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MLB · October 3, 2026

San Diego Padres vs Milwaukee Brewers Final — October 3, 2026

San Diego Padres logo
San Diego Padres
91-71
2
Starting pitcher Robbie Ray Probable
FINAL
Milwaukee Brewers logo
Milwaukee Brewers
103-59
3
Starting pitcher Jacob Misiorowski Probable
Saturday, October 3 · 8:30 PM ET
SDStarting pitchersseason to dateMIL
3.59
ERA
1.80
137th4.69
FIP
2.171st
165.2
Innings
174.2
30
Starts
30
SDOffense2026 regular season to dateMIL
15th4.46
R/G
5.142nd
SDDefenseMIL
9th4.20
RA/G
3.814th
SDTeamMIL
10th+0.25
Run diff/G
+1.321st
SDLast 10 gamesMIL
+7+6+1+4-7+4+2-7+3+5
Game by game
-3+1+1+3-2+3+4+4+1+2
8-2
Last 10
8-2
+18
Net
+14
Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)
Injuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel
SDRest & travelMIL
6 days
Days of rest
6 days
1,733 mi2,789 km
Travel to the game
Home
+2 hclock change vs home
Time-zone change
Home
SDKey injuriesMIL
Casey Mize SP15-day ILLuis Rengifo LF60-day IL
Players out or limited
Joey Ortiz SSDay-to-dayAndrew Vaughn 1B10-day IL
About these numbers

Probable starters as listed by MLB, captured October 3, 6:15 a.m. ET. Season pitching line before game time; FIP rank among the 188 pitchers with at least 10 starts (1st = lowest).

2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (30 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

Margin of each of the last 10 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.

Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.

Key players only. Injury report and probable pitchers as of October 2, 8:10 p.m. ET.

The pre-game matchup

The Padres (91-71) visited the Brewers (103-59) on Saturday, October 3 at 8:30 PM ET.

The Padres score 4.46 runs per game (15th of 30) and allow 4.20 (9th). The Brewers score 5.14 runs per game (2nd of 30) and allow 3.81 (4th).

The total closed at 6.5, down from 7 at the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Padres +174, Brewers -210) prices the Padres at 35% and the Brewers at 65%.

Written from the numbers available before kickoff.

Result

Final score and result vs the closing line

San Diego Padres 2, Milwaukee Brewers 3

Milwaukee Brewers won by 1.

  • Against the closing spread (Milwaukee Brewers -1.5): San Diego Padres covered.
  • Combined score 5 vs the closing total of 6.5: Under.
  • Milwaukee Brewers closed at -210 on the moneyline (a 65% no-vig market-implied chance).

Market

Closing line and line movement

Run lineno move
OpenBrewers -1.5 (+103)
Padres +1.5 (-123)
CloseBrewers -1.5 (+105)
Padres +1.5 (-125)
Totaldown 0.5
Open7 (o -105 / u -115)
Close6.5 (o -130 / u +110)
Moneyline
OpenPadres +184 34%
Brewers -225 66%
ClosePadres +174 35%
Brewers -210 65%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Matchup

Head-to-head

The teams have met 26 times since 2023: the Padres won 14 and the Brewers 12.

DateScoreLineTotal
Aug 12, 2026Brewers 3, Padres 4
Padres won

Aug 11, 2026Brewers 2, Padres 11
Padres won

Aug 10, 2026Brewers 2, Padres 3
Padres won

May 14, 2026Padres 1, Brewers 7
Brewers won

May 13, 2026Padres 3, Brewers 1
Padres won

Meetings since 2023, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.

Teams

San Diego Padres

Milwaukee Brewers

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