NFL Week 12 trends, 2025

What changed after Week 12

Season-to-date ranks among all 32 teams after Week 12 of the 2025 season, compared with where each team stood after Week 9. Offense numbers are what a team gained; defense numbers are what it allowed, so a defense that "rose" is allowing less.

Offense: EPA/play risers and fallers

• The Giants' offense rose from 23rd to 16th in EPA/play over the last three weeks (-0.013 to +0.016).
• The Dolphins' offense rose from 25th to 19th in EPA/play over the last three weeks (-0.034 to -0.004).
• The Commanders' offense rose from 20th to 14th in EPA/play over the last three weeks (+0.015 to +0.033).
• The Buccaneers' offense fell from 17th to 22nd in EPA/play over the last three weeks (+0.019 to -0.019).
• The Chargers' offense fell from 14th to 18th in EPA/play over the last three weeks (+0.050 to +0.001).
• The Cardinals' offense fell from 19th to 23rd in EPA/play over the last three weeks (+0.015 to -0.020).

Defense: EPA/play allowed risers and fallers

• The Eagles' defense rose from 18th to 7th in EPA/play allowed over the last three weeks (+0.004 to -0.050).
• The Jaguars' defense rose from 15th to 8th in EPA/play allowed over the last three weeks (-0.004 to -0.046).
• The Seahawks' defense rose from 9th to 5th in EPA/play allowed over the last three weeks (-0.034 to -0.059).
• The Buccaneers' defense fell from 5th to 14th in EPA/play allowed over the last three weeks (-0.080 to -0.016).
• The Bills' defense fell from 12th to 20th in EPA/play allowed over the last three weeks (-0.018 to +0.013).
• The Commanders' defense fell from 26th to 31st in EPA/play allowed over the last three weeks (+0.108 to +0.137).

Other movers

• The Falcons' offense rose from 22nd to 16th in success rate over the last three weeks (43.4% to 44.4%).
• The Jets' offense fell from 15th to 21st in success rate over the last three weeks (45.1% to 42.8%).
• The Commanders' offense rose from 20th to 13th in EPA/dropback over the last three weeks (+0.042 to +0.090).
• The Buccaneers' offense fell from 13th to 22nd in EPA/dropback over the last three weeks (+0.113 to +0.012).
• The Lions' offense rose from 14th to 5th in EPA/rush over the last three weeks (-0.025 to +0.035).
• The Eagles' offense fell from 4th to 16th in EPA/rush over the last three weeks (+0.042 to -0.044).
• The Jaguars' offense rose from 26th to 15th in explosive pass rate over the last three weeks (13.6% to 15.6%).
• The Buccaneers' offense fell from 9th to 17th in explosive pass rate over the last three weeks (17.5% to 15.1%).
• The Eagles' offense rose from 16th to 7th in sack + QB hit rate allowed over the last three weeks (14.1% to 12.1%).
• The Packers' offense fell from 8th to 17th in sack + QB hit rate allowed over the last three weeks (11.7% to 14.4%).
• The Buccaneers' offense rose from 26th to 16th in 3rd-down conversion rate over the last three weeks (36.3% to 39.2%).
• The Raiders' offense fell from 11th to 25th in 3rd-down conversion rate over the last three weeks (41.2% to 36.2%).
• The Titans' offense became more pass-heavy over the last three weeks: its PROE went from -3.5% (24th) to -2.2% (18th).
• The Vikings' offense became more run-heavy over the last three weeks: its PROE went from +0.5% (11th) to -1.5% (16th).
• The Ravens' defense rose from 27th to 16th in success rate allowed over the last three weeks (47.5% to 44.1%).
• The Commanders' defense fell from 20th to 27th in success rate allowed over the last three weeks (45.8% to 47.6%).
• The Browns' defense rose from 14th to 4th in EPA/dropback allowed over the last three weeks (+0.035 to -0.078).
• The Buccaneers' defense fell from 6th to 19th in EPA/dropback allowed over the last three weeks (-0.029 to +0.033).
• The Ravens' defense rose from 29th to 19th in EPA/rush allowed over the last three weeks (+0.034 to -0.042).
• The Bears' defense fell from 12th to 23rd in EPA/rush allowed over the last three weeks (-0.085 to -0.025).
• The Patriots' defense rose from 29th to 18th in explosive pass rate allowed over the last three weeks (18.2% to 16.2%).
• The Giants' defense fell from 14th to 22nd in explosive pass rate allowed over the last three weeks (15.2% to 16.5%).
• The Browns' defense rose from 12th to 2nd in sack + QB hit rate over the last three weeks (16.1% to 19.8%).
• The Rams' defense fell from 3rd to 9th in sack + QB hit rate over the last three weeks (19.6% to 16.3%).
• The Falcons' defense rose from 27th to 17th in 3rd-down conversion rate allowed over the last three weeks (43.5% to 38.7%).
• The Vikings' defense fell from 6th to 13th in 3rd-down conversion rate allowed over the last three weeks (35.0% to 37.3%).

EPA/play ranks after Week 12, all 32 teams

Hot and cold: the last five games

• Over its last five games the Bengals' offense ranks 10th in EPA/play (+0.083), 15 spots above its season rank (25th).
• Over its last five games the Giants' offense ranks 7th in EPA/play (+0.105), 9 spots above its season rank (16th).
• Over its last five games the Steelers' offense ranks 25th in EPA/play (-0.077), 10 spots below its season rank (15th).
• Over its last five games the Cowboys' offense ranks 15th in EPA/play (+0.030), 9 spots below its season rank (6th).
• Over its last five games the Ravens' defense ranks 3rd in EPA/play allowed (-0.177), 19 spots above its season rank (22nd).
• Over its last five games the Dolphins' defense ranks 16th in EPA/play allowed (-0.033), 11 spots above its season rank (27th).
• Over its last five games the Vikings' defense ranks 23rd in EPA/play allowed (+0.035), 10 spots below its season rank (13th).
• Over its last five games the Bears' defense ranks 26th in EPA/play allowed (+0.056), 9 spots below its season rank (17th).

Active streaks

• The Texans' defense has held opponents below the league average in EPA/play in 9 straight games (since Week 3).
• The Texans' defense has held opponents below the league average in success rate in 9 straight games (since Week 3).
• The Giants' offense has beaten the league average in EPA/play in 7 straight games (since Week 6).
• The Ravens' defense has held opponents below the league average in EPA/play in 6 straight games (since Week 6).
• The Dolphins' defense has held opponents below the league average in EPA/rush in 5 straight games (since Week 7).
• The Eagles' defense has held opponents below the league average in EPA/rush in 5 straight games (since Week 7).
• The Browns' defense has beaten the league average in sack + QB hit rate in 5 straight games (since Week 7).
• The Ravens' defense has held opponents below the league average in success rate in 5 straight games (since Week 8).
• Drake Maye has had positive EPA per play in 11 straight games (since Week 2).
• Jaxon Smith-Njigba has had 75+ receiving yards in 11 straight games (since Week 1).
• Justin Jefferson has had a 25%+ target share in 11 straight games (since Week 1).
• Amon-Ra St. Brown has had a 25%+ target share in 10 straight games (since Week 2).
• Patrick Mahomes has had 250+ passing yards in 8 straight games (since Week 4).
• Jaxon Smith-Njigba has had a 25%+ target share in 7 straight games (since Week 5).
• Jacoby Brissett has had 250+ passing yards in 6 straight games (since Week 6).
• Trey McBride has had 50+ receiving yards in 6 straight games (since Week 6).

Player movers

• Mac Jones rose from 14th to 10th among qualified quarterbacks in EPA/play over the last three weeks (+0.115 to +0.142).
• Matthew Stafford rose from 11th to 7th among qualified quarterbacks in EPA/play over the last three weeks (+0.157 to +0.171).
• Jacoby Brissett fell from 13th to 25th among qualified quarterbacks in EPA/play over the last three weeks (+0.118 to +0.017).
• Lamar Jackson fell from 3rd to 12th among qualified quarterbacks in EPA/play over the last three weeks (+0.304 to +0.135).
• TreVeyon Henderson rose from 26th to 9th among qualified running backs in EPA/rush over the last three weeks (-0.077 to +0.043).
• Chase Brown rose from 32nd to 19th among qualified running backs in EPA/rush over the last three weeks (-0.083 to -0.032).
• Breece Hall fell from 18th to 31st among qualified running backs in EPA/rush over the last three weeks (-0.038 to -0.089).
• Blake Corum fell from 7th to 18th among qualified running backs in EPA/rush over the last three weeks (+0.058 to -0.022).
• Michael Wilson rose from 75th to 47th among qualified wide receivers in target share over the last three weeks (11.9% to 17.5%).
• Darnell Mooney rose from 63rd to 49th among qualified wide receivers in target share over the last three weeks (14.4% to 17.2%).
• Calvin Ridley fell from 44th to 55th among qualified wide receivers in target share over the last three weeks (19.0% to 16.4%).
• Ricky Pearsall fell from 41st to 50th among qualified wide receivers in target share over the last three weeks (19.7% to 17.2%).
• Zach Ertz rose from 11th to 5th among qualified tight ends in target share over the last three weeks (18.3% to 19.6%).
• AJ Barner rose from 30th to 25th among qualified tight ends in target share over the last three weeks (12.6% to 14.3%).
• Dallas Goedert fell from 3rd to 9th among qualified tight ends in target share over the last three weeks (21.0% to 19.1%).
• Dalton Kincaid fell from 16th to 22nd among qualified tight ends in target share over the last three weeks (16.8% to 15.3%).