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NCAAF · October 31, 2026

UAB Blazers vs South Florida Bulls Preview & Odds — October 31, 2026

UAB Blazers logo
UAB Blazers
3-3
Quarterback Ryder Burton
at
South Florida Bulls logo
South Florida Bulls
4-2
Quarterback Michael Van Buren Jr.
Saturday, October 31 · 12:00 PM ET
UABOffense2026 regular season to dateUSF
120th−0.087
EPA/play
+0.03977th
118th42.2%
Success %
48.6%50th
98th21.7
PPG
21.2101st
UABDefenseUSF
49th+0.007
EPA/play allowed
−0.06124th
61st46.2%
Success % allowed
45.0%44th
71st26.3
Opp PPG
14.88th
UABRecent formUSF
L@ Louisiana 14-21Wvs Navy 24-20Wvs Samford 33-14L@ Memphis 13-38Wvs East Carolina 30-17
Resultsoldest to newest
Wvs Delaware State 59-17W@ Bowling Green 14-6Lvs Temple 13-17L@ UTSA 24-31Wvs Kent State 29-2
4-3
Record
5-2
3-4
ATS
3-4
1-6
Over–under
3-4
UABHome and roadseason to dateUSF
4-0
Home record
3-1
0-3
Road record
2-1
2-2
Home ATS
2-2
1-2
Road ATS
1-2
0-4
Home O/U
1-3
1-2
Road O/U
2-1
UABLast 10 gamesUSF
-19+6-7+4+19-25+13
Game by game
+10+4+42+8-4-7+27
4-3
Last 7
5-2
-9
Net points
+80
Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)
Rest & travelrest and travel
UABRest & travelUSF
16 days
Days of rest
14 days
460 mi741 km
Travel to the game
Home
+1 hclock change vs home
Time-zone change
Home
Venue
Raymond James Stadium
About these numbers

2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.

Margin of each of the last 7 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.

Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.

Matchup preview

UAB (3-3) visits South Florida (4-2) on Saturday, October 31 at 12:00 PM ET.

UAB has the 120th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 49th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, South Florida has the 77th-ranked offense and the 24th-ranked defense. When UAB has the ball, a 120th-ranked offense (−0.087 EPA per play) meets a 24th-ranked defense (−0.061 allowed); when South Florida has it, a 77th-ranked offense (+0.039) meets a 49th-ranked defense (+0.007 allowed).

By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the UAB offense is at 42.2% (118th) and the South Florida offense at 48.6% (50th). UAB scores 21.7 points per game (98th) and allows 26.3 (71st); South Florida scores 21.2 (101st) and allows 14.8 (8th).

UAB is 4-3 and 3-4 against the spread; its last game was a 30-17 win over East Carolina. South Florida is 5-2 and 3-4 against the spread; its last game was a 29-2 win over Kent State.

South Florida is a 8-point favorite at home against UAB. The spread opened at South Florida -8.5. The total is 42.5, down from 45.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (UAB +250, South Florida -320) prices UAB at 27% and South Florida at 73%.

Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.

Market

Odds and line movement

Spreadmoved 0.5
OpenSouth Florida -8.5 (-109)
UAB +8.5 (-110)
NowSouth Florida -8 (-110)
UAB +8 (-110)
Totaldown 3
Open45.5 (o -108 / u -110)
Now42.5 (o -110 / u -110)
Moneyline
OpenUAB +265 26%
South Florida -330 74%
NowUAB +250 27%
South Florida -320 73%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Best available prices on Oct 28

  • UAB +8-109Bally Bet
  • South Florida -8-108BetMGM
  • Over 42.5-104Novig
  • Under 42.5+100Kalshi
  • UAB+280BetRivers
  • South Florida-285ProphetX

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score
Spread
Total
Win %
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Matchup

Players to watch

UAB Blazers logo
UAB
QB · Ryder Burton
  • Attempts167
  • Completion %54.5%227th
  • Passing yards1,184172nd
  • Yards per attempt7.1151st
  • TD–INT6–5
Leading rusher (RB) · Rod Robinson II
  • Rushing yards43687th
  • Season line101 carries, 436 yds
Leading receiver (WR) · CJ Smith
  • Receiving yards350142nd
  • Season line19 catches, 350 yds, 1 TD
Leading tackler (LB) · Muaaz Byard
  • Tackles6917th
South Florida Bulls logo
South Florida
QB · Michael Van Buren Jr.
  • Attempts179
  • Completion %64.2%84th
  • Passing yards1,266159th
  • Yards per attempt7.1152nd
  • TD–INT6–0
Leading rusher (RB) · D.J. Crowther
  • Rushing yards51853rd
  • Season line105 carries, 518 yds, 7 TD
Leading receiver (WR) · Bryson Rodgers
  • Receiving yards334167th
  • Season line30 catches, 334 yds, 2 TD
Leading tackler (DB) · Ayden Jackson
  • Tackles38326th

Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured October 28, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.

Success by situation

SituationUABSouth Florida
Early-down success rateUAB offense vs South Florida defense41.1%94th43.2%68th
Early-down success rateSouth Florida offense vs UAB defense42.4%58th45.2%42nd
3rd-down conversion rateUAB offense vs South Florida defense44.0%39th41.0%77th
3rd-down conversion rateSouth Florida offense vs UAB defense46.8%120th39.1%81st
Explosive play rateUAB offense vs South Florida defense5.6%110th5.5%31st
Explosive play rateSouth Florida offense vs UAB defense3.4%2nd4.4%132nd
Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks43.7%116th-highest45.9%108th-highest

On 3rd down UAB converts 44.0% (39th) against a South Florida defense allowing 41.0% (77th).

On 3rd down South Florida converts 39.1% (81st) against a UAB defense allowing 46.8% (120th).

2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.

Coaching staff

StaffUABSouth Florida
Head coachAlex MortensenBrian Hartline
Tenureat this school2nd season1st season
Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below6–75–2
Career recordas an FBS head coach6–75–2
Offensive coordinatorAlex MortensenTim Beck
Defensive coordinatorTodd GranthamJosh Aldridge

Staff list as of October 27, 6:50 a.m. ET.

Head-to-head

The teams have met 3 times since 2021: UAB won 1 and South Florida 2.

DateScoreLineTotal
Nov 22, 2025South Florida 48, UAB 18
South Florida won

Oct 19, 2024UAB 25, South Florida 35
South Florida won

Oct 7, 2023South Florida 35, UAB 56
UAB won

Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.

Result

After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.

Teams

UAB Blazers

South Florida Bulls

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