NFL Week 10 trends, 2025

What changed after Week 10

Season-to-date ranks among all 32 teams after Week 10 of the 2025 season, compared with where each team stood after Week 7. Offense numbers are what a team gained; defense numbers are what it allowed, so a defense that "rose" is allowing less.

Offense: EPA/play risers and fallers

• The Ravens' offense rose from 23rd to 16th in EPA/play over the last three weeks (-0.037 to +0.024).
• The Bears' offense rose from 15th to 9th in EPA/play over the last three weeks (+0.026 to +0.083).
• The Bengals' offense rose from 28th to 23rd in EPA/play over the last three weeks (-0.091 to -0.011).
• The Steelers' offense fell from 8th to 20th in EPA/play over the last three weeks (+0.104 to -0.003).
• The Panthers' offense fell from 20th to 27th in EPA/play over the last three weeks (-0.007 to -0.064).
• The Cardinals' offense fell from 18th to 24th in EPA/play over the last three weeks (+0.001 to -0.014).

Defense: EPA/play allowed risers and fallers

• The Chargers' defense rose from 22nd to 7th in EPA/play allowed over the last three weeks (+0.043 to -0.053).
• The Ravens' defense rose from 30th to 23rd in EPA/play allowed over the last three weeks (+0.161 to +0.074).
• The Saints' defense rose from 23rd to 17th in EPA/play allowed over the last three weeks (+0.044 to +0.015).
• The Bears' defense fell from 7th to 20th in EPA/play allowed over the last three weeks (-0.051 to +0.020).
• The Falcons' defense fell from 8th to 19th in EPA/play allowed over the last three weeks (-0.038 to +0.017).
• The 49ers' defense fell from 16th to 25th in EPA/play allowed over the last three weeks (-0.004 to +0.085).

Other movers

• The Bengals' offense rose from 23rd to 15th in success rate over the last three weeks (42.2% to 44.9%).
• The Vikings' offense fell from 9th to 21st in success rate over the last three weeks (46.6% to 43.2%).
• The Bengals' offense rose from 30th to 23rd in EPA/dropback over the last three weeks (-0.115 to -0.025).
• The Steelers' offense fell from 10th to 22nd in EPA/dropback over the last three weeks (+0.167 to +0.005).
• The Bears' offense rose from 19th to 8th in EPA/rush over the last three weeks (-0.084 to +0.001).
• The Packers' offense fell from 7th to 17th in EPA/rush over the last three weeks (-0.002 to -0.039).
• The Chargers' offense rose from 23rd to 13th in explosive pass rate over the last three weeks (13.9% to 16.0%).
• The Steelers' offense fell from 15th to 28th in explosive pass rate over the last three weeks (15.2% to 13.2%).
• The Texans' offense rose from 18th to 9th in sack + QB hit rate allowed over the last three weeks (14.5% to 12.3%).
• The Chiefs' offense fell from 15th to 22nd in sack + QB hit rate allowed over the last three weeks (13.8% to 16.6%).
• The Seahawks' offense rose from 28th to 14th in 3rd-down conversion rate over the last three weeks (33.8% to 40.0%).
• The Falcons' offense fell from 10th to 29th in 3rd-down conversion rate over the last three weeks (42.9% to 34.0%).
• The Colts' offense became more pass-heavy over the last three weeks: its PROE went from -0.3% (14th) to +1.2% (7th).
• The Commanders' offense became more run-heavy over the last three weeks: its PROE went from -0.3% (13th) to -2.5% (19th).
• The Patriots' defense rose from 25th to 15th in success rate allowed over the last three weeks (46.9% to 44.8%).
• The Commanders' defense fell from 12th to 26th in success rate allowed over the last three weeks (43.3% to 47.2%).
• The Chargers' defense rose from 16th to 4th in EPA/dropback allowed over the last three weeks (+0.054 to -0.053).
• The 49ers' defense fell from 18th to 27th in EPA/dropback allowed over the last three weeks (+0.075 to +0.191).
• The Rams' defense rose from 18th to 3rd in EPA/rush allowed over the last three weeks (-0.075 to -0.138).
• The Raiders' defense fell from 6th to 16th in EPA/rush allowed over the last three weeks (-0.145 to -0.057).
• The Buccaneers' defense rose from 17th to 7th in explosive pass rate allowed over the last three weeks (15.3% to 13.9%).
• The Bears' defense fell from 11th to 25th in explosive pass rate allowed over the last three weeks (14.3% to 17.5%).
• The Bills' defense rose from 17th to 3rd in sack + QB hit rate over the last three weeks (14.9% to 18.9%).
• The Packers' defense fell from 4th to 12th in sack + QB hit rate over the last three weeks (18.7% to 15.9%).
• The Chargers' defense rose from 20th to 6th in 3rd-down conversion rate allowed over the last three weeks (39.8% to 34.5%).
• The Chiefs' defense fell from 6th to 21st in 3rd-down conversion rate allowed over the last three weeks (35.6% to 41.2%).

EPA/play ranks after Week 10, all 32 teams

Hot and cold: the last five games

• Over its last five games the Bengals' offense ranks 4th in EPA/play (+0.167), 19 spots above its season rank (23rd).
• Over its last five games the Giants' offense ranks 8th in EPA/play (+0.126), 14 spots above its season rank (22nd).
• Over its last five games the Commanders' offense ranks 25th in EPA/play (-0.068), 10 spots below its season rank (15th).
• Over its last five games the Bills' offense ranks 13th in EPA/play (+0.087), 9 spots below its season rank (4th).
• Over its last five games the Dolphins' defense ranks 11th in EPA/play allowed (-0.025), 16 spots above its season rank (27th).
• Over its last five games the Ravens' defense ranks 14th in EPA/play allowed (+0.009), 9 spots above its season rank (23rd).
• Over its last five games the Vikings' defense ranks 25th in EPA/play allowed (+0.085), 14 spots below its season rank (11th).
• Over its last five games the Jaguars' defense ranks 28th in EPA/play allowed (+0.116), 13 spots below its season rank (15th).

Active streaks

• The Browns' defense has held opponents below the league average in EPA/rush in 9 straight games (since Week 1).
• The Rams' offense has beaten the league average in success rate in 8 straight games (since Week 2).
• The Texans' defense has held opponents below the league average in EPA/dropback in 7 straight games (since Week 3).
• The Texans' defense has held opponents below the league average in EPA/play in 7 straight games (since Week 3).
• The Texans' defense has held opponents below the league average in EPA/rush in 7 straight games (since Week 3).
• The Texans' defense has held opponents below the league average in success rate in 7 straight games (since Week 3).
• The Colts' offense has beaten the league average in EPA/rush in 6 straight games (since Week 5).
• The Cardinals' offense has beaten the league average in 3rd-down conversion rate in 6 straight games (since Week 4).
• Drake Maye has had positive EPA per play in 9 straight games (since Week 2).
• Trey McBride has had a 20%+ target share in 9 straight games (since Week 1).
• Jaxon Smith-Njigba has had 75+ receiving yards in 9 straight games (since Week 1).
• Justin Jefferson has had a 25%+ target share in 9 straight games (since Week 1).
• Amon-Ra St. Brown has had a 25%+ target share in 8 straight games (since Week 2).
• Kareem Hunt has had positive EPA per carry in 7 straight games (since Week 3).
• Patrick Mahomes has had 250+ passing yards in 6 straight games (since Week 4).
• Matthew Stafford has had positive EPA per play in 6 straight games (since Week 4).

Player movers

• Jaxson Dart rose from 22nd to 14th among qualified quarterbacks in EPA/play over the last three weeks (+0.046 to +0.112).
• Sam Darnold rose from 7th to 1st among qualified quarterbacks in EPA/play over the last three weeks (+0.239 to +0.290).
• Aaron Rodgers fell from 10th to 24th among qualified quarterbacks in EPA/play over the last three weeks (+0.165 to +0.005).
• Carson Wentz fell from 14th to 21st among qualified quarterbacks in EPA/play over the last three weeks (+0.113 to +0.030).
• Kyren Williams rose from 28th to 17th among qualified running backs in EPA/rush over the last three weeks (-0.100 to -0.013).
• Breece Hall rose from 27th to 22nd among qualified running backs in EPA/rush over the last three weeks (-0.095 to -0.050).
• Jaylen Warren fell from 9th to 20th among qualified running backs in EPA/rush over the last three weeks (+0.037 to -0.031).
• Bijan Robinson fell from 14th to 25th among qualified running backs in EPA/rush over the last three weeks (-0.004 to -0.068).
• Troy Franklin rose from 44th to 27th among qualified wide receivers in target share over the last three weeks (18.9% to 22.1%).
• Khalil Shakir rose from 42nd to 25th among qualified wide receivers in target share over the last three weeks (19.4% to 22.1%).
• Marquise Brown fell from 36th to 49th among qualified wide receivers in target share over the last three weeks (20.1% to 17.7%).
• Jakobi Meyers fell from 22nd to 32nd among qualified wide receivers in target share over the last three weeks (23.6% to 21.4%).
• Cade Otton rose from 24th to 15th among qualified tight ends in target share over the last three weeks (14.8% to 17.3%).
• Oronde Gadsden II rose from 27th to 21st among qualified tight ends in target share over the last three weeks (13.5% to 15.1%).
• T.J. Hockenson fell from 12th to 22nd among qualified tight ends in target share over the last three weeks (18.2% to 14.9%).
• Jonnu Smith fell from 19th to 27th among qualified tight ends in target share over the last three weeks (15.7% to 13.8%).