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NCAAF

Mississippi State Bulldogs

#27 FBS · 4-3
G&W Power Rating+10.16#27 of 138
Record4-3
Exp W%54.7%what the scoring says
Luck+2.4%winning more than the scoring says
Close W-L2-1games decided by 8 or less

Through games of Oct 27

Team stats

Scoring
For/G30.044th of 138
Agst/G27.783rd of 138
Diff/G+2.2958th of 138
Adj. Margin+14.3929th of 138
SOS+12.64
Efficiency
Off EPA/play (raw)0.11150th of 138
Def EPA/play (raw)0.14499th of 138
Net EPA/play (raw)−0.03379th of 138
Off SR48.3%54th of 138
Def SR46.0%55th of 138

League ranks among 138 FBS teams. Green = top third, red = bottom third. Same numbers as the NCAAF power rankings table (2026).

Schedule and results

4-3 ATS · O/U 3-4
Next up
Results, newest first

Result vs the close: against the consensus closing spread (covered / missed) and the closing total (O = over, U = under). Against-the-spread and over/under records exclude the postseason. Preview and Recap open the game page.

Team leaders

Passing leader · QB
Kamario Taylor
104/159, 1460 YDS, 17 TD, 4 INT
Rushing leader · RB
Fluff Bothwell
91 CAR, 514 YDS, 3 TD
Receiving leader · WR
Anthony Evans III
53 REC, 647 YDS, 5 TD

Season to date, all games.

Mississippi State Bulldogs players on G&W

Against the market

League table ›

4-3 against the close · +10.5 pts

Against the close4-3avg cover margin +1.5
Beat the close by+10.5 ptsover 7 games
Against the bet-time line4-3+5.0 pts in total
Totals vs the close3-4avg +1.5 pts vs the total
Sep 5: +20.5Sep 12: +23.5Sep 19: +10.5Sep 26: +3.5Oct 3: −27.5Oct 17: −13.5Oct 24: −6.5+58.0 pts−27.5Sep 5Oct 24
Each game vs the closeRunning total vs the closeRunning total vs the bet-time line

Last 4 games: −11.0 pts a game vs the close.

Home 4Road 3
2-2Against the close2-1
−2.5Avg cover margin+6.8
2-2Over/under1-2
+5.5Total vs the close−3.8
Favorite 3Underdog 4
3-0Against the close1-3
+15.8Avg cover margin−9.2
1-2Over/under2-2
+4.8Total vs the close−1.0
G&W vs the market for the Mississippi State Bulldogs, game by game, is part of Official Plays.See plans ›

Cover margin: the team's final margin plus its closing spread. Positive means they beat the number by that many points. The bet-time line is the consensus line on the morning of the bet window (Tuesday for football, game day for most other sports). The close is the consensus line just before the start. Every game uses only lines captured before it began. Regular season only.

Our record on this team

Full NCAAF archive ›
8
Graded plays
2-6-0
W-L-P
-4.80u
Units
-42.5%
ROI

Every graded official play that involved this team, on either side, at the price it was sent. The same plays as the Pick Archive and Results.

About these numbers

G&W Power Rating: how many points (goals, runs) better than an average team on a neutral field. The rank and every stat match the NCAAF power rankings table.

Exp W% is the win percentage the Mississippi State Bulldogs scoring margin says they should have. Luck is actual win % minus Exp W%: positive means winning more than the scoring says, which tends to even out. Close W-L is the record in one-score games.

Closing line. The consensus spread, total and moneyline just before the game started. Each game page shows the full market for that game.