Home › Analytics › NCAAF Power Rankings › TCU Horned Frogs
NCAAF

TCU Horned Frogs

#37 FBS · 3-4
G&W Power Rating+7.57#37 of 138
Record3-4
Exp W%56.8%what the scoring says
Luck−13.9%winning less than the scoring says
Close W-L0-4games decided by 8 or less

Through games of Oct 27

Team stats

Scoring
For/G16.8126th of 138
Agst/G15.09th of 138
Diff/G+1.8361st of 138
Adj. Margin+7.8745th of 138
SOS+6.67
Efficiency
Off EPA/play (raw)0.01590th of 138
Def EPA/play (raw)−0.04529th of 138
Net EPA/play (raw)+0.06043rd of 138
Off SR45.4%88th of 138
Def SR41.4%14th of 138

League ranks among 138 FBS teams. Green = top third, red = bottom third. Same numbers as the NCAAF power rankings table (2026).

Schedule and results

2-3 ATS · O/U 0-5
Next up
Results, newest first

Result vs the close: against the consensus closing spread (covered / missed) and the closing total (O = over, U = under). Against-the-spread and over/under records exclude the postseason and count the 5 of 7 games with a closing line on file. Preview and Recap open the game page.

Team leaders

Passing leader · QB
Jaden Craig
162/240, 2066 YDS, 11 TD, 6 INT
Rushing leader · RB
Jeremy Payne
88 CAR, 429 YDS, 2 TD
Receiving leader · WR
Ed Small
38 REC, 514 YDS, 2 TD

Season to date, all games.

TCU Horned Frogs players on G&W

Against the market

League table ›

2-3 against the close · −7.5 pts

Against the close2-3avg cover margin −1.5
Beat the close by−7.5 ptsover 5 games
Against the bet-time line2-4−16.5 pts in total
Totals vs the close0-5avg −19.3 pts vs the total
Sep 19: +5.0Sep 26: −11.5Oct 3: −1.5Oct 17: +15.0Oct 24: −14.5+15.0 pts−20.5Sep 19Oct 24
Each game vs the closeRunning total vs the closeRunning total vs the bet-time line

Last 4 games: −3.1 pts a game vs the close.

Home 3Road 2
1-2Against the close1-1
−3.7Avg cover margin+1.8
0-3Over/under0-2
−18.2Total vs the close−21.0
Favorite 3Underdog 2
1-2Against the close1-1
−7.0Avg cover margin+6.8
0-3Over/under0-2
−15.8Total vs the close−24.5
G&W vs the market for the TCU Horned Frogs, game by game, is part of Official Plays.See plans ›

Cover margin: the team's final margin plus its closing spread. Positive means they beat the number by that many points. The bet-time line is the consensus line on the morning of the bet window (Tuesday for football, game day for most other sports). The close is the consensus line just before the start. Every game uses only lines captured before it began. Regular season only.

Our record on this team

Full NCAAF archive ›
4
Graded plays
2-2-0
W-L-P
-2.75u
Units
-39.2%
ROI

Every graded official play that involved this team, on either side, at the price it was sent. The same plays as the Pick Archive and Results.

About these numbers

G&W Power Rating: how many points (goals, runs) better than an average team on a neutral field. The rank and every stat match the NCAAF power rankings table.

Exp W% is the win percentage the TCU Horned Frogs scoring margin says they should have. Luck is actual win % minus Exp W%: positive means winning more than the scoring says, which tends to even out. Close W-L is the record in one-score games.

Closing line. The consensus spread, total and moneyline just before the game started. Each game page shows the full market for that game.