Washington Huskies vs Purdue Boilermakers Final — October 16, 2026
WASHOffense2026 regular season to datePUR
WASHDefensePURWASHRecent formPURWASHHome and roadseason to datePURWASHLast 10 gamesPURRest & travelrest and travel
WASHRest & travelPURAbout these numbers
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Margin of each of the last 6 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
The pre-game matchup
Washington (2-3) visited Purdue (2-3) on Friday, October 16 at 8:00 PM ET.
Washington has the 111th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 34th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Purdue has the 36th-ranked offense and the 131st-ranked defense. When Washington has the ball, a 111th-ranked offense (−0.057 EPA per play) meets a 131st-ranked defense (+0.282 allowed); when Purdue has it, a 36th-ranked offense (+0.166) meets a 34th-ranked defense (−0.039 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Washington offense is at 44.2% (90th) and the Purdue offense at 49.0% (46th). Washington scores 21.8 points per game (91st) and allows 23.4 (54th); Purdue scores 29.8 (50th) and allows 33.8 (117th).
Washington is 3-3 and 1-5 against the spread; its last game was a 41-24 loss to Iowa. Purdue is 3-3 and 3-3 against the spread; its last game was a 41-13 win over Minnesota.
Purdue closed as a 3-point favorite at home against Washington. The spread opened at Purdue -2.5. The total closed at 50.5, down from 52.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Washington +134, Purdue -163) prices Washington at 41% and Purdue at 59%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
Washington Huskies 38, Purdue Boilermakers 26
Washington Huskies won by 12.
- Against the closing spread (Purdue Boilermakers -3): Washington Huskies covered.
- Combined score 64 vs the closing total of 50.5: Over.
- Washington Huskies closed at +134 on the moneyline (a 41% no-vig market-implied chance).
Before the game: market and G&W
From open to close the market moved 3 points toward Purdue Boilermakers.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Washington Huskies 41%, Purdue Boilermakers 59%) and moving with every snap until the final.
Biggest swings
- Q2 10:28 — Purdue Boilermakers ball, 1st & 10 at PUR 31No Huddle-Shotgun #22 A.Harris rush left for 59 yards gain to the UW 10 (#6 D.Robinson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY UW Personal Foul (#11 R.Fruean) 5 yards…Purdue Boilermakers 42% → 54% (+12 pts) · Drive 8 in Drive X-Ray
- Q2 6:38 — Washington Huskies ball, 2nd & 14 at PUR 15No Huddle-Shotgun #7 E.Brown pass incomplete short right to #3 R.Williams thrown to PUR00 PENALTY UW Holding (#73 C.Taulealea) 10 yards from PUR15 to PUR25. NO P…Purdue Boilermakers 27% → 57% (+30 pts) · Drive 9 in Drive X-Ray
- Q2 6:27 — Washington Huskies ball, 2nd & 24 at PUR 25Shotgun #7 E.Brown pass complete short right to #34 B.Bonner caught at PUR32, for 25 yards to the PUR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:27, 1ST DOWN #95 T.Robles kick attemp…Washington Huskies 46% → 61% (+14 pts) · Drive 9 in Drive X-Ray
- Q2 2:39 — Purdue Boilermakers ball, 4th & 9 at WASH 49#42 D.Drennan punt 39 yards to the UW 10 muffed by #6 D.Robinson at UW 10 recovered by PUR #7 D.Saunders at UW 10, End Of PlayPurdue Boilermakers 35% → 50% (+15 pts) · Drive 10 in Drive X-Ray
- Q3 6:44 — Washington Huskies ball, 1st & 10 at WASH 36Shotgun #7 E.Brown pass intercepted by #0 J.Hayden at UW 40, End Of PlayPurdue Boilermakers 25% → 39% (+14 pts) · Drive 17 in Drive X-Ray
Washington Huskies won after falling as low as 32% (Q1 13:37).
Game DNA
| Washington | Points added | Purdue |
|---|---|---|
| +8.7 | Passingdropbacks | -10.5 |
| -4.2 | Rushingdesigned runs | -11.7 |
| +22.4 | Explosive plays9 plays · 3 plays | +8.3 |
| -19.5 | Turnovers4 giveaways · 2 giveaways | -5.1 |
| -0.8 | Special teamskicks, punts and returns | +12.0 |
| -5.2 | Penaltiespre-snap and dead-ball | +0.3 |
| +2.0 | Red zoneTDs on trips: 3 of 5 · 3 of 4 | +2.5 |
| +3.4 | All plays | -4.1 |
The biggest single gap: passing, worth about 19.2 points to Washington Huskies. The final margin was 12.
Points added: what each team's plays added to its expected points, credited to the team with the ball. Each play counts once.
The official play, graded
The official play on this game, at the price it was sent, graded against the final score.
Every official play is logged and graded, wins and losses alike. Full track record.
Line review
Purdue Boilermakers closed as the market favourite at 59% and lost.
The line moved toward Purdue Boilermakers before kickoff, and they lost.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Washington +2.5 (+102)
Washington +3 (-109)
Purdue -145 57%
Purdue -163 59%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Attempts174
- Completion %66.7%56th
- Passing yards1,39664th
- Yards per attempt8.081st
- TD–INT8–3
- Rushing yards232191st
- Season line51 carries, 232 yds
- Receiving yards38758th
- Season line43 catches, 387 yds, 2 TD
- Tackles4462nd
- Attempts180
- Completion %68.9%30th
- Passing yards1,54935th
- Yards per attempt8.652nd
- TD–INT9–1
- Rushing yards54920th
- Season line117 carries, 549 yds, 9 TD
- Receiving yards47220th
- Season line29 catches, 472 yds, 1 TD
- Tackles40109th
Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 259 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured October 14, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.
Success by situation
| Situation | Washington | Purdue |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateWashington offense vs Purdue defense | 44.1%58th | 44.8%87th |
| Early-down success ratePurdue offense vs Washington defense | 43.0%67th | 43.5%68th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateWashington offense vs Purdue defense | 27.9%127th | 51.9%132nd |
| 3rd-down conversion ratePurdue offense vs Washington defense | 32.2%14th | 42.6%59th |
| Explosive play rateWashington offense vs Purdue defense | 5.0%112th | 8.3%111th |
| Explosive play ratePurdue offense vs Washington defense | 6.1%49th | 7.7%42nd |
| Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks | 60.0%9th-highest | 50.0%77th-highest |
On 3rd down Washington converts 27.9% (127th) against a Purdue defense allowing 51.9% (132nd).
On 3rd down Purdue converts 42.6% (59th) against a Washington defense allowing 32.2% (14th).
2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.
Coaching staff
| Staff | Washington | Purdue |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Jedd Fisch | Barry Odom |
| Tenureat this school | 3rd season | 2nd season |
| Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below | 18–14 | 5–13 |
| Career recordas an FBS head coach | 35–36 | 49–46 |
| Offensive coordinator | Jedd Fisch | Josh Henson |
| Defensive coordinator | Ryan Walters | Kevin Kane |
Staff list as of October 13, 6:50 a.m. ET.
Head-to-head
The teams have met 1 time since 2021: Washington won 1 and Purdue 0.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | Purdue 13, Washington 49 Washington won |
Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.
Teams
Washington Huskies
- Washington Huskies team stats
- Washington Huskies at Nebraska Cornhuskers (Oct 31)
- Iowa Hawkeyes 41, Washington Huskies 24 (Oct 9)
- Washington Huskies 21, USC Trojans 25 (Oct 3)
Purdue Boilermakers
- Purdue Boilermakers team stats
- Purdue Boilermakers at Penn State Nittany Lions (Oct 31)
- Minnesota Golden Gophers 13, Purdue Boilermakers 41 (Oct 10)
- Purdue Boilermakers 24, Illinois Fighting Illini 17 (Oct 3)
- Notre Dame Fighting Irish 49, Purdue Boilermakers 10 (Sep 26)
Gridiron & Wine graded a pick on this game: see the archived pick.
More NCAAF games on October 16, 2026
Dig deeper
Follow the market every day
See every game's current line on the odds board, or check our fully tracked results.
Odds boardTracked results