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NFL Week 3 trends, 2026

Who rose and who fell after Week 3: offense, defense, streaks and players.

What changed after Week 3

Season-to-date ranks among all 32 teams after Week 3 of the 2026 season, compared with where each team stood after Week 1. Offense numbers are what a team gained; defense numbers are what it allowed, so a defense that "rose" is allowing less.

Offense: EPA/play risers and fallers

  • The Rams' offense rose from 29th to 15th in EPA/play over the last two weeks (-0.265 to +0.013).
  • The Broncos' offense rose from 32nd to 20th in EPA/play over the last two weeks (-0.344 to -0.057).
  • The Lions' offense rose from 16th to 7th in EPA/play over the last two weeks (+0.000 to +0.133).
  • The Giants' offense fell from 2nd to 18th in EPA/play over the last two weeks (+0.369 to -0.035).
  • The Texans' offense fell from 13th to 24th in EPA/play over the last two weeks (+0.069 to -0.092).
  • The Bears' offense fell from 1st to 8th in EPA/play over the last two weeks (+0.409 to +0.127).

Defense: EPA/play allowed risers and fallers

  • The Panthers' defense rose from 32nd to 14th in EPA/play allowed over the last two weeks (+0.409 to -0.022).
  • The Rams' defense rose from 25th to 8th in EPA/play allowed over the last two weeks (+0.179 to -0.070).
  • The Bears' defense rose from 26th to 10th in EPA/play allowed over the last two weeks (+0.182 to -0.044).
  • The Cardinals' defense fell from 5th to 28th in EPA/play allowed over the last two weeks (-0.244 to +0.123).
  • The Dolphins' defense fell from 13th to 30th in EPA/play allowed over the last two weeks (-0.039 to +0.162).
  • The Lions' defense fell from 14th to 29th in EPA/play allowed over the last two weeks (-0.031 to +0.149).

Other movers

  • The Bills' offense rose from 24th to 6th in success rate over the last two weeks (40.4% to 50.0%).
  • The Buccaneers' offense fell from 9th to 30th in success rate over the last two weeks (47.1% to 36.7%).
  • The Rams' offense rose from 29th to 17th in EPA/dropback over the last two weeks (-0.352 to +0.072).
  • The Giants' offense fell from 2nd to 19th in EPA/dropback over the last two weeks (+0.667 to -0.003).
  • The Bills' offense rose from 28th to 3rd in EPA/rush over the last two weeks (-0.263 to +0.065).
  • The Texans' offense fell from 9th to 27th in EPA/rush over the last two weeks (+0.030 to -0.218).
  • The 49ers' offense rose from 25th to 3rd in explosive pass rate over the last two weeks (8.3% to 22.5%).
  • The Browns' offense fell from 14th to 29th in explosive pass rate over the last two weeks (16.0% to 10.6%).
  • The Broncos' offense rose from 25th to 6th in sack + QB hit rate allowed over the last two weeks (21.2% to 13.1%).
  • The Chargers' offense fell from 9th to 31st in sack + QB hit rate allowed over the last two weeks (11.4% to 20.2%).
  • The Dolphins' offense rose from 27th to 14th in 3rd-down conversion rate over the last two weeks (20.0% to 41.5%).
  • The Vikings' offense fell from 5th to 31st in 3rd-down conversion rate over the last two weeks (57.1% to 30.2%).
  • The Rams' offense became more pass-heavy over the last two weeks: its PROE went from -17.3% (32nd) to -0.8% (13th).
  • The Titans' offense became more run-heavy over the last two weeks: its PROE went from +4.9% (4th) to -10.2% (31st).
  • The Rams' defense rose from 30th to 8th in success rate allowed over the last two weeks (56.2% to 41.4%).
  • The Commanders' defense fell from 3rd to 27th in success rate allowed over the last two weeks (35.3% to 47.3%).
  • The Rams' defense rose from 22nd to 4th in EPA/dropback allowed over the last two weeks (+0.208 to -0.105).
  • The Cardinals' defense fell from 9th to 30th in EPA/dropback allowed over the last two weeks (-0.191 to +0.385).
  • The Buccaneers' defense rose from 25th to 6th in EPA/rush allowed over the last two weeks (+0.050 to -0.206).
  • The Patriots' defense fell from 8th to 30th in EPA/rush allowed over the last two weeks (-0.151 to +0.031).
  • The Panthers' defense rose from 26th to 5th in explosive pass rate allowed over the last two weeks (19.4% to 10.2%).
  • The Dolphins' defense fell from 4th to 30th in explosive pass rate allowed over the last two weeks (6.5% to 22.2%).
  • The Texans' defense rose from 26th to 9th in sack + QB hit rate over the last two weeks (9.4% to 17.4%).
  • The Chiefs' defense fell from 8th to 28th in sack + QB hit rate over the last two weeks (21.2% to 11.1%).
  • The Buccaneers' defense rose from 27th to 8th in 3rd-down conversion rate allowed over the last two weeks (57.1% to 34.9%).
  • The 49ers' defense fell from 7th to 20th in 3rd-down conversion rate allowed over the last two weeks (22.2% to 42.9%).

EPA/play ranks after Week 3, all 32 teams

TeamOffense rankAfter Wk 1Offense EPA/playDefense rankAfter Wk 1EPA/play allowed
San Francisco 49ers1st ▲78th+0.35716th ▼124th-0.007
Buffalo Bills2nd ▲35th+0.21824th ▼420th+0.075
Baltimore Ravens3rd ▲14th+0.19319th ▼136th+0.022
Kansas City Chiefs4th ▲610th+0.1846th ▼51st-0.092
Dallas Cowboys5th ▲16th+0.17532nd ▼131st+0.191
Jacksonville Jaguars6th ▼33rd+0.1744th ▲59th-0.104
Detroit Lions7th ▲916th+0.13329th ▼1514th+0.149
Chicago Bears8th ▼71st+0.12710th ▲1626th-0.044
Cincinnati Bengals9th ▲817th+0.0585th ▲38th-0.093
Carolina Panthers10th ▼37th+0.05314th ▲1832nd-0.022
Seattle Seahawks11th ▲314th+0.0513rd ▲912th-0.156
New York Jets12th ▼39th+0.04413th ▼211th-0.032
Arizona Cardinals13th ▼211th+0.04228th ▼235th+0.123
Washington Commanders14th ▲115th+0.01826th ▼521st+0.076
Los Angeles Rams15th ▲1429th+0.0138th ▲1725th-0.070
New Orleans Saints16th ▲319th+0.01023rd ▼617th+0.068
Las Vegas Raiders17th ▲320th-0.0072nd ▲57th-0.177
New York Giants18th ▼162nd-0.03527th27th+0.117
Philadelphia Eagles19th ▼712th-0.04625th ▼718th+0.076
Denver Broncos20th ▲1232nd-0.05721st ▲223rd+0.045
Indianapolis Colts21st ▲627th-0.06031st ▼229th+0.172
Cleveland Browns22nd ▲224th-0.06017th ▲1330th-0.003
Tennessee Titans23rd ▼122nd-0.06620th ▲424th+0.033
Houston Texans24th ▼1113th-0.09215th ▲1328th-0.008
Minnesota Vikings25th ▼718th-0.1191st ▲910th-0.181
Green Bay Packers26th ▼323rd-0.12222nd ▼715th+0.066
Miami Dolphins27th ▼126th-0.12730th ▼1713th+0.162
New England Patriots28th ▼721st-0.14611th ▲819th-0.040
Atlanta Falcons29th ▲231st-0.1519th ▼63rd-0.050
Pittsburgh Steelers30th30th-0.16912th ▼102nd-0.037
Los Angeles Chargers31st ▼328th-0.18818th ▲422nd+0.017
Tampa Bay Buccaneers32nd ▼725th-0.1937th ▲916th-0.083

Active streaks

  • The Broncos' defense has held opponents below the league average in EPA/dropback in 3 straight games (since Week 1).
  • The Raiders' defense has held opponents below the league average in EPA/dropback in 3 straight games (since Week 1).
  • The Vikings' defense has held opponents below the league average in EPA/dropback in 3 straight games (since Week 1).
  • The Raiders' defense has held opponents below the league average in EPA/play in 3 straight games (since Week 1).
  • The Vikings' defense has held opponents below the league average in EPA/play in 3 straight games (since Week 1).
  • The Seahawks' defense has held opponents below the league average in EPA/play in 3 straight games (since Week 1).
  • The Falcons' defense has held opponents below the league average in EPA/rush in 3 straight games (since Week 1).
  • The Texans' defense has held opponents below the league average in EPA/rush in 3 straight games (since Week 1).
  • Bryce Young has had 250+ passing yards in 3 straight games (since Week 1).
  • Tyler Shough has had 250+ passing yards in 3 straight games (since Week 1).
  • Geno Smith has had positive EPA per play in 3 straight games (since Week 1).
  • Dak Prescott has had positive EPA per play in 3 straight games (since Week 1).
  • Patrick Mahomes has had positive EPA per play in 3 straight games (since Week 1).
  • Lamar Jackson has had positive EPA per play in 3 straight games (since Week 1).
  • Brock Purdy has had positive EPA per play in 3 straight games (since Week 1).
  • CJ Donaldson has had positive EPA per carry in 3 straight games (since Week 1).

Player movers

  • Matthew Stafford rose from 31st to 21st among qualified quarterbacks in EPA/play over the last two weeks (-0.578 to +0.038).
  • Brock Purdy rose from 11th to 1st among qualified quarterbacks in EPA/play over the last two weeks (+0.206 to +0.649).
  • Drake Maye fell from 16th to 30th among qualified quarterbacks in EPA/play over the last two weeks (+0.063 to -0.150).
  • Jalen Hurts fell from 12th to 22nd among qualified quarterbacks in EPA/play over the last two weeks (+0.166 to +0.029).
  • Brian Robinson rose from 33rd to 1st among qualified running backs in EPA/rush over the last two weeks (-0.117 to +0.103).
  • Bijan Robinson rose from 31st to 5th among qualified running backs in EPA/rush over the last two weeks (-0.098 to +0.072).
  • Jadarian Price fell from 14th to 44th among qualified running backs in EPA/rush over the last two weeks (+0.103 to -0.445).
  • Woody Marks fell from 7th to 33rd among qualified running backs in EPA/rush over the last two weeks (+0.163 to -0.174).
  • Adonai Mitchell rose from 67th to 16th among qualified wide receivers in target share over the last two weeks (13.0% to 25.4%).
  • Ja'Marr Chase rose from 72nd to 22nd among qualified wide receivers in target share over the last two weeks (11.8% to 24.5%).
  • Pat Bryant fell from 27th to 80th among qualified wide receivers in target share over the last two weeks (22.2% to 10.3%).
  • Kendrick Bourne fell from 32nd to 70th among qualified wide receivers in target share over the last two weeks (21.6% to 12.4%).
  • Harold Fannin Jr. rose from 23rd to 7th among qualified tight ends in target share over the last two weeks (13.6% to 22.0%).
  • Tyler Warren rose from 17th to 5th among qualified tight ends in target share over the last two weeks (17.2% to 23.4%).
  • Evan Engram fell from 12th to 33rd among qualified tight ends in target share over the last two weeks (18.5% to 9.2%).
  • Noah Fant fell from 18th to 32nd among qualified tight ends in target share over the last two weeks (15.4% to 9.7%).

Explore every team and player trend, with rolling form charts, on NFL Trends.

Play-by-play data: nflverse (CC-BY 4.0). EPA is raw, not adjusted for opponents, so it differs from the opponent-adjusted EPA on Power Rankings. Explosive plays are passes of 15+ yards and designed runs of 10+. Qualified players meet the NFL Player Stats volume minimums for the season so far.