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MLB · October 7, 2026

Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres Final — October 7, 2026

Milwaukee Brewers

103-59

Starting pitcher Robert Gasser Probable

FINAL

San Diego Padres

91-71

Starting pitcher Walker Buehler Probable

Wednesday, October 7 · 10:00 PM ET

MILStarting pitchersseason to dateSD

3.87

ERA

4.63

97th4.23

FIP

4.51120th

109.1

Innings

153.2

Starts

MILOffense2026 regular season to dateSD

2nd5.14

R/G

4.4615th

MILDefenseSD

4th3.81

RA/G

4.209th

MILTeamSD

1st+1.32

Run diff/G

+0.2510th

MILLast 10 gamesSD

Game by game

8-2

Last 10

8-2

+14

Net

+18

Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)

Injuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel

MILRest & travelSD

1,733 mi2,789 km

Travel to the game

Home

−2 hclock change vs home

Time-zone change

Home

MILKey injuriesSD

None listed

Players out or limited

Casey Mize SP15-day ILLuis Rengifo LF60-day IL

About these numbers

Probable starters as listed by MLB, captured October 7, 5:40 p.m. ET. Season pitching line before game time; FIP rank among the 188 pitchers with at least 10 starts (1st = lowest).

2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (30 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

Margin of each of the last 10 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.

Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.

No key players listed.

Key players only. Injury report and probable pitchers as of October 7, 8:10 p.m. ET.

The pre-game matchup

The Brewers (103-59) visited the Padres (91-71) on Wednesday, October 7 at 10:00 PM ET.

The Brewers score 5.14 runs per game (2nd of 30) and allow 3.81 (4th). The Padres score 4.46 runs per game (15th of 30) and allow 4.20 (9th).

The total closed 7.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Brewers -109, Padres -110) prices the Brewers at 50% and the Padres at 50%.

Written from the numbers available before kickoff.

Result

Final score and result vs the closing line

Milwaukee Brewers 3, San Diego Padres 1

Milwaukee Brewers won by 2.

Against the closing spread (San Diego Padres +1.5): Milwaukee Brewers covered.
Combined score 4 vs the closing total of 7.5: Under.
Milwaukee Brewers closed at -109 on the moneyline (a 50% no-vig market-implied chance).

Market

Closing line and line movement

Run lineno move

OpenPadres +1.5 (-205)
Brewers -1.5 (+168)

ClosePadres +1.5 (-194)
Brewers -1.5 (+158)

Totalno move

Open7.5 (o +104 / u -128)

Close7.5 (o -105 / u -115)

Moneyline

OpenBrewers -104 49%
Padres -115 51%

CloseBrewers -109 50%
Padres -110 50%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Matchup

Head-to-head

The teams have met 26 times since 2023: the Brewers won 12 and the Padres 14.

Date	Score	Line	Total
Aug 12, 2026	Brewers 3, Padres 4 Padres won
Aug 11, 2026	Brewers 2, Padres 11 Padres won
Aug 10, 2026	Brewers 2, Padres 3 Padres won
May 14, 2026	Padres 1, Brewers 7 Brewers won
May 13, 2026	Padres 3, Brewers 1 Padres won

Meetings since 2023, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.

Teams