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NCAAF

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

#124 FBS · 3-5
G&W Power Rating−13.51#124 of 138
Record3-5
Exp W%15.4%what the scoring says
Luck+22.1%winning more than the scoring says
Close W-L0-0games decided by 8 or less

Through games of Oct 27

Team stats

Scoring
For/G16.9125th of 138
Agst/G34.6120th of 138
Diff/G−17.71129th of 138
Adj. Margin−19.57126th of 138
SOS−3.47
Efficiency
Off EPA/play (raw)−0.126129th of 138
Def EPA/play (raw)0.13490th of 138
Net EPA/play (raw)−0.260127th of 138
Off SR44.2%99th of 138
Def SR48.5%90th of 138

League ranks among 138 FBS teams. Green = top third, red = bottom third. Same numbers as the NCAAF power rankings table (2026).

Schedule and results

3-4 ATS · O/U 3-4
Next up
Results, newest first

Result vs the close: against the consensus closing spread (covered / missed) and the closing total (O = over, U = under). Against-the-spread and over/under records exclude the postseason and count the 7 of 8 games with a closing line on file. Preview and Recap open the game page.

Team leaders

Passing leader · QB
Rodney Tisdale Jr.
80/119, 857 YDS, 4 TD, 2 INT
Rushing leader · RB
Ajay Allen
82 CAR, 346 YDS, 4 TD
Receiving leader · WR
Jonathan Stafford Jr.
41 REC, 369 YDS, 1 TD

Season to date, all games.

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers players on G&W

Against the market

League table ›

3-4 against the close · −41.0 pts

Against the close3-4avg cover margin −5.9
Beat the close by−41.0 ptsover 7 games
Against the bet-time line1-3−60.0 pts in total
Totals vs the close3-4avg −3.8 pts vs the total
Sep 5: −36.5Sep 12: −9.5Sep 19: +6.5Oct 1: −19.0Oct 8: +22.5Oct 14: +11.5Oct 27: −16.5+22.5 pts−60.0Sep 5Oct 27
Each game vs the closeRunning total vs the closeRunning total vs the bet-time line

Last 4 games: −0.4 pts a game vs the close.

Home 2Road 5
1-1Against the close2-3
+3.0Avg cover margin−9.4
1-1Over/under2-3
−4.5Total vs the close−3.5
Favorite 3Underdog 4
1-2Against the close2-2
−13.8Avg cover margin+0.1
2-1Over/under1-3
−7.5Total vs the close−1.0
G&W vs the market for the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers, game by game, is part of Official Plays.See plans ›

Cover margin: the team's final margin plus its closing spread. Positive means they beat the number by that many points. The bet-time line is the consensus line on the morning of the bet window (Tuesday for football, game day for most other sports). The close is the consensus line just before the start. Every game uses only lines captured before it began. Regular season only.

Our record on this team

Full NCAAF archive ›
3
Graded plays
3-0-0
W-L-P
+4.50u
Units
+88.3%
ROI

Every graded official play that involved this team, on either side, at the price it was sent. The same plays as the Pick Archive and Results.

About these numbers

G&W Power Rating: how many points (goals, runs) better than an average team on a neutral field. The rank and every stat match the NCAAF power rankings table.

Exp W% is the win percentage the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers scoring margin says they should have. Luck is actual win % minus Exp W%: positive means winning more than the scoring says, which tends to even out. Close W-L is the record in one-score games.

Closing line. The consensus spread, total and moneyline just before the game started. Each game page shows the full market for that game.