NFL Week 14 trends, 2025

What changed after Week 14

Season-to-date ranks among all 32 teams after Week 14 of the 2025 season, compared with where each team stood after Week 11. Offense numbers are what a team gained; defense numbers are what it allowed, so a defense that "rose" is allowing less.

Offense: EPA/play risers and fallers

• The Rams' offense rose from 7th to 2nd in EPA/play over the last three weeks (+0.113 to +0.140).
• The Dolphins' offense rose from 22nd to 17th in EPA/play over the last three weeks (-0.004 to +0.003).
• The Lions' offense rose from 8th to 5th in EPA/play over the last three weeks (+0.097 to +0.114).
• The Buccaneers' offense fell from 15th to 23rd in EPA/play over the last three weeks (+0.025 to -0.027).
• The Ravens' offense fell from 17th to 21st in EPA/play over the last three weeks (+0.012 to -0.019).
• The Colts' offense fell from 1st to 4th in EPA/play over the last three weeks (+0.187 to +0.124).

Defense: EPA/play allowed risers and fallers

• The Dolphins' defense rose from 28th to 22nd in EPA/play allowed over the last three weeks (+0.106 to +0.041).
• The Jaguars' defense rose from 10th to 5th in EPA/play allowed over the last three weeks (-0.033 to -0.084).
• The Saints' defense rose from 17th to 12th in EPA/play allowed over the last three weeks (+0.015 to -0.022).
• The Lions' defense fell from 5th to 11th in EPA/play allowed over the last three weeks (-0.082 to -0.030).
• The Colts' defense fell from 8th to 13th in EPA/play allowed over the last three weeks (-0.040 to -0.021).
• The Cardinals' defense fell from 20th to 24th in EPA/play allowed over the last three weeks (+0.024 to +0.044).

Other movers

• The Broncos' offense rose from 24th to 16th in success rate over the last three weeks (42.3% to 43.8%).
• The Ravens' offense fell from 15th to 21st in success rate over the last three weeks (44.9% to 43.4%).
• The Giants' offense rose from 21st to 15th in EPA/dropback over the last three weeks (+0.024 to +0.044).
• The Buccaneers' offense fell from 14th to 20th in EPA/dropback over the last three weeks (+0.085 to +0.001).
• The Rams' offense rose from 14th to 2nd in EPA/rush over the last three weeks (-0.022 to +0.046).
• The Chiefs' offense fell from 5th to 15th in EPA/rush over the last three weeks (+0.032 to -0.024).
• The Eagles' offense rose from 24th to 15th in explosive pass rate over the last three weeks (14.2% to 15.3%).
• The Buccaneers' offense fell from 10th to 18th in explosive pass rate over the last three weeks (16.4% to 14.9%).
• The Steelers' offense rose from 12th to 5th in sack + QB hit rate allowed over the last three weeks (12.7% to 11.5%).
• The Raiders' offense fell from 21st to 27th in sack + QB hit rate allowed over the last three weeks (16.3% to 18.7%).
• The Lions' offense rose from 26th to 18th in 3rd-down conversion rate over the last three weeks (36.3% to 38.9%).
• The Ravens' offense fell from 12th to 21st in 3rd-down conversion rate over the last three weeks (40.7% to 38.2%).
• The Broncos' offense became more pass-heavy over the last three weeks: its PROE went from -0.2% (13th) to +1.2% (7th).
• The Jaguars' defense rose from 15th to 8th in success rate allowed over the last three weeks (44.3% to 42.0%).
• The Buccaneers' defense fell from 12th to 19th in success rate allowed over the last three weeks (43.0% to 44.9%).
• The Seahawks' defense rose from 13th to 4th in EPA/dropback allowed over the last three weeks (-0.006 to -0.079).
• The Colts' defense fell from 6th to 15th in EPA/dropback allowed over the last three weeks (-0.040 to +0.028).
• The Colts' defense rose from 19th to 8th in EPA/rush allowed over the last three weeks (-0.040 to -0.107).
• The Cardinals' defense fell from 12th to 21st in EPA/rush allowed over the last three weeks (-0.079 to -0.033).
• The Browns' defense rose from 25th to 12th in explosive pass rate allowed over the last three weeks (17.4% to 15.0%).
• The Lions' defense fell from 16th to 29th in explosive pass rate allowed over the last three weeks (15.9% to 17.9%).
• The Packers' defense rose from 12th to 4th in sack + QB hit rate over the last three weeks (15.9% to 17.1%).
• The Steelers' defense fell from 2nd to 11th in sack + QB hit rate over the last three weeks (18.4% to 16.2%).
• The Dolphins' defense rose from 25th to 14th in 3rd-down conversion rate allowed over the last three weeks (42.2% to 39.0%).
• The Bears' defense fell from 2nd to 13th in 3rd-down conversion rate allowed over the last three weeks (33.3% to 38.7%).

EPA/play ranks after Week 14, all 32 teams

Hot and cold: the last five games

• Over its last five games the Panthers' offense ranks 14th in EPA/play (-0.003), 10 spots above its season rank (24th).
• Over its last five games the Giants' offense ranks 6th in EPA/play (+0.072), 9 spots above its season rank (15th).
• Over its last five games the Colts' offense ranks 21st in EPA/play (-0.050), 17 spots below its season rank (4th).
• Over its last five games the Eagles' offense ranks 27th in EPA/play (-0.118), 11 spots below its season rank (16th).
• Over its last five games the Ravens' defense ranks 8th in EPA/play allowed (-0.094), 13 spots above its season rank (21st).
• Over its last five games the Dolphins' defense ranks 10th in EPA/play allowed (-0.085), 12 spots above its season rank (22nd).
• Over its last five games the Buccaneers' defense ranks 27th in EPA/play allowed (+0.100), 13 spots below its season rank (14th).
• Over its last five games the Lions' defense ranks 22nd in EPA/play allowed (+0.054), 11 spots below its season rank (11th).

Active streaks

• The Texans' defense has held opponents below the league average in EPA/play in 11 straight games (since Week 3).
• The Texans' defense has held opponents below the league average in success rate in 11 straight games (since Week 3).
• The Dolphins' defense has held opponents below the league average in EPA/rush in 7 straight games (since Week 7).
• The Browns' defense has beaten the league average in sack + QB hit rate in 7 straight games (since Week 7).
• The Ravens' defense has held opponents below the league average in success rate in 7 straight games (since Week 8).
• The Packers' offense has beaten the league average in 3rd-down conversion rate in 7 straight games (since Week 8).
• The Bears' offense has beaten the league average in success rate in 6 straight games (since Week 9).
• The Browns' defense has held opponents below the league average in success rate in 5 straight games (since Week 10).
• Drake Maye has had positive EPA per play in 12 straight games (since Week 2).
• Jacoby Brissett has had 250+ passing yards in 8 straight games (since Week 6).
• Trey McBride has had 50+ receiving yards in 8 straight games (since Week 6).
• Harold Fannin Jr. has had a 20%+ target share in 7 straight games (since Week 7).
• Jared Goff has had 250+ passing yards in 6 straight games (since Week 9).
• Drake Maye has had 250+ passing yards in 6 straight games (since Week 8).
• Drake London has had a 25%+ target share in 6 straight games (since Week 4).
• Emeka Egbuka has had a 25%+ target share in 6 straight games (since Week 8).

Player movers

• Bo Nix rose from 17th to 12th among qualified quarterbacks in EPA/play over the last three weeks (+0.071 to +0.096).
• Trevor Lawrence rose from 27th to 23rd among qualified quarterbacks in EPA/play over the last three weeks (-0.018 to +0.020).
• Lamar Jackson fell from 10th to 17th among qualified quarterbacks in EPA/play over the last three weeks (+0.160 to +0.043).
• Jayden Daniels fell from 20th to 26th among qualified quarterbacks in EPA/play over the last three weeks (+0.048 to -0.003).
• Blake Corum rose from 16th to 1st among qualified running backs in EPA/rush over the last three weeks (-0.004 to +0.127).
• Chuba Hubbard rose from 33rd to 21st among qualified running backs in EPA/rush over the last three weeks (-0.086 to -0.046).
• Breece Hall fell from 21st to 36th among qualified running backs in EPA/rush over the last three weeks (-0.044 to -0.098).
• James Cook fell from 4th to 16th among qualified running backs in EPA/rush over the last three weeks (+0.078 to -0.011).
• Michael Wilson rose from 60th to 41st among qualified wide receivers in target share over the last three weeks (15.6% to 19.3%).
• Jayden Higgins rose from 83rd to 67th among qualified wide receivers in target share over the last three weeks (10.2% to 12.5%).
• Troy Franklin fell from 28th to 39th among qualified wide receivers in target share over the last three weeks (22.1% to 19.7%).
• Stefon Diggs fell from 22nd to 30th among qualified wide receivers in target share over the last three weeks (23.2% to 21.2%).
• George Kittle rose from 17th to 7th among qualified tight ends in target share over the last three weeks (17.0% to 19.5%).
• Harold Fannin Jr. rose from 12th to 5th among qualified tight ends in target share over the last three weeks (18.5% to 20.2%).
• Jake Ferguson fell from 6th to 12th among qualified tight ends in target share over the last three weeks (19.6% to 18.7%).
• Travis Kelce fell from 9th to 14th among qualified tight ends in target share over the last three weeks (19.2% to 18.6%).