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NCAAF

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

#125 FBS · 4-3
G&W Power Rating−13.65#125 of 138
Record4-3
Exp W%29.9%what the scoring says
Luck+27.2%winning more than the scoring says
Close W-L3-1games decided by 8 or less

Through games of Oct 27

Team stats

Scoring
For/G20.8105th of 138
Agst/G29.898th of 138
Diff/G−9.00108th of 138
Adj. Margin−15.92120th of 138
SOS−8.18
Efficiency
Off EPA/play (raw)0.00292nd of 138
Def EPA/play (raw)0.08876th of 138
Net EPA/play (raw)−0.08696th of 138
Off SR44.6%94th of 138
Def SR49.2%104th of 138

League ranks among 138 FBS teams. Green = top third, red = bottom third. Same numbers as the NCAAF power rankings table (2026).

Schedule and results

4-2 ATS · O/U 3-3
Next up
Results, newest first

Result vs the close: against the consensus closing spread (covered / missed) and the closing total (O = over, U = under). Against-the-spread and over/under records exclude the postseason and count the 6 of 7 games with a closing line on file. Preview and Recap open the game page.

Team leaders

Passing leader · QB
Roman Gagliano
126/215, 1404 YDS, 12 TD, 2 INT
Rushing leader · RB
Antonio Martin
94 CAR, 480 YDS, 1 TD
Receiving leader · WR
Cam'ron Lacy
41 REC, 437 YDS, 4 TD

Season to date, all games.

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders players on G&W

Against the market

League table ›

4-2 against the close · +1.0 pts

Against the close4-2avg cover margin +0.2
Beat the close by+1.0 ptsover 6 games
Against the bet-time line2-2−16.0 pts in total
Totals vs the close3-3avg +0.0 pts vs the total
Sep 12: +10.5Sep 19: +10.5Sep 26: −2.5Oct 3: −34.5Oct 13: +4.0Oct 20: +13.0+22.5 pts−34.5Sep 12Oct 20
Each game vs the closeRunning total vs the closeRunning total vs the bet-time line

Last 4 games: −5.0 pts a game vs the close.

Home 2Road 4
2-0Against the close2-2
+7.2Avg cover margin−3.4
1-1Over/under2-2
+5.0Total vs the close−2.5
Favorite 0Underdog 6
—Against the close4-2
—Avg cover margin+0.2
—Over/under3-3
—Total vs the close+0.0
G&W vs the market for the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders, game by game, is part of Official Plays.See plans ›

Cover margin: the team's final margin plus its closing spread. Positive means they beat the number by that many points. The bet-time line is the consensus line on the morning of the bet window (Tuesday for football, game day for most other sports). The close is the consensus line just before the start. Every game uses only lines captured before it began. Regular season only.

Our record on this team

Full NCAAF archive ›
3
Graded plays
2-1-0
W-L-P
-0.25u
Units
-4.6%
ROI

Every graded official play that involved this team, on either side, at the price it was sent. The same plays as the Pick Archive and Results.

About these numbers

G&W Power Rating: how many points (goals, runs) better than an average team on a neutral field. The rank and every stat match the NCAAF power rankings table.

Exp W% is the win percentage the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders scoring margin says they should have. Luck is actual win % minus Exp W%: positive means winning more than the scoring says, which tends to even out. Close W-L is the record in one-score games.

Closing line. The consensus spread, total and moneyline just before the game started. Each game page shows the full market for that game.