closing spread. Positive means they beat the number by that many points. The bet-time line is the consensus line on the morning of the bet window (Tuesday for football, game day for most other sports). The close is the consensus line just before the start. Every game uses only lines captured before it began. Regular season only.

Our record on this team

Full NCAAF archive ›
2
Graded plays
2-0-0
W-L-P
+2.00u
Units
+87.3%
ROI

Every graded official play that involved this team, on either side, at the price it was sent. The same plays as the Pick Archive and Results.

About these numbers

G&W Power Rating: how many points (goals, runs) better than an average team on a neutral field. The rank and every stat match the NCAAF power rankings table.

Exp W% is the win percentage the UCF Knights scoring margin says they should have. Luck is actual win % minus Exp W%: positive means winning more than the scoring says, which tends to even out. Close W-L is the record in one-score games.

Closing line. The consensus spread, total and moneyline just before the game started. Each game page shows the full market for that game.