NFL Week 4 trends, 2026
Who rose and who fell after Week 4: offense, defense, streaks and players.
What changed after Week 4
Season-to-date ranks among all 32 teams after Week 4 of the 2026 season, compared with where each team stood after Week 1. Offense numbers are what a team gained; defense numbers are what it allowed, so a defense that "rose" is allowing less. The small line on each card is the rank (or the number) after every week so far: higher on the line is better (for PROE, more pass-heavy).
Offense: EPA/play risers and fallers
Rising
- 29th11th-0.265 +0.026
The Rams' offense rose from 29th to 11th in EPA/play over the last three weeks (-0.265 to +0.026).
- 32nd16th-0.344 -0.015
The Broncos' offense rose from 32nd to 16th in EPA/play over the last three weeks (-0.344 to -0.015).
- 31st18th-0.321 -0.024
The Falcons' offense rose from 31st to 18th in EPA/play over the last three weeks (-0.321 to -0.024).
Falling
- 2nd22nd+0.369 -0.047
The Giants' offense fell from 2nd to 22nd in EPA/play over the last three weeks (+0.369 to -0.047).
- 12th29th+0.071 -0.107
The Eagles' offense fell from 12th to 29th in EPA/play over the last three weeks (+0.071 to -0.107).
- 11th20th+0.144 -0.029
The Cardinals' offense fell from 11th to 20th in EPA/play over the last three weeks (+0.144 to -0.029).
Defense: EPA/play allowed risers and fallers
Rising
- 25th3rd+0.179 -0.122
The Rams' defense rose from 25th to 3rd in EPA/play allowed over the last three weeks (+0.179 to -0.122).
- 26th5th+0.182 -0.059
The Bears' defense rose from 26th to 5th in EPA/play allowed over the last three weeks (+0.182 to -0.059).
- 32nd19th+0.409 +0.028
The Panthers' defense rose from 32nd to 19th in EPA/play allowed over the last three weeks (+0.409 to +0.028).
Falling
- 5th25th-0.244 +0.067
The Cardinals' defense fell from 5th to 25th in EPA/play allowed over the last three weeks (-0.244 to +0.067).
- 14th31st-0.031 +0.183
The Lions' defense fell from 14th to 31st in EPA/play allowed over the last three weeks (-0.031 to +0.183).
- 13th28th-0.039 +0.099
The Dolphins' defense fell from 13th to 28th in EPA/play allowed over the last three weeks (-0.039 to +0.099).
Quarterbacks
Rising
- 31st18th-0.578 +0.034
Matthew Stafford rose from 31st to 18th among qualified quarterbacks in EPA/play over the last three weeks (-0.578 to +0.034).
- 19th8th-0.018 +0.222
Jared Goff rose from 19th to 8th among qualified quarterbacks in EPA/play over the last three weeks (-0.018 to +0.222).
Falling
- 8th20th+0.307 -0.002
Jacoby Brissett fell from 8th to 20th among qualified quarterbacks in EPA/play over the last three weeks (+0.307 to -0.002).
- 12th24th+0.166 -0.066
Jalen Hurts fell from 12th to 24th among qualified quarterbacks in EPA/play over the last three weeks (+0.166 to -0.066).
Skill players: running backs, receivers and tight ends
Rising
- 33rd1st-0.117 +0.199
Brian Robinson rose from 33rd to 1st among qualified running backs in EPA/rush over the last three weeks (-0.117 to +0.199).
- 31st2nd-0.098 +0.132
Bijan Robinson rose from 31st to 2nd among qualified running backs in EPA/rush over the last three weeks (-0.098 to +0.132).
- 67th16th13.0% 25.4%
Adonai Mitchell rose from 67th to 16th among qualified wide receivers in target share over the last three weeks (13.0% to 25.4%).
- 74th33rd11.1% 20.8%
Jaylen Waddle rose from 74th to 33rd among qualified wide receivers in target share over the last three weeks (11.1% to 20.8%).
- 23rd8th13.6% 20.0%
Harold Fannin Jr. rose from 23rd to 8th among qualified tight ends in target share over the last three weeks (13.6% to 20.0%).
- 20th8th14.7% 20.0%
George Kittle rose from 20th to 8th among qualified tight ends in target share over the last three weeks (14.7% to 20.0%).
Falling
- 14th46th+0.103 -0.445
Jadarian Price fell from 14th to 46th among qualified running backs in EPA/rush over the last three weeks (+0.103 to -0.445).
- 9th40th+0.141 -0.179
Jacory Croskey-Merritt fell from 9th to 40th among qualified running backs in EPA/rush over the last three weeks (+0.141 to -0.179).
- 27th81st22.2% 9.6%
Pat Bryant fell from 27th to 81st among qualified wide receivers in target share over the last three weeks (22.2% to 9.6%).
- 18th62nd25.9% 14.5%
Ladd McConkey fell from 18th to 62nd among qualified wide receivers in target share over the last three weeks (25.9% to 14.5%).
- 12th31st18.5% 10.4%
Evan Engram fell from 12th to 31st among qualified tight ends in target share over the last three weeks (18.5% to 10.4%).
- 9th27th20.6% 12.1%
Mike Gesicki fell from 9th to 27th among qualified tight ends in target share over the last three weeks (20.6% to 12.1%).
Other movers
Offense
- 27th5th38.6% 49.4%
The Falcons' offense rose from 27th to 5th in success rate over the last three weeks (38.6% to 49.4%).
- 2nd26th60.0% 40.0%
The Giants' offense fell from 2nd to 26th in success rate over the last three weeks (60.0% to 40.0%).
- 26th12th-0.225 +0.146
The Browns' offense rose from 26th to 12th in EPA/dropback over the last three weeks (-0.225 to +0.146).
- 2nd19th+0.667 +0.028
The Giants' offense fell from 2nd to 19th in EPA/dropback over the last three weeks (+0.667 to +0.028).
- 28th4th-0.263 +0.081
The Bills' offense rose from 28th to 4th in EPA/rush over the last three weeks (-0.263 to +0.081).
- 9th30th+0.030 -0.221
The Texans' offense fell from 9th to 30th in EPA/rush over the last three weeks (+0.030 to -0.221).
- 25th4th8.3% 20.5%
The 49ers' offense rose from 25th to 4th in explosive pass rate over the last three weeks (8.3% to 20.5%).
- 14th26th16.0% 12.4%
The Browns' offense fell from 14th to 26th in explosive pass rate over the last three weeks (16.0% to 12.4%).
- 25th2nd21.2% 10.5%
The Broncos' offense rose from 25th to 2nd in sack + QB hit rate allowed over the last three weeks (21.2% to 10.5%).
- 9th32nd11.4% 21.4%
The Chargers' offense fell from 9th to 32nd in sack + QB hit rate allowed over the last three weeks (11.4% to 21.4%).
- 30th12th16.7% 40.4%
The Broncos' offense rose from 30th to 12th in 3rd-down conversion rate over the last three weeks (16.7% to 40.4%).
- 5th23rd57.1% 35.0%
The Vikings' offense fell from 5th to 23rd in 3rd-down conversion rate over the last three weeks (57.1% to 35.0%).
- 32nd11th-17.3% +0.8%
The Rams' offense became more pass-heavy over the last three weeks: its PROE went from -17.3% (32nd) to +0.8% (11th).
- 4th28th+4.9% -8.5%
The Titans' offense became more run-heavy over the last three weeks: its PROE went from +4.9% (4th) to -8.5% (28th).
Defense
- 30th4th56.2% 39.3%
The Rams' defense rose from 30th to 4th in success rate allowed over the last three weeks (56.2% to 39.3%).
- 3rd23rd35.3% 45.9%
The Commanders' defense fell from 3rd to 23rd in success rate allowed over the last three weeks (35.3% to 45.9%).
- 25th3rd+0.312 -0.095
The Bears' defense rose from 25th to 3rd in EPA/dropback allowed over the last three weeks (+0.312 to -0.095).
- 9th31st-0.191 +0.311
The Cardinals' defense fell from 9th to 31st in EPA/dropback allowed over the last three weeks (-0.191 to +0.311).
- 25th3rd+0.050 -0.223
The Buccaneers' defense rose from 25th to 3rd in EPA/rush allowed over the last three weeks (+0.050 to -0.223).
- 8th30th-0.151 +0.056
The Patriots' defense fell from 8th to 30th in EPA/rush allowed over the last three weeks (-0.151 to +0.056).
- 26th7th19.4% 11.9%
The Panthers' defense rose from 26th to 7th in explosive pass rate allowed over the last three weeks (19.4% to 11.9%).
- 4th28th6.5% 20.0%
The Dolphins' defense fell from 4th to 28th in explosive pass rate allowed over the last three weeks (6.5% to 20.0%).
- 21st3rd12.8% 21.9%
The Chargers' defense rose from 21st to 3rd in sack + QB hit rate over the last three weeks (12.8% to 21.9%).
- 3rd27th27.6% 13.0%
The 49ers' defense fell from 3rd to 27th in sack + QB hit rate over the last three weeks (27.6% to 13.0%).
- 29th6th58.3% 33.3%
The Rams' defense rose from 29th to 6th in 3rd-down conversion rate allowed over the last three weeks (58.3% to 33.3%).
- 7th24th22.2% 44.1%
The 49ers' defense fell from 7th to 24th in 3rd-down conversion rate allowed over the last three weeks (22.2% to 44.1%).
Active streaks
The Raiders' defense has held opponents below the league average in EPA/dropback in 4 straight games (since Week 1).
The Vikings' defense has held opponents below the league average in EPA/dropback in 4 straight games (since Week 1).
The Vikings' defense has held opponents below the league average in EPA/play in 4 straight games (since Week 1).
The Seahawks' defense has held opponents below the league average in EPA/play in 4 straight games (since Week 1).
The Falcons' defense has held opponents below the league average in EPA/rush in 4 straight games (since Week 1).
The Dolphins' defense has held opponents below the league average in EPA/rush in 4 straight games (since Week 1).
The Raiders' defense has beaten the league average in sack + QB hit rate in 4 straight games (since Week 1).
The Vikings' defense has beaten the league average in sack + QB hit rate in 4 straight games (since Week 1).
Bryce Young has had 250+ passing yards in 4 straight games (since Week 1).
Tyler Shough has had 250+ passing yards in 4 straight games (since Week 1).
Dak Prescott has had positive EPA per play in 4 straight games (since Week 1).
Patrick Mahomes has had positive EPA per play in 4 straight games (since Week 1).
Lamar Jackson has had positive EPA per play in 4 straight games (since Week 1).
Brock Purdy has had positive EPA per play in 4 straight games (since Week 1).
CJ Donaldson has had positive EPA per carry in 4 straight games (since Week 1).
Juwan Johnson has had 50+ receiving yards in 4 straight games (since Week 1).
EPA/play ranks after Week 4, all 32 teams
Change is the move in rank since Week 1. Select a column heading to sort.
| Team | Offense rank | Change | Offense EPA/play | Defense rank | Change | EPA/play allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco 49ers | 1st | ▲7 | +0.291 | 18th | ▼14 | +0.017 |
 Buffalo Bills | 2nd | ▲3 | +0.191 | 29th | ▼9 | +0.106 |
| Baltimore Ravens | 3rd | ▲1 | +0.186 | 11th | ▼5 | -0.016 |
 Jacksonville Jaguars | 4th | ▼1 | +0.178 | 7th | ▲2 | -0.059 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 5th | ▲5 | +0.172 | 9th | ▼8 | -0.050 |
| Dallas Cowboys | 6th | -- | +0.166 | 32nd | ▼1 | +0.201 |
 Detroit Lions | 7th | ▲9 | +0.144 | 31st | ▼17 | +0.183 |
| Carolina Panthers | 8th | ▼1 | +0.115 | 19th | ▲13 | +0.028 |
 Chicago Bears | 9th | ▼8 | +0.107 | 5th | ▲21 | -0.059 |
 Cincinnati Bengals | 10th | ▲7 | +0.055 | 10th | ▼2 | -0.029 |
 Los Angeles Rams | 11th | ▲18 | +0.026 | 3rd | ▲22 | -0.122 |
 New York Jets | 12th | ▼3 | +0.018 | 15th | ▼4 | 0.000 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 13th | ▲1 | +0.018 | 2nd | ▲10 | -0.137 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 14th | ▲6 | +0.009 | 4th | ▲3 | -0.104 |
| New Orleans Saints | 15th | ▲4 | -0.010 | 30th | ▼13 | +0.146 |
 Denver Broncos | 16th | ▲16 | -0.015 | 23rd | -- | +0.063 |
 Cleveland Browns | 17th | ▲7 | -0.018 | 17th | ▲13 | +0.016 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 18th | ▲13 | -0.024 | 8th | ▼5 | -0.057 |
 Houston Texans | 19th | ▼6 | -0.026 | 21st | ▲7 | +0.035 |
 Arizona Cardinals | 20th | ▼9 | -0.029 | 25th | ▼20 | +0.067 |
 Washington Commanders | 21st | ▼6 | -0.045 | 20th | ▲1 | +0.032 |
 New York Giants | 22nd | ▼20 | -0.047 | 16th | ▲11 | +0.016 |
 New England Patriots | 23rd | ▼2 | -0.049 | 13th | ▲6 | -0.007 |
 Indianapolis Colts | 24th | ▲3 | -0.066 | 26th | ▲3 | +0.069 |
 Tennessee Titans | 25th | ▼3 | -0.085 | 24th | -- | +0.065 |
 Green Bay Packers | 26th | ▼3 | -0.091 | 22nd | ▼7 | +0.041 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 27th | ▼9 | -0.098 | 1st | ▲9 | -0.184 |
 Pittsburgh Steelers | 28th | ▲2 | -0.106 | 14th | ▼12 | -0.001 |
 Philadelphia Eagles | 29th | ▼17 | -0.107 | 27th | ▼9 | +0.071 |
| Miami Dolphins | 30th | ▼4 | -0.141 | 28th | ▼15 | +0.099 |
 Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 31st | ▼6 | -0.154 | 6th | ▲10 | -0.059 |
 Los Angeles Chargers | 32nd | ▼4 | -0.159 | 12th | ▲10 | -0.007 |
Explore every team and player trend, with rolling form charts, on NFL Trends.
EPA is raw, not adjusted for opponents, so it differs from the opponent-adjusted EPA on Power Rankings. Explosive plays are passes of 15+ yards and designed runs of 10+. Qualified players meet the NFL Player Stats volume minimums for the season so far.