NFL Week 13 trends, 2025

What changed after Week 13

Season-to-date ranks among all 32 teams after Week 13 of the 2025 season, compared with where each team stood after Week 10. Offense numbers are what a team gained; defense numbers are what it allowed, so a defense that "rose" is allowing less.

Offense: EPA/play risers and fallers

• The Giants' offense rose from 22nd to 16th in EPA/play over the last three weeks (-0.011 to +0.008).
• The Falcons' offense rose from 25th to 21st in EPA/play over the last three weeks (-0.042 to -0.014).
• The Packers' offense rose from 6th to 2nd in EPA/play over the last three weeks (+0.131 to +0.150).
• The Ravens' offense fell from 16th to 24th in EPA/play over the last three weeks (+0.024 to -0.022).
• The Lions' offense fell from 3rd to 8th in EPA/play over the last three weeks (+0.151 to +0.097).
• The Seahawks' offense fell from 10th to 13th in EPA/play over the last three weeks (+0.073 to +0.034).

Defense: EPA/play allowed risers and fallers

• The Jaguars' defense rose from 15th to 6th in EPA/play allowed over the last three weeks (+0.006 to -0.075).
• The Bills' defense rose from 18th to 15th in EPA/play allowed over the last three weeks (+0.015 to -0.015).
• The Eagles' defense rose from 12th to 9th in EPA/play allowed over the last three weeks (-0.017 to -0.040).
• The Chiefs' defense fell from 13th to 20th in EPA/play allowed over the last three weeks (-0.015 to +0.014).
• The Lions' defense fell from 5th to 11th in EPA/play allowed over the last three weeks (-0.062 to -0.031).
• The Buccaneers' defense fell from 8th to 13th in EPA/play allowed over the last three weeks (-0.053 to -0.017).

Other movers

• The Cardinals' offense rose from 25th to 16th in success rate over the last three weeks (41.9% to 44.0%).
• The Vikings' offense fell from 21st to 29th in success rate over the last three weeks (43.2% to 41.4%).
• The Broncos' offense rose from 18th to 13th in EPA/dropback over the last three weeks (+0.065 to +0.087).
• The Ravens' offense fell from 16th to 24th in EPA/dropback over the last three weeks (+0.075 to -0.036).
• The Ravens' offense rose from 19th to 8th in EPA/rush over the last three weeks (-0.042 to -0.005).
• The Chiefs' offense fell from 4th to 15th in EPA/rush over the last three weeks (+0.024 to -0.025).
• The Cowboys' offense rose from 22nd to 13th in explosive pass rate over the last three weeks (14.2% to 15.6%).
• The Vikings' offense fell from 15th to 23rd in explosive pass rate over the last three weeks (15.2% to 14.0%).
• The Eagles' offense rose from 13th to 6th in sack + QB hit rate allowed over the last three weeks (12.7% to 11.3%).
• The Raiders' offense fell from 19th to 27th in sack + QB hit rate allowed over the last three weeks (15.7% to 18.7%).
• The Steelers' offense rose from 26th to 13th in 3rd-down conversion rate over the last three weeks (36.4% to 40.0%).
• The Raiders' offense fell from 16th to 26th in 3rd-down conversion rate over the last three weeks (39.3% to 35.6%).
• The Titans' offense became more pass-heavy over the last three weeks: its PROE went from -3.5% (22nd) to -1.9% (16th).
• The Giants' offense became more run-heavy over the last three weeks: its PROE went from -1.9% (17th) to -4.7% (25th).
• The Ravens' defense rose from 23rd to 13th in success rate allowed over the last three weeks (46.4% to 43.6%).
• The Buccaneers' defense fell from 11th to 22nd in success rate allowed over the last three weeks (42.6% to 45.3%).
• The Jaguars' defense rose from 17th to 4th in EPA/dropback allowed over the last three weeks (+0.041 to -0.072).
• The Chiefs' defense fell from 7th to 19th in EPA/dropback allowed over the last three weeks (-0.024 to +0.041).
• The Colts' defense rose from 19th to 8th in EPA/rush allowed over the last three weeks (-0.040 to -0.091).
• The Broncos' defense fell from 5th to 13th in EPA/rush allowed over the last three weeks (-0.126 to -0.087).
• The Browns' defense rose from 22nd to 14th in explosive pass rate allowed over the last three weeks (17.2% to 15.6%).
• The Lions' defense fell from 20th to 29th in explosive pass rate allowed over the last three weeks (16.8% to 17.6%).
• The Ravens' defense rose from 26th to 18th in sack + QB hit rate over the last three weeks (12.6% to 14.4%).
• The Lions' defense fell from 7th to 16th in sack + QB hit rate over the last three weeks (17.4% to 15.6%).
• The Jaguars' defense rose from 30th to 21st in 3rd-down conversion rate allowed over the last three weeks (45.9% to 40.4%).
• The Giants' defense fell from 15th to 22nd in 3rd-down conversion rate allowed over the last three weeks (38.8% to 41.4%).

EPA/play ranks after Week 13, all 32 teams

Hot and cold: the last five games

• Over its last five games the Giants' offense ranks 7th in EPA/play (+0.072), 9 spots above its season rank (16th).
• Over its last five games the 49ers' offense ranks 2nd in EPA/play (+0.126), 8 spots above its season rank (10th).
• Over its last five games the Colts' offense ranks 11th in EPA/play (+0.054), 10 spots below its season rank (1st).
• Over its last five games the Steelers' offense ranks 27th in EPA/play (-0.114), 8 spots below its season rank (19th).
• Over its last five games the Ravens' defense ranks 3rd in EPA/play allowed (-0.172), 18 spots above its season rank (21st).
• Over its last five games the Dolphins' defense ranks 12th in EPA/play allowed (-0.056), 14 spots above its season rank (26th).
• Over its last five games the Lions' defense ranks 23rd in EPA/play allowed (+0.057), 12 spots below its season rank (11th).
• Over its last five games the Broncos' defense ranks 11th in EPA/play allowed (-0.060), 6 spots below its season rank (5th).

Active streaks

• The Texans' defense has held opponents below the league average in EPA/play in 10 straight games (since Week 3).
• The Texans' defense has held opponents below the league average in success rate in 10 straight games (since Week 3).
• The Dolphins' defense has held opponents below the league average in EPA/rush in 6 straight games (since Week 7).
• The Browns' defense has beaten the league average in sack + QB hit rate in 6 straight games (since Week 7).
• The Ravens' defense has held opponents below the league average in success rate in 6 straight games (since Week 8).
• The Packers' offense has beaten the league average in 3rd-down conversion rate in 6 straight games (since Week 8).
• The 49ers' offense has beaten the league average in EPA/dropback in 5 straight games (since Week 9).
• The 49ers' offense has beaten the league average in EPA/play in 5 straight games (since Week 9).
• Drake Maye has had positive EPA per play in 12 straight games (since Week 2).
• Patrick Mahomes has had 250+ passing yards in 9 straight games (since Week 4).
• Jacoby Brissett has had 250+ passing yards in 7 straight games (since Week 6).
• Trey McBride has had 50+ receiving yards in 7 straight games (since Week 6).
• George Pickens has had 75+ receiving yards in 7 straight games (since Week 6).
• Drake Maye has had 250+ passing yards in 6 straight games (since Week 8).
• Harold Fannin Jr. has had a 20%+ target share in 6 straight games (since Week 7).
• Drake London has had a 25%+ target share in 6 straight games (since Week 4).

Player movers

• Dak Prescott rose from 10th to 6th among qualified quarterbacks in EPA/play over the last three weeks (+0.160 to +0.182).
• Bo Nix rose from 18th to 14th among qualified quarterbacks in EPA/play over the last three weeks (+0.067 to +0.088).
• Lamar Jackson fell from 6th to 22nd among qualified quarterbacks in EPA/play over the last three weeks (+0.243 to +0.045).
• Sam Darnold fell from 1st to 7th among qualified quarterbacks in EPA/play over the last three weeks (+0.290 to +0.171).
• Chase Brown rose from 30th to 21st among qualified running backs in EPA/rush over the last three weeks (-0.083 to -0.030).
• Kyle Monangai rose from 12th to 4th among qualified running backs in EPA/rush over the last three weeks (+0.044 to +0.066).
• Quinshon Judkins fell from 16th to 30th among qualified running backs in EPA/rush over the last three weeks (-0.012 to -0.076).
• Breece Hall fell from 22nd to 34th among qualified running backs in EPA/rush over the last three weeks (-0.050 to -0.087).
• Michael Wilson rose from 70th to 46th among qualified wide receivers in target share over the last three weeks (12.5% to 17.6%).
• Jayden Higgins rose from 84th to 68th among qualified wide receivers in target share over the last three weeks (9.3% to 12.1%).
• Marquise Brown fell from 49th to 61st among qualified wide receivers in target share over the last three weeks (17.7% to 14.4%).
• Calvin Ridley fell from 44th to 54th among qualified wide receivers in target share over the last three weeks (19.0% to 16.4%).
• George Kittle rose from 19th to 6th among qualified tight ends in target share over the last three weeks (15.9% to 19.5%).
• AJ Barner rose from 31st to 25th among qualified tight ends in target share over the last three weeks (11.9% to 14.9%).
• Dallas Goedert fell from 3rd to 14th among qualified tight ends in target share over the last three weeks (21.5% to 18.5%).
• Ja'Tavion Sanders fell from 30th to 36th among qualified tight ends in target share over the last three weeks (12.1% to 10.1%).