NFL Week 3 trends, 2025

What changed after Week 3

Season-to-date ranks among all 32 teams after Week 3 of the 2025 season, compared with where each team stood after Week 1. Offense numbers are what a team gained; defense numbers are what it allowed, so a defense that "rose" is allowing less.

Offense: EPA/play risers and fallers

• The Lions' offense rose from 21st to 2nd in EPA/play over the last two weeks (-0.062 to +0.242).
• The Seahawks' offense rose from 31st to 19th in EPA/play over the last two weeks (-0.265 to -0.005).
• The Dolphins' offense rose from 30th to 18th in EPA/play over the last two weeks (-0.257 to 0.000).
• The Jets' offense fell from 6th to 22nd in EPA/play over the last two weeks (+0.212 to -0.067).
• The Raiders' offense fell from 12th to 24th in EPA/play over the last two weeks (+0.115 to -0.083).
• The Steelers' offense fell from 9th to 21st in EPA/play over the last two weeks (+0.170 to -0.024).

Defense: EPA/play allowed risers and fallers

• The Chargers' defense rose from 28th to 6th in EPA/play allowed over the last two weeks (+0.215 to -0.089).
• The Falcons' defense rose from 20th to 5th in EPA/play allowed over the last two weeks (+0.114 to -0.096).
• The Chiefs' defense rose from 31st to 19th in EPA/play allowed over the last two weeks (+0.320 to +0.019).
• The Titans' defense fell from 7th to 30th in EPA/play allowed over the last two weeks (-0.148 to +0.165).
• The Bears' defense fell from 6th to 24th in EPA/play allowed over the last two weeks (-0.177 to +0.068).
• The Commanders' defense fell from 5th to 17th in EPA/play allowed over the last two weeks (-0.241 to -0.012).

Other movers

• The Lions' offense rose from 18th to 2nd in success rate over the last two weeks (42.2% to 51.9%).
• The Raiders' offense fell from 15th to 29th in success rate over the last two weeks (43.3% to 36.5%).
• The Seahawks' offense rose from 31st to 13th in EPA/dropback over the last two weeks (-0.407 to +0.115).
• The Falcons' offense fell from 8th to 27th in EPA/dropback over the last two weeks (+0.358 to -0.131).
• The Lions' offense rose from 29th to 8th in EPA/rush over the last two weeks (-0.255 to +0.069).
• The Chargers' offense fell from 12th to 29th in EPA/rush over the last two weeks (-0.004 to -0.226).
• The Buccaneers' offense rose from 23rd to 8th in explosive pass rate over the last two weeks (11.1% to 17.4%).
• The Jets' offense fell from 10th to 26th in explosive pass rate over the last two weeks (20.8% to 10.8%).
• The Texans' offense rose from 25th to 16th in sack + QB hit rate allowed over the last two weeks (20.6% to 16.0%).
• The Browns' offense fell from 11th to 21st in sack + QB hit rate allowed over the last two weeks (10.4% to 17.6%).
• The Bears' offense rose from 28th to 5th in 3rd-down conversion rate over the last two weeks (25.0% to 46.2%).
• The Jets' offense fell from 8th to 30th in 3rd-down conversion rate over the last two weeks (50.0% to 27.8%).
• The 49ers' offense became more pass-heavy over the last two weeks: its PROE went from -4.0% (27th) to +0.7% (8th).
• The Dolphins' offense became more run-heavy over the last two weeks: its PROE went from +6.5% (5th) to -3.1% (26th).
• The Chargers' defense rose from 22nd to 1st in success rate allowed over the last two weeks (46.6% to 35.3%).
• The Titans' defense fell from 7th to 27th in success rate allowed over the last two weeks (39.1% to 47.2%).
• The Chiefs' defense rose from 31st to 12th in EPA/dropback allowed over the last two weeks (+0.463 to -0.012).
• The Bears' defense fell from 4th to 22nd in EPA/dropback allowed over the last two weeks (-0.352 to +0.115).
• The Lions' defense rose from 19th to 2nd in EPA/rush allowed over the last two weeks (-0.032 to -0.289).
• The Titans' defense fell from 15th to 32nd in EPA/rush allowed over the last two weeks (-0.085 to +0.200).
• The 49ers' defense rose from 24th to 8th in explosive pass rate allowed over the last two weeks (21.7% to 12.1%).
• The Titans' defense fell from 6th to 27th in explosive pass rate allowed over the last two weeks (7.1% to 20.6%).
• The Eagles' defense rose from 32nd to 11th in sack + QB hit rate over the last two weeks (2.9% to 16.0%).
• The Jets' defense fell from 7th to 29th in sack + QB hit rate over the last two weeks (20.6% to 11.2%).
• The Chiefs' defense rose from 30th to 10th in 3rd-down conversion rate allowed over the last two weeks (58.3% to 36.1%).
• The Giants' defense fell from 12th to 29th in 3rd-down conversion rate allowed over the last two weeks (40.0% to 47.4%).

EPA/play ranks after Week 3, all 32 teams

Active streaks

• The Packers' defense has held opponents below the league average in EPA/dropback in 3 straight games (since Week 1).
• The Jaguars' defense has held opponents below the league average in EPA/dropback in 3 straight games (since Week 1).
• The Rams' defense has held opponents below the league average in EPA/dropback in 3 straight games (since Week 1).
• The Vikings' defense has held opponents below the league average in EPA/dropback in 3 straight games (since Week 1).
• The Eagles' defense has held opponents below the league average in EPA/dropback in 3 straight games (since Week 1).
• The Cardinals' defense has held opponents below the league average in EPA/play in 3 straight games (since Week 1).
• The Packers' defense has held opponents below the league average in EPA/play in 3 straight games (since Week 1).
• The Jaguars' defense has held opponents below the league average in EPA/play in 3 straight games (since Week 1).
• Jared Goff has had positive EPA per play in 3 straight games (since Week 1).
• Lamar Jackson has had positive EPA per play in 3 straight games (since Week 1).
• Baker Mayfield has had positive EPA per play in 3 straight games (since Week 1).
• Josh Allen has had positive EPA per play in 3 straight games (since Week 1).
• Kyler Murray has had positive EPA per play in 3 straight games (since Week 1).
• Daniel Jones has had positive EPA per play in 3 straight games (since Week 1).
• Jordan Love has had positive EPA per play in 3 straight games (since Week 1).
• Ollie Gordon II has had positive EPA per carry in 3 straight games (since Week 1).

Player movers

• Sam Darnold rose from 30th to 10th among qualified quarterbacks in EPA/play over the last two weeks (-0.361 to +0.139).
• Jared Goff rose from 17th to 3rd among qualified quarterbacks in EPA/play over the last two weeks (+0.032 to +0.370).
• Michael Penix Jr. fell from 9th to 29th among qualified quarterbacks in EPA/play over the last two weeks (+0.324 to -0.122).
• Jayden Daniels fell from 14th to 25th among qualified quarterbacks in EPA/play over the last two weeks (+0.168 to -0.046).
• Kenneth Walker III rose from 35th to 3rd among qualified running backs in EPA/rush over the last two weeks (-0.355 to +0.120).
• David Montgomery rose from 27th to 1st among qualified running backs in EPA/rush over the last two weeks (-0.230 to +0.216).
• Zach Charbonnet fell from 11th to 39th among qualified running backs in EPA/rush over the last two weeks (-0.010 to -0.326).
• Derrick Henry fell from 3rd to 28th among qualified running backs in EPA/rush over the last two weeks (+0.194 to -0.122).
• Amon-Ra St. Brown rose from 52nd to 14th among qualified wide receivers in target share over the last two weeks (15.8% to 27.2%).
• DeVonta Smith rose from 55th to 19th among qualified wide receivers in target share over the last two weeks (15.0% to 25.4%).
• Josh Palmer fell from 37th to 65th among qualified wide receivers in target share over the last two weeks (20.0% to 13.4%).
• Kayshon Boutte fell from 46th to 73rd among qualified wide receivers in target share over the last two weeks (17.8% to 11.5%).
• Dalton Kincaid rose from 31st to 16th among qualified tight ends in target share over the last two weeks (8.9% to 16.5%).
• Travis Kelce rose from 27th to 15th among qualified tight ends in target share over the last two weeks (10.5% to 16.7%).
• Noah Fant fell from 7th to 20th among qualified tight ends in target share over the last two weeks (21.7% to 15.2%).
• Dallas Goedert fell from 1st to 12th among qualified tight ends in target share over the last two weeks (35.0% to 18.0%).