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NCAAF

South Florida Bulls

#76 FBS · 5-2
G&W Power Rating−1.61#76 of 138
Record5-2
Exp W%69.9%what the scoring says
Luck+1.5%winning more than the scoring says
Close W-L2-2games decided by 8 or less

Through games of Oct 27

Team stats

Scoring
For/G21.2101st of 138
Agst/G14.88th of 138
Diff/G+6.3341st of 138
Adj. Margin−4.4380th of 138
SOS−10.77
Efficiency
Off EPA/play (raw)0.03977th of 138
Def EPA/play (raw)−0.06124th of 138
Net EPA/play (raw)+0.10031st of 138
Off SR48.6%50th of 138
Def SR45.0%44th of 138

League ranks among 138 FBS teams. Green = top third, red = bottom third. Same numbers as the NCAAF power rankings table (2026).

Schedule and results

2-4 ATS · O/U 2-4
Next up
Results, newest first

Result vs the close: against the consensus closing spread (covered / missed) and the closing total (O = over, U = under). Against-the-spread and over/under records exclude the postseason and count the 6 of 7 games with a closing line on file. Preview and Recap open the game page.

Team leaders

Passing leader
115/179, 1266 YDS, 6 TD
Rushing leader · RB
D.J. Crowther
105 CAR, 518 YDS, 7 TD
Receiving leader · WR
Bryson Rodgers
30 REC, 334 YDS, 2 TD

Season to date, all games.

South Florida Bulls players on G&W

Against the market

League table ›

2-4 against the close · −12.5 pts

Against the close2-4avg cover margin −2.1
Beat the close by−12.5 ptsover 6 games
Against the bet-time line2-3−9.0 pts in total
Totals vs the close2-4avg −12.8 pts vs the total
Sep 5: −4.5Sep 12: +7.0Sep 26: −10.5Oct 3: −9.5Oct 8: −1.5Oct 17: +6.5+7.0 pts−19.0Sep 5Oct 17
Each game vs the closeRunning total vs the closeRunning total vs the bet-time line

Last 4 games: −3.8 pts a game vs the close.

Home 3Road 3
1-2Against the close1-2
−2.5Avg cover margin−1.7
0-3Over/under2-1
−20.2Total vs the close−5.5
Favorite 4Underdog 2
1-3Against the close1-1
−4.5Avg cover margin+2.8
0-4Over/under2-0
−22.2Total vs the close+6.0
G&W vs the market for the South Florida Bulls, game by game, is part of Official Plays.See plans ›

Cover margin: the team's final margin plus its closing spread. Positive means they beat the number by that many points. The bet-time line is the consensus line on the morning of the bet window (Tuesday for football, game day for most other sports). The close is the consensus line just before the start. Every game uses only lines captured before it began. Regular season only.

Our record on this team

Full NCAAF archive ›
2
Graded plays
0-1-1
W-L-P
-1.00u
Units
-100.0%
ROI

Every graded official play that involved this team, on either side, at the price it was sent. The same plays as the Pick Archive and Results.

About these numbers

G&W Power Rating: how many points (goals, runs) better than an average team on a neutral field. The rank and every stat match the NCAAF power rankings table.

Exp W% is the win percentage the South Florida Bulls scoring margin says they should have. Luck is actual win % minus Exp W%: positive means winning more than the scoring says, which tends to even out. Close W-L is the record in one-score games.

Closing line. The consensus spread, total and moneyline just before the game started. Each game page shows the full market for that game.