Florida Panthers vs San Jose Sharks Final — October 1, 2026
Final score and result vs the closing line
Florida Panthers 3, San Jose Sharks 4
San Jose Sharks won by 1.
The pre-game matchup
The Panthers visited the Sharks on Thursday, October 1 at 10:10 PM ET.
Last season (2025-26), the Panthers scored 3.06 goals per game (18th of 32) and allowed 3.37 (28th). The Sharks scored 3.06 goals per game (18th of 32) and allowed 3.56 (30th). The Panthers earned 51.2% of available standings points (25th) and the Sharks 52.4% (22nd).
Expected-goals share (5-on-5), the share of 5-on-5 expected goals created: Panthers 50.2% (16th), Sharks 47.4% (26th). Shot-attempt share (5-on-5), the share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts: Panthers 51.7% (9th), Sharks 46.9% (28th). High-danger chance share, the share of 5-on-5 high-danger chances: Panthers 48.3% (20th), Sharks 54.7% (7th). These are last season's full-season numbers because the new season's sample is still small; rosters change over the offseason.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Tale of the tape
PanthersFull 2025-26 regular season (last season), captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Goaltending head-to-head
Akira Schmid is the confirmed starter for the Panthers; last season he had 29 starts, a .893 save percentage and −5.5 goals saved above expected. Yaroslav Askarov is the confirmed starter for the Sharks; last season he had 47 starts, a .884 save percentage and −19.8 goals saved above expected.
- Last season29 starts · .893 Sv% · .798 HD Sv% · −5.5 GSAx · 1 back-to-back start
- This season1 start · 1.000 Sv% · 1.000 HD Sv% · +2.4 GSAx
- Last season43 starts · .883 Sv% · .828 HD Sv% · −17.2 GSAx · 7 back-to-back starts
- Last season47 starts · .884 Sv% · .859 HD Sv% · −19.8 GSAx · 9 back-to-back starts
Starter status as reported by Daily Faceoff or the NHL before game time; teams confirm starters close to puck drop. GSAx = goals saved above expected (Gridiron & Wine expected goals). HD Sv% = save rate on high-danger shots.
5-on-5 play
| 5-on-5 | Panthers | Sharks |
|---|---|---|
| Expected-goals shareshare of 5-on-5 expected goals | 50.2%16th | 47.4%26th |
| Expected goals for per 605-on-5 | 2.5615th | 2.3226th |
| Expected goals against per 605-on-5 | 2.5418th | 2.5519th |
| Shot-attempt share (Corsi)5-on-5 | 51.7%9th | 46.9%28th |
| High-danger chance share5-on-5 | 48.3%20th | 54.7%7th |
| Shooting %5-on-5 | 9.6%15th | 10.1%11th |
| Save %5-on-5 | 89.3%28th | 89.7%25th |
| Paceshot attempts per 60, both teams | 114.620th | 112.125th |
| Expected-goals share, last 205-on-5 | 46.3%27th | 52.1%13th |
At 5-on-5 the Panthers share of expected goals is 50.2% (16th) and the Sharks share is 47.4% (26th).
2025-26 regular season, public NHL Lab tables; ranks out of 32 teams. Expected goals are Gridiron & Wine's own expected-goals numbers.
Special teams
| Special teams | Panthers | Sharks |
|---|---|---|
| Power-play goals per 60per 60 power-play minutes | 7.1118th | 7.5815th |
| Power-play expected goals per 60per 60 power-play minutes | 10.028th | 8.6327th |
| Power-play unblocked attempts per 60 | 83.75th | 72.327th |
| Power-play minutes per gametime on the man advantage | 5.33rd | 5.15th |
| Penalty-kill goals allowed per 60per 60 shorthanded minutes | 7.0710th | 8.3825th |
| Penalty-kill expected goals allowed per 60 | 7.985th | 9.8622nd |
| Penalty-kill minutes per gametime shorthanded | 5.431st | 5.023rd |
On the power play the Panthers generate 10.02 expected goals per 60 minutes (8th) against a Sharks penalty kill allowing 9.86 (22nd); the Sharks generate 8.63 (27th) against a Panthers kill allowing 7.98 (5th).
2025-26 regular season. Rates are per 60 minutes of power-play or penalty-kill time.
Travel and schedule
The Panthers travel about 2,377 miles from home, a 3-hour time-zone change.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
Recent form
PanthersRegular-season results this season, oldest to newest (OTL = overtime or shootout loss).
Head-to-head
The teams have met 14 times since 2018-19: the Panthers won 12 and the Sharks 2.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2026 | Sharks 4, Panthers 1 Sharks won | Panthers -185 underdog won | 6.5 under |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Panthers 1, Sharks 3 Sharks won | Panthers -258 underdog won | 6.5 under |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Panthers 7, Sharks 2 Panthers won | Panthers -315 favorite won | 6 over |
| Dec 7, 2024 | Sharks 1, Panthers 3 Panthers won | Panthers -400 favorite won | 6.5 under |
| Nov 14, 2023 | Panthers 5, Sharks 3 Panthers won | Panthers -285 favorite won | 6.5 over |
Regular-season meetings since 2018-19, most recent first. Line = consensus closing moneyline favorite and total where line history is available.
Closing line and line movement
Panthers -1.5 (+175)
Sharks +115 45%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
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