Philadelphia Flyers vs New Jersey Devils Final — October 1, 2026
Starting goalies
OffenseFull 2025-26 regular season (last season)DefenseTeam5-on-5Special teamsInjuries & restkey injuries · rest and travel
Rest & travelKey injuriesAbout these numbers
Goalie status from the G&W goalie tracker (Confirmed, Expected, Likely or Not confirmed); teams confirm starters close to puck drop. Season lines come from the NHL Lab goalie tables. GSAx = goals saved above expected (Gridiron & Wine expected goals). HD Sv% = save rate on high-danger shots.
Full 2025-26 regular season (last season), captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (32 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
2025-26 regular season, public NHL Lab tables; ranks out of 32 teams. Expected goals are Gridiron & Wine's own expected-goals numbers.
2025-26 regular season. Rates are per 60 minutes of power-play or penalty-kill time.
Regular-season results this season, oldest to newest (OTL = overtime or shootout loss). Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Over–under uses the consensus closing total.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
Injury report as of October 1, 10:10 a.m. ET (status and injury type only).
The pre-game matchup
The Flyers visited the Devils on Thursday, October 1 at 7:10 PM ET.
Last season (2025-26), the Flyers scored 3.05 goals per game (20th of 32) and allowed 2.96 (9th). The Devils scored 2.80 goals per game (27th of 32) and allowed 3.10 (17th). The Flyers earned 59.8% of available standings points (10th) and the Devils 53.0% (21st).
Expected-goals share (5-on-5), the share of 5-on-5 expected goals created: Flyers 51.0% (11th), Devils 49.7% (18th). Shot-attempt share (5-on-5), the share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts: Flyers 47.7% (26th), Devils 51.4% (10th). High-danger chance share, the share of 5-on-5 high-danger chances: Flyers 53.7% (9th), Devils 48.9% (18th). These are last season's full-season numbers because the new season's sample is still small; rosters change over the offseason.
The total closed 5.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Flyers +150, Devils -185) prices the Flyers at 38% and the Devils at 62%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
Philadelphia Flyers 2, New Jersey Devils 3
New Jersey Devils won by 1.
- Against the closing spread (New Jersey Devils -1.5): Philadelphia Flyers covered.
- Combined score 5 vs the closing total of 5.5: Under.
- New Jersey Devils closed at -185 on the moneyline (a 62% no-vig market-implied chance).
Actual result
New Jersey Devils 3
Before the game: market and G&W
From open to close the market moved 3 points toward New Jersey Devils.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Philadelphia Flyers 38%, New Jersey Devils 62%) and moving with every goal, penalty and the clock until the final.
Biggest swings
- 3rd 5:33 — Philadelphia Flyers goal (2-1)Philadelphia Flyers 44% → 74% (+30 pts)
- 3rd 9:44 — New Jersey Devils goal (2-2)New Jersey Devils 22% → 56% (+34 pts)
- OT 3:23 — New Jersey Devils goal (2-3)New Jersey Devils 52% → 100% (+48 pts)
New Jersey Devils won after falling as low as 22% (3rd 9:44).
Chance Quality Result
Based on the quality of chances each team created, New Jersey Devils won 85% of G&W replays (Philadelphia Flyers 15%). The result went to the side that created the better chances.
The Chance Quality Result describes the chances each team created. It is not the official result and never changes it or any record. Expected goals count regulation chances with both goalies in net; empty-net goals are not included. Season xG tables count every game state, empty nets included, so their totals differ.
Game DNA
The Chance Quality Result above favoured New Jersey Devils. Here is where that came from.
| Flyers | Goals | Devils |
|---|---|---|
| 1.1 | 5-on-5 chancesexpected goals | 2.7 |
| 0.1 | Power-play chancesexpected goals | 1.0 |
| 0.0 | Other situations4-on-4, 3-on-3, short-handed | 0.0 |
| 1.2 | Chance Quality Result chancesthe three rows above, as in the result | 3.7 |
| 0.7 | Overtime and pulled-goalie chancesnot part of the Chance Quality Result | 0.5 |
| 0.1 | Second chancesrebounds and flurries, part of the above | 0.7 |
| +0.2 | Finishinggoals vs expected on own shots | -1.2 |
| +1.2 | Goaltendingsaves vs expected · Joseph Woll 41/44 · Jake Allen 23/25 | -0.2 |
How the margin was built, from New Jersey Devils's side:
The first three rows add up to the Chance Quality Result's expected goals. Overtime chances and chances with a goalie pulled are listed on their own, and empty-net goals are not in expected goals. A team's finishing and the other team's goaltending are the same goals seen from each end.
Line review
New Jersey Devils closed as the market favourite at 62% and won.
The line moved toward New Jersey Devils before puck drop, and they won.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Flyers +1.5 (-187)
Flyers +1.5 (-175)
Devils -159 59%
Devils -185 62%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Head-to-head
The teams have met 33 times since 2018-19: the Flyers won 18 and the Devils 15.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2026 | Flyers 5, Devils 1 Flyers won | ||
| Nov 29, 2025 | Flyers 5, Devils 3 Flyers won | Devils -140 underdog won | 5.5 over |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Devils 3, Flyers 6 Flyers won | Devils -115 underdog won | 5.5 over |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Devils 3, Flyers 1 Devils won | Devils -156 favorite won | 5.5 under |
| Jan 29, 2025 | Flyers 0, Devils 5 Devils won | Devils -185 favorite won | 5.5 under |
Regular-season meetings since 2018-19, most recent first. Line = consensus closing moneyline favorite and total where line history is available.
Teams
Philadelphia Flyers
- Philadelphia Flyers team stats
- Philadelphia Flyers at Washington Capitals (Oct 28)
- Columbus Blue Jackets 4, Philadelphia Flyers 3 (Oct 27)
- Anaheim Ducks 5, Philadelphia Flyers 4 (Oct 24)
- Philadelphia Flyers 3, Buffalo Sabres 1 (Oct 21)
New Jersey Devils
More NHL games on October 1, 2026
- Buffalo Sabres 3, Columbus Blue Jackets 6 (Oct 1)
- Tampa Bay Lightning 1, New York Rangers 5 (Oct 1)
- Minnesota Wild 3, Nashville Predators 1 (Oct 1)
- Seattle Kraken 6, Calgary Flames 1 (Oct 1)
- Chicago Blackhawks 0, Utah Mammoth 6 (Oct 1)
- Florida Panthers 3, San Jose Sharks 4 (Oct 1)
- Edmonton Oilers 9, Vancouver Canucks 7 (Oct 1)
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