NFL Week 11 trends, 2025

What changed after Week 11

Season-to-date ranks among all 32 teams after Week 11 of the 2025 season, compared with where each team stood after Week 8. Offense numbers are what a team gained; defense numbers are what it allowed, so a defense that "rose" is allowing less.

Offense: EPA/play risers and fallers

• The 49ers' offense rose from 18th to 10th in EPA/play over the last three weeks (+0.016 to +0.067).
• The Bears' offense rose from 14th to 9th in EPA/play over the last three weeks (+0.026 to +0.069).
• The Giants' offense rose from 23rd to 18th in EPA/play over the last three weeks (-0.033 to +0.005).
• The Chargers' offense fell from 12th to 20th in EPA/play over the last three weeks (+0.046 to +0.001).
• The Eagles' offense fell from 8th to 14th in EPA/play over the last three weeks (+0.087 to +0.032).
• The Steelers' offense fell from 11th to 16th in EPA/play over the last three weeks (+0.064 to +0.019).

Defense: EPA/play allowed risers and fallers

• The Eagles' defense rose from 18th to 7th in EPA/play allowed over the last three weeks (+0.004 to -0.053).
• The Ravens' defense rose from 30th to 22nd in EPA/play allowed over the last three weeks (+0.143 to +0.033).
• The Chargers' defense rose from 17th to 9th in EPA/play allowed over the last three weeks (-0.006 to -0.038).
• The Buccaneers' defense fell from 4th to 12th in EPA/play allowed over the last three weeks (-0.080 to -0.027).
• The Bills' defense fell from 11th to 19th in EPA/play allowed over the last three weeks (-0.025 to +0.020).
• The Commanders' defense fell from 24th to 31st in EPA/play allowed over the last three weeks (+0.075 to +0.137).

Other movers

• The Bears' offense rose from 22nd to 12th in success rate over the last three weeks (43.5% to 45.5%).
• The Eagles' offense fell from 14th to 23rd in success rate over the last three weeks (44.9% to 42.7%).
• The 49ers' offense rose from 17th to 10th in EPA/dropback over the last three weeks (+0.093 to +0.150).
• The Colts' offense fell from 3rd to 9th in EPA/dropback over the last three weeks (+0.278 to +0.160).
• The Bears' offense rose from 20th to 8th in EPA/rush over the last three weeks (-0.080 to -0.014).
• The Eagles' offense fell from 3rd to 18th in EPA/rush over the last three weeks (+0.042 to -0.042).
• The Cardinals' offense rose from 25th to 13th in explosive pass rate over the last three weeks (13.7% to 15.7%).
• The Eagles' offense fell from 15th to 24th in explosive pass rate over the last three weeks (15.2% to 14.2%).
• The Eagles' offense rose from 15th to 9th in sack + QB hit rate allowed over the last three weeks (14.1% to 11.8%).
• The Packers' offense fell from 7th to 15th in sack + QB hit rate allowed over the last three weeks (11.0% to 14.0%).
• The Seahawks' offense rose from 28th to 14th in 3rd-down conversion rate over the last three weeks (33.8% to 40.5%).
• The Falcons' offense fell from 15th to 29th in 3rd-down conversion rate over the last three weeks (39.8% to 34.2%).
• The Raiders' offense became more pass-heavy over the last three weeks: its PROE went from -3.0% (21st) to +0.2% (10th).
• The Commanders' offense became more run-heavy over the last three weeks: its PROE went from +0.5% (10th) to -2.9% (19th).
• The Ravens' defense rose from 30th to 17th in success rate allowed over the last three weeks (48.6% to 45.0%).
• The Commanders' defense fell from 17th to 26th in success rate allowed over the last three weeks (44.4% to 47.6%).
• The Steelers' defense rose from 24th to 16th in EPA/dropback allowed over the last three weeks (+0.152 to +0.018).
• The Buccaneers' defense fell from 7th to 15th in EPA/dropback allowed over the last three weeks (-0.029 to +0.015).
• The Rams' defense rose from 16th to 4th in EPA/rush allowed over the last three weeks (-0.075 to -0.131).
• The Raiders' defense fell from 6th to 17th in EPA/rush allowed over the last three weeks (-0.145 to -0.052).
• The Patriots' defense rose from 30th to 20th in explosive pass rate allowed over the last three weeks (18.6% to 16.4%).
• The Falcons' defense fell from 11th to 27th in explosive pass rate allowed over the last three weeks (14.7% to 17.5%).
• The Cowboys' defense rose from 17th to 6th in sack + QB hit rate over the last three weeks (14.6% to 16.8%).
• The Packers' defense fell from 4th to 12th in sack + QB hit rate over the last three weeks (17.9% to 15.9%).
• The Ravens' defense rose from 29th to 11th in 3rd-down conversion rate allowed over the last three weeks (45.3% to 37.0%).
• The Jaguars' defense fell from 18th to 28th in 3rd-down conversion rate allowed over the last three weeks (39.5% to 43.9%).

EPA/play ranks after Week 11, all 32 teams

Hot and cold: the last five games

• Over its last five games the Bengals' offense ranks 4th in EPA/play (+0.139), 21 spots above its season rank (25th).
• Over its last five games the Giants' offense ranks 10th in EPA/play (+0.106), 8 spots above its season rank (18th).
• Over its last five games the Buccaneers' offense ranks 23rd in EPA/play (-0.047), 8 spots below its season rank (15th).
• Over its last five games the Commanders' offense ranks 21st in EPA/play (-0.038), 8 spots below its season rank (13th).
• Over its last five games the Ravens' defense ranks 2nd in EPA/play allowed (-0.154), 20 spots above its season rank (22nd).
• Over its last five games the Dolphins' defense ranks 12th in EPA/play allowed (-0.033), 16 spots above its season rank (28th).
• Over its last five games the Vikings' defense ranks 24th in EPA/play allowed (+0.074), 11 spots below its season rank (13th).
• Over its last five games the Broncos' defense ranks 11th in EPA/play allowed (-0.055), 8 spots below its season rank (3rd).

Active streaks

• The Texans' defense has held opponents below the league average in EPA/play in 8 straight games (since Week 3).
• The Texans' defense has held opponents below the league average in EPA/rush in 8 straight games (since Week 3).
• The Texans' defense has held opponents below the league average in success rate in 8 straight games (since Week 3).
• The Cardinals' offense has beaten the league average in 3rd-down conversion rate in 7 straight games (since Week 4).
• The Giants' offense has beaten the league average in EPA/play in 6 straight games (since Week 6).
• The Colts' offense has beaten the league average in EPA/rush in 6 straight games (since Week 5).
• The Ravens' defense has held opponents below the league average in EPA/dropback in 5 straight games (since Week 6).
• The Seahawks' defense has held opponents below the league average in EPA/dropback in 5 straight games (since Week 6).
• Drake Maye has had positive EPA per play in 10 straight games (since Week 2).
• Jaxon Smith-Njigba has had 75+ receiving yards in 10 straight games (since Week 1).
• Justin Jefferson has had a 25%+ target share in 10 straight games (since Week 1).
• Amon-Ra St. Brown has had a 25%+ target share in 9 straight games (since Week 2).
• Kareem Hunt has had positive EPA per carry in 8 straight games (since Week 3).
• Patrick Mahomes has had 250+ passing yards in 7 straight games (since Week 4).
• Jonathan Taylor has had positive EPA per carry in 6 straight games (since Week 5).
• Travis Kelce has had 50+ receiving yards in 6 straight games (since Week 5).

Player movers

• Mac Jones rose from 18th to 11th among qualified quarterbacks in EPA/play over the last three weeks (+0.072 to +0.142).
• Josh Allen rose from 8th to 3rd among qualified quarterbacks in EPA/play over the last three weeks (+0.215 to +0.244).
• Aaron Rodgers fell from 15th to 26th among qualified quarterbacks in EPA/play over the last three weeks (+0.105 to +0.011).
• Lamar Jackson fell from 4th to 10th among qualified quarterbacks in EPA/play over the last three weeks (+0.283 to +0.160).
• TreVeyon Henderson rose from 28th to 8th among qualified running backs in EPA/rush over the last three weeks (-0.090 to +0.042).
• Kyren Williams rose from 29th to 15th among qualified running backs in EPA/rush over the last three weeks (-0.100 to +0.017).
• Jacory Croskey-Merritt fell from 15th to 31st among qualified running backs in EPA/rush over the last three weeks (-0.024 to -0.083).
• Quinshon Judkins fell from 11th to 23rd among qualified running backs in EPA/rush over the last three weeks (+0.015 to -0.049).
• Michael Wilson rose from 72nd to 60th among qualified wide receivers in target share over the last three weeks (11.7% to 15.6%).
• Marvin Harrison Jr. rose from 51st to 39th among qualified wide receivers in target share over the last three weeks (17.3% to 20.4%).
• Tyquan Thornton fell from 66th to 80th among qualified wide receivers in target share over the last three weeks (12.8% to 10.6%).
• Calvin Ridley fell from 42nd to 55th among qualified wide receivers in target share over the last three weeks (19.0% to 16.4%).
• Dalton Schultz rose from 14th to 8th among qualified tight ends in target share over the last three weeks (17.5% to 19.3%).
• Oronde Gadsden II rose from 26th to 20th among qualified tight ends in target share over the last three weeks (14.3% to 15.5%).
• T.J. Hockenson fell from 15th to 21st among qualified tight ends in target share over the last three weeks (17.1% to 15.3%).
• David Njoku fell from 19th to 25th among qualified tight ends in target share over the last three weeks (15.4% to 13.9%).