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NCAAF

Liberty Flames

#42 FBS · 6-1
G&W Power Rating+6.35#42 of 138
Record6-1
Exp W%90.8%what the scoring says
Luck−5.1%winning less than the scoring says
Close W-L0-1games decided by 8 or less

Through games of Oct 27

Team stats

Scoring
For/G32.828th of 138
Agst/G12.52nd of 138
Diff/G+20.336th of 138
Adj. Margin+8.8040th of 138
SOS−12.79
Efficiency
Off EPA/play (raw)0.19126th of 138
Def EPA/play (raw)−0.03733rd of 138
Net EPA/play (raw)+0.22817th of 138
Off SR53.5%6th of 138
Def SR45.9%53rd of 138

League ranks among 138 FBS teams. Green = top third, red = bottom third. Same numbers as the NCAAF power rankings table (2026).

Schedule and results

5-1 ATS · O/U 2-4
Next up
Results, newest first

Result vs the close: against the consensus closing spread (covered / missed) and the closing total (O = over, U = under). Against-the-spread and over/under records exclude the postseason and count the 6 of 7 games with a closing line on file. Preview and Recap open the game page.

Team leaders

Passing leader · QB
Deshawn Purdie
80/133, 1226 YDS, 9 TD
Rushing leader · RB
Kam Davis
83 CAR, 583 YDS, 5 TD
Receiving leader · WR
Makai Jackson
23 REC, 540 YDS, 5 TD

Season to date, all games.

Liberty Flames players on G&W

Against the market

League table ›

5-1 against the close · +82.0 pts

Against the close5-1avg cover margin +13.7
Beat the close by+82.0 ptsover 6 games
Against the bet-time line3-1+49.0 pts in total
Totals vs the close2-4avg −5.5 pts vs the total
Sep 5: −0.5Sep 19: +21.5Sep 24: +14.5Oct 2: +8.5Oct 8: +18.5Oct 22: +19.5+82.0 pts−0.5Sep 5Oct 22
Each game vs the closeRunning total vs the closeRunning total vs the bet-time line

Last 4 games: +15.2 pts a game vs the close.

Home 2Road 4
2-0Against the close3-1
+20.0Avg cover margin+10.5
1-1Over/under1-3
+1.0Total vs the close−8.8
Favorite 5Underdog 1
5-0Against the close0-1
+16.5Avg cover margin−0.5
2-3Over/under0-1
−3.1Total vs the close−17.5
G&W vs the market for the Liberty Flames, game by game, is part of Official Plays.See plans ›

Cover margin: the team's final margin plus its closing spread. Positive means they beat the number by that many points. The bet-time line is the consensus line on the morning of the bet window (Tuesday for football, game day for most other sports). The close is the consensus line just before the start. Every game uses only lines captured before it began. Regular season only.

Our record on this team

Full NCAAF archive ›

No graded official plays involving the Liberty Flames yet.

About these numbers

G&W Power Rating: how many points (goals, runs) better than an average team on a neutral field. The rank and every stat match the NCAAF power rankings table.

Exp W% is the win percentage the Liberty Flames scoring margin says they should have. Luck is actual win % minus Exp W%: positive means winning more than the scoring says, which tends to even out. Close W-L is the record in one-score games.

Closing line. The consensus spread, total and moneyline just before the game started. Each game page shows the full market for that game.