NFL Week 3 trends, 2026
Who rose and who fell after Week 3: offense, defense, streaks and players.
What changed after Week 3
Season-to-date ranks among all 32 teams after Week 3 of the 2026 season, compared with where each team stood after Week 1. Offense numbers are what a team gained; defense numbers are what it allowed, so a defense that "rose" is allowing less.
Offense: EPA/play risers and fallers
- The Rams' offense rose from 29th to 15th in EPA/play over the last two weeks (-0.265 to +0.013).
- The Broncos' offense rose from 32nd to 20th in EPA/play over the last two weeks (-0.344 to -0.057).
- The Lions' offense rose from 16th to 7th in EPA/play over the last two weeks (+0.000 to +0.133).
- The Giants' offense fell from 2nd to 18th in EPA/play over the last two weeks (+0.369 to -0.035).
- The Texans' offense fell from 13th to 24th in EPA/play over the last two weeks (+0.069 to -0.092).
- The Bears' offense fell from 1st to 8th in EPA/play over the last two weeks (+0.409 to +0.127).
Defense: EPA/play allowed risers and fallers
- The Panthers' defense rose from 32nd to 14th in EPA/play allowed over the last two weeks (+0.409 to -0.022).
- The Rams' defense rose from 25th to 8th in EPA/play allowed over the last two weeks (+0.179 to -0.070).
- The Bears' defense rose from 26th to 10th in EPA/play allowed over the last two weeks (+0.182 to -0.044).
- The Cardinals' defense fell from 5th to 28th in EPA/play allowed over the last two weeks (-0.244 to +0.123).
- The Dolphins' defense fell from 13th to 30th in EPA/play allowed over the last two weeks (-0.039 to +0.162).
- The Lions' defense fell from 14th to 29th in EPA/play allowed over the last two weeks (-0.031 to +0.149).
Other movers
- The Bills' offense rose from 24th to 6th in success rate over the last two weeks (40.4% to 50.0%).
- The Buccaneers' offense fell from 9th to 30th in success rate over the last two weeks (47.1% to 36.7%).
- The Rams' offense rose from 29th to 17th in EPA/dropback over the last two weeks (-0.352 to +0.072).
- The Giants' offense fell from 2nd to 19th in EPA/dropback over the last two weeks (+0.667 to -0.003).
- The Bills' offense rose from 28th to 3rd in EPA/rush over the last two weeks (-0.263 to +0.065).
- The Texans' offense fell from 9th to 27th in EPA/rush over the last two weeks (+0.030 to -0.218).
- The 49ers' offense rose from 25th to 3rd in explosive pass rate over the last two weeks (8.3% to 22.5%).
- The Browns' offense fell from 14th to 29th in explosive pass rate over the last two weeks (16.0% to 10.6%).
- The Broncos' offense rose from 25th to 6th in sack + QB hit rate allowed over the last two weeks (21.2% to 13.1%).
- The Chargers' offense fell from 9th to 31st in sack + QB hit rate allowed over the last two weeks (11.4% to 20.2%).
- The Dolphins' offense rose from 27th to 14th in 3rd-down conversion rate over the last two weeks (20.0% to 41.5%).
- The Vikings' offense fell from 5th to 31st in 3rd-down conversion rate over the last two weeks (57.1% to 30.2%).
- The Rams' offense became more pass-heavy over the last two weeks: its PROE went from -17.3% (32nd) to -0.8% (13th).
- The Titans' offense became more run-heavy over the last two weeks: its PROE went from +4.9% (4th) to -10.2% (31st).
- The Rams' defense rose from 30th to 8th in success rate allowed over the last two weeks (56.2% to 41.4%).
- The Commanders' defense fell from 3rd to 27th in success rate allowed over the last two weeks (35.3% to 47.3%).
- The Rams' defense rose from 22nd to 4th in EPA/dropback allowed over the last two weeks (+0.208 to -0.105).
- The Cardinals' defense fell from 9th to 30th in EPA/dropback allowed over the last two weeks (-0.191 to +0.385).
- The Buccaneers' defense rose from 25th to 6th in EPA/rush allowed over the last two weeks (+0.050 to -0.206).
- The Patriots' defense fell from 8th to 30th in EPA/rush allowed over the last two weeks (-0.151 to +0.031).
- The Panthers' defense rose from 26th to 5th in explosive pass rate allowed over the last two weeks (19.4% to 10.2%).
- The Dolphins' defense fell from 4th to 30th in explosive pass rate allowed over the last two weeks (6.5% to 22.2%).
- The Texans' defense rose from 26th to 9th in sack + QB hit rate over the last two weeks (9.4% to 17.4%).
- The Chiefs' defense fell from 8th to 28th in sack + QB hit rate over the last two weeks (21.2% to 11.1%).
- The Buccaneers' defense rose from 27th to 8th in 3rd-down conversion rate allowed over the last two weeks (57.1% to 34.9%).
- The 49ers' defense fell from 7th to 20th in 3rd-down conversion rate allowed over the last two weeks (22.2% to 42.9%).
EPA/play ranks after Week 3, all 32 teams
| Team | Offense rank | After Wk 1 | Offense EPA/play | Defense rank | After Wk 1 | EPA/play allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco 49ers | 1st ▲7 | 8th | +0.357 | 16th ▼12 | 4th | -0.007 |
| Buffalo Bills | 2nd ▲3 | 5th | +0.218 | 24th ▼4 | 20th | +0.075 |
| Baltimore Ravens | 3rd ▲1 | 4th | +0.193 | 19th ▼13 | 6th | +0.022 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 4th ▲6 | 10th | +0.184 | 6th ▼5 | 1st | -0.092 |
| Dallas Cowboys | 5th ▲1 | 6th | +0.175 | 32nd ▼1 | 31st | +0.191 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 6th ▼3 | 3rd | +0.174 | 4th ▲5 | 9th | -0.104 |
| Detroit Lions | 7th ▲9 | 16th | +0.133 | 29th ▼15 | 14th | +0.149 |
| Chicago Bears | 8th ▼7 | 1st | +0.127 | 10th ▲16 | 26th | -0.044 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 9th ▲8 | 17th | +0.058 | 5th ▲3 | 8th | -0.093 |
| Carolina Panthers | 10th ▼3 | 7th | +0.053 | 14th ▲18 | 32nd | -0.022 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 11th ▲3 | 14th | +0.051 | 3rd ▲9 | 12th | -0.156 |
| New York Jets | 12th ▼3 | 9th | +0.044 | 13th ▼2 | 11th | -0.032 |
| Arizona Cardinals | 13th ▼2 | 11th | +0.042 | 28th ▼23 | 5th | +0.123 |
| Washington Commanders | 14th ▲1 | 15th | +0.018 | 26th ▼5 | 21st | +0.076 |
| Los Angeles Rams | 15th ▲14 | 29th | +0.013 | 8th ▲17 | 25th | -0.070 |
| New Orleans Saints | 16th ▲3 | 19th | +0.010 | 23rd ▼6 | 17th | +0.068 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 17th ▲3 | 20th | -0.007 | 2nd ▲5 | 7th | -0.177 |
| New York Giants | 18th ▼16 | 2nd | -0.035 | 27th | 27th | +0.117 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 19th ▼7 | 12th | -0.046 | 25th ▼7 | 18th | +0.076 |
| Denver Broncos | 20th ▲12 | 32nd | -0.057 | 21st ▲2 | 23rd | +0.045 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 21st ▲6 | 27th | -0.060 | 31st ▼2 | 29th | +0.172 |
| Cleveland Browns | 22nd ▲2 | 24th | -0.060 | 17th ▲13 | 30th | -0.003 |
| Tennessee Titans | 23rd ▼1 | 22nd | -0.066 | 20th ▲4 | 24th | +0.033 |
| Houston Texans | 24th ▼11 | 13th | -0.092 | 15th ▲13 | 28th | -0.008 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 25th ▼7 | 18th | -0.119 | 1st ▲9 | 10th | -0.181 |
| Green Bay Packers | 26th ▼3 | 23rd | -0.122 | 22nd ▼7 | 15th | +0.066 |
| Miami Dolphins | 27th ▼1 | 26th | -0.127 | 30th ▼17 | 13th | +0.162 |
| New England Patriots | 28th ▼7 | 21st | -0.146 | 11th ▲8 | 19th | -0.040 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 29th ▲2 | 31st | -0.151 | 9th ▼6 | 3rd | -0.050 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 30th | 30th | -0.169 | 12th ▼10 | 2nd | -0.037 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 31st ▼3 | 28th | -0.188 | 18th ▲4 | 22nd | +0.017 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 32nd ▼7 | 25th | -0.193 | 7th ▲9 | 16th | -0.083 |
Active streaks
- The Broncos' defense has held opponents below the league average in EPA/dropback in 3 straight games (since Week 1).
- The Raiders' defense has held opponents below the league average in EPA/dropback in 3 straight games (since Week 1).
- The Vikings' defense has held opponents below the league average in EPA/dropback in 3 straight games (since Week 1).
- The Raiders' defense has held opponents below the league average in EPA/play in 3 straight games (since Week 1).
- The Vikings' defense has held opponents below the league average in EPA/play in 3 straight games (since Week 1).
- The Seahawks' defense has held opponents below the league average in EPA/play in 3 straight games (since Week 1).
- The Falcons' defense has held opponents below the league average in EPA/rush in 3 straight games (since Week 1).
- The Texans' defense has held opponents below the league average in EPA/rush in 3 straight games (since Week 1).
- Bryce Young has had 250+ passing yards in 3 straight games (since Week 1).
- Tyler Shough has had 250+ passing yards in 3 straight games (since Week 1).
- Geno Smith has had positive EPA per play in 3 straight games (since Week 1).
- Dak Prescott has had positive EPA per play in 3 straight games (since Week 1).
- Patrick Mahomes has had positive EPA per play in 3 straight games (since Week 1).
- Lamar Jackson has had positive EPA per play in 3 straight games (since Week 1).
- Brock Purdy has had positive EPA per play in 3 straight games (since Week 1).
- CJ Donaldson has had positive EPA per carry in 3 straight games (since Week 1).
Player movers
- Matthew Stafford rose from 31st to 21st among qualified quarterbacks in EPA/play over the last two weeks (-0.578 to +0.038).
- Brock Purdy rose from 11th to 1st among qualified quarterbacks in EPA/play over the last two weeks (+0.206 to +0.649).
- Drake Maye fell from 16th to 30th among qualified quarterbacks in EPA/play over the last two weeks (+0.063 to -0.150).
- Jalen Hurts fell from 12th to 22nd among qualified quarterbacks in EPA/play over the last two weeks (+0.166 to +0.029).
- Brian Robinson rose from 33rd to 1st among qualified running backs in EPA/rush over the last two weeks (-0.117 to +0.103).
- Bijan Robinson rose from 31st to 5th among qualified running backs in EPA/rush over the last two weeks (-0.098 to +0.072).
- Jadarian Price fell from 14th to 44th among qualified running backs in EPA/rush over the last two weeks (+0.103 to -0.445).
- Woody Marks fell from 7th to 33rd among qualified running backs in EPA/rush over the last two weeks (+0.163 to -0.174).
- Adonai Mitchell rose from 67th to 16th among qualified wide receivers in target share over the last two weeks (13.0% to 25.4%).
- Ja'Marr Chase rose from 72nd to 22nd among qualified wide receivers in target share over the last two weeks (11.8% to 24.5%).
- Pat Bryant fell from 27th to 80th among qualified wide receivers in target share over the last two weeks (22.2% to 10.3%).
- Kendrick Bourne fell from 32nd to 70th among qualified wide receivers in target share over the last two weeks (21.6% to 12.4%).
- Harold Fannin Jr. rose from 23rd to 7th among qualified tight ends in target share over the last two weeks (13.6% to 22.0%).
- Tyler Warren rose from 17th to 5th among qualified tight ends in target share over the last two weeks (17.2% to 23.4%).
- Evan Engram fell from 12th to 33rd among qualified tight ends in target share over the last two weeks (18.5% to 9.2%).
- Noah Fant fell from 18th to 32nd among qualified tight ends in target share over the last two weeks (15.4% to 9.7%).
Explore every team and player trend, with rolling form charts, on NFL Trends.
Play-by-play data: nflverse (CC-BY 4.0). EPA is raw, not adjusted for opponents, so it differs from the opponent-adjusted EPA on Power Rankings. Explosive plays are passes of 15+ yards and designed runs of 10+. Qualified players meet the NFL Player Stats volume minimums for the season so far.