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NHL · October 1, 2026

Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Rangers Final — October 1, 2026

Tampa Bay Lightning logo
Tampa Bay Lightning
1
FINAL
New York Rangers logo
New York Rangers
5
Thursday, October 1 · 7:10 PM ET

Final score and result vs the closing line

Tampa Bay Lightning 1, New York Rangers 5

New York Rangers won by 4.

The pre-game matchup

The Lightning visited the Rangers on Thursday, October 1 at 7:10 PM ET.

Last season (2025-26), the Lightning scored 3.54 goals per game (4th of 32) and allowed 2.82 (3rd). The Rangers scored 2.90 goals per game (23rd of 32) and allowed 3.05 (13th). The Lightning earned 64.6% of available standings points (5th) and the Rangers 47.0% (29th).

Expected-goals share (5-on-5), the share of 5-on-5 expected goals created: Lightning 54.2% (5th), Rangers 48.4% (23rd). Shot-attempt share (5-on-5), the share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts: Lightning 53.3% (3rd), Rangers 48.9% (20th). High-danger chance share, the share of 5-on-5 high-danger chances: Lightning 57.9% (2nd), Rangers 49.0% (17th). These are last season's full-season numbers because the new season's sample is still small; rosters change over the offseason.

Written from the numbers available before kickoff.

Tale of the tape

Tampa Bay Lightning logoLightning
RangersNew York Rangers logo
Offense
Goals per gamescored
3.544th
2.9023rd
Power-play goals per 60per 60 power-play minutes
7.5116th
9.026th
Defense
Goals allowed per gameallowed
2.823rd
3.0513th
Penalty-kill goals allowed per 60per 60 shorthanded minutes
6.103rd
7.4116th
Team
Points percentagestandings points earned out of points available
64.6%5th
47.0%29th
Expected-goals share (5-on-5)share of 5-on-5 expected goals created
54.2%5th
48.4%23rd
Shot-attempt share (5-on-5)share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts
53.3%3rd
48.9%20th
High-danger chance shareshare of 5-on-5 high-danger chances
57.9%2nd
49.0%17th

Full 2025-26 regular season (last season), captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

Closing line and line movement

Puck line
OpenRangers +1.5 (-218)
Lightning -1.5 (+175)
Close—
Total
Open5.5 (o -134 / u +110)
Close—
Moneyline
OpenLightning -140 56%
Rangers +119 44%
Close—

Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Teams

Tampa Bay Lightning

New York Rangers

Gridiron & Wine graded a pick on this game: see the archived pick.

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