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MLB · October 7, 2026

Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees Final — October 7, 2026

Tampa Bay Rays logo
Tampa Bay Rays
98-64
4
Starting pitcher Nick Martinez Probable
FINAL
New York Yankees logo
New York Yankees
93-68
3
Starting pitcher Max Fried Probable
Wednesday, October 7 · 8:08 PM ET
TBStarting pitchersseason to dateNYY
3.10
ERA
2.80
71st3.96
FIP
2.657th
180.0
Innings
112.2
31
Starts
20
TBOffense2026 regular season to dateNYY
12th4.54
R/G
4.598th
TBDefenseNYY
6th4.01
RA/G
3.732nd
TBTeamNYY
6th+0.53
Run diff/G
+0.864th
TBLast 10 gamesNYY
-2+1+4-2+5-7-2+2+11-4
Game by game
-1+7-2-4+2-5+7+2-8+3
5-5
Last 10
5-5
+6
Net
+1
Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)
Injuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel
TBRest & travelNYY
1,029 mi1,657 km
Travel to the game
Home
TBKey injuriesNYY
Griffin Jax SPDay-to-dayShane McClanahan SPOut
Players out or limited
None listed
About these numbers

Probable starters as listed by MLB, captured October 7, 5:40 p.m. ET. Season pitching line before game time; FIP rank among the 188 pitchers with at least 10 starts (1st = lowest).

2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (30 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

Margin of each of the last 10 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.

Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.

No key players listed.

Key players only. Injury report and probable pitchers as of October 7, 10:10 a.m. ET.

The pre-game matchup

The Rays (98-64) visited the Yankees (93-68) on Wednesday, October 7 at 8:08 PM ET.

The Rays score 4.54 runs per game (12th of 30) and allow 4.01 (6th). The Yankees score 4.59 runs per game (8th of 30) and allow 3.73 (2nd).

The total closed 7, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Rays +145, Yankees -175) prices the Rays at 39% and the Yankees at 61%.

Written from the numbers available before kickoff.

Result

Final score and result vs the closing line

Tampa Bay Rays 4, New York Yankees 3

Tampa Bay Rays won by 1.

  • Against the closing spread (New York Yankees -1.5): Tampa Bay Rays covered.
  • Combined score 7 vs the closing total of 7: Push.
  • Tampa Bay Rays closed at +145 on the moneyline (a 39% no-vig market-implied chance).

Market

Closing line and line movement

Run lineno move
OpenYankees -1.5 (+145)
Rays +1.5 (-177)
CloseYankees -1.5 (+128)
Rays +1.5 (-155)
Totalno move
Open7 (o -120 / u -100)
Close7 (o -114 / u -107)
Moneyline
OpenRays +133 41%
Yankees -158 59%
CloseRays +145 39%
Yankees -175 61%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Matchup

Head-to-head

The teams have met 52 times since 2023: the Rays won 25 and the Yankees 27.

DateScoreLineTotal
Sep 24, 2026Rays 4, Yankees 6
Yankees won

Sep 23, 2026Rays 2, Yankees 9
Yankees won

Sep 22, 2026Rays 6, Yankees 1
Rays won

Sep 22, 2026Rays 0, Yankees 2
Yankees won

Jul 9, 2026Yankees 12, Rays 4
Yankees won

Meetings since 2023, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.

Teams

Tampa Bay Rays

New York Yankees

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