Iowa Hawkeyes vs Washington Huskies Final — October 9, 2026
IOWAOffense2026 regular season to dateWASH
IOWADefenseWASHIOWARecent formWASHIOWAHome and roadseason to dateWASHIOWALast 10 gamesWASHRest & travelrest and travel
IOWARest & travelWASHAbout these numbers
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Margin of each of the last 5 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
The pre-game matchup
Iowa (3-1) visited Washington (2-2) on Friday, October 9 at 9:00 PM ET.
Iowa has the 72nd-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 56th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Washington has the 115th-ranked offense and the 15th-ranked defense. When Iowa has the ball, a 72nd-ranked offense (+0.053 EPA per play) meets a 15th-ranked defense (−0.133 allowed); when Washington has it, a 115th-ranked offense (−0.096) meets a 56th-ranked defense (+0.028 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Iowa offense is at 40.8% (124th) and the Washington offense at 42.6% (107th). Iowa scores 22.5 points per game (84th) and allows 15.8 (14th); Washington scores 21.2 (93rd) and allows 19.0 (32nd).
Iowa is 4-1 and 3-2 against the spread; its last game was a 31-14 loss to Ohio State. Washington is 3-2 and 1-4 against the spread; its last game was a 25-21 loss to USC.
Washington closed as a 3-point favorite at home against Iowa. The spread opened at Washington -1.5. The total closed at 40.5, down from 42.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Iowa +123, Washington -152) prices Iowa at 43% and Washington at 57%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
Iowa Hawkeyes 41, Washington Huskies 24
Iowa Hawkeyes won by 17.
- Against the closing spread (Washington Huskies -3): Iowa Hawkeyes covered.
- Combined score 65 vs the closing total of 40.5: Over.
- Iowa Hawkeyes closed at +123 on the moneyline (a 43% no-vig market-implied chance).
Before the game: market and G&W
From open to close the market moved 4 points toward Washington Huskies.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Iowa Hawkeyes 43%, Washington Huskies 57%) and moving with every snap until the final.
Biggest swings
- Q1 11:07 — Washington Huskies ball, 3rd & 5 at WASH 24Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. sacked for loss of 9 yards to the WASH15 (#46 P.Ries)Iowa Hawkeyes 49% → 54% (+5 pts) · Drive 2 in Drive X-Ray
- Q1 8:51 — Iowa Hawkeyes ball, 3rd & 3 at WASH 42Shotgun #10 J.Hecklinski pass complete deep right to #2 R.Vander Zee caught at WASH12, for 30 yards to the WASH12, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNIowa Hawkeyes 54% → 61% (+7 pts) · Drive 3 in Drive X-Ray
- Q1 1:55 — Washington Huskies ball, 2nd & 8 at WASH 29Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. sacked for loss of 9 yards to the WASH20 (#33 C.Buffington)Iowa Hawkeyes 57% → 62% (+6 pts) · Drive 6 in Drive X-Ray
- Q1 0:10 — Iowa Hawkeyes ball, 1st & 10 at IOWA 44Shotgun #28 K.Moulton rush middle for 56 yards gain to the WASH00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:10, 1ST DOWN #92 C.Buhr kick attempt good (H: #35 T.Philpott, LS: #69 I.Spe…Iowa Hawkeyes 65% → 75% (+11 pts) · Drive 7 in Drive X-Ray
Game DNA
| Iowa | Points added | Washington |
|---|---|---|
| +0.6 | Passingdropbacks | +1.9 |
| +6.6 | Rushingdesigned runs | -2.7 |
| +13.2 | Explosive plays6 plays · 4 plays | +6.5 |
| +0.0 | Turnovers0 giveaways · 0 giveaways | +0.0 |
| +1.3 | Special teamskicks, punts and returns | +4.9 |
| -3.0 | Penaltiespre-snap and dead-ball | +0.7 |
| +2.5 | Red zoneTDs on trips: 3 of 4 · 3 of 4 | +5.2 |
| +21.1 | All plays | +16.4 |
The biggest single gap: rushing, worth about 9.4 points to Iowa Hawkeyes. The final margin was 17.
Points added: what each team's plays added to its expected points, credited to the team with the ball. Each play counts once.
The official play, graded
The official play on this game, at the price it was sent, graded against the final score.
Every official play is logged and graded, wins and losses alike. Full track record.
Line review
Washington Huskies closed as the market favourite at 57% and lost.
The line moved toward Washington Huskies before kickoff, and they lost.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Iowa +1.5 (-104)
Iowa +3 (-115)
Washington -125 53%
Washington -152 57%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Attempts124
- Completion %62.9%112th
- Passing yards832161st
- Yards per attempt6.7175th
- TD–INT5–1
- Rushing yards31177th
- Season line50 carries, 311 yds, 2 TD
- Receiving yards30677th
- Season line25 catches, 306 yds, 1 TD
- Tackles4416th
- Attempts163
- Completion %67.5%51st
- Passing yards1,32744th
- Yards per attempt8.179th
- TD–INT8–3
- Rushing yards215169th
- Season line41 carries, 215 yds
- Receiving yards33857th
- Season line35 catches, 338 yds, 1 TD
- Tackles32133rd
Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 255 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured October 7, 5:35 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.
Success by situation
| Situation | Iowa | Washington |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateIowa offense vs Washington defense | 36.2%130th | 39.4%25th |
| Early-down success rateWashington offense vs Iowa defense | 48.8%119th | 42.2%76th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateIowa offense vs Washington defense | 42.6%57th | 30.8%14th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateWashington offense vs Iowa defense | 36.2%40th | 25.0%129th |
| Explosive play rateIowa offense vs Washington defense | 4.3%123rd | 4.9%20th |
| Explosive play rateWashington offense vs Iowa defense | 6.5%63rd | 5.3%104th |
| Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks | 58.3%13th-highest | 57.8%15th-highest |
On 3rd down Iowa converts 42.6% (57th) against a Washington defense allowing 30.8% (14th).
On 3rd down Washington converts 25.0% (129th) against a Iowa defense allowing 36.2% (40th).
2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.
Coaching staff
| Staff | Iowa | Washington |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Kirk Ferentz | Jedd Fisch |
| Tenureat this school | 28th season | 3rd season |
| Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below | 217–129 | 18–13 |
| Career recordas an FBS head coach | 217–129 | 35–35 |
| Offensive coordinator | Tim Lester | Jedd Fisch |
| Defensive coordinator | Phil Parker | Ryan Walters |
Staff list as of October 6, 6:50 a.m. ET.
Head-to-head
The teams have met 1 time since 2021: Iowa won 1 and Washington 0.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2024 | Washington 16, Iowa 40 Iowa won |
Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.
Teams
Iowa Hawkeyes
- Iowa Hawkeyes team stats
- Wisconsin Badgers at Iowa Hawkeyes (Oct 31)
- Iowa Hawkeyes 10, Minnesota Golden Gophers 13 (Oct 24)
- Ohio State Buckeyes 31, Iowa Hawkeyes 14 (Oct 3)
Washington Huskies
- Washington Huskies team stats
- Washington Huskies at Nebraska Cornhuskers (Oct 31)
- Washington Huskies 38, Purdue Boilermakers 26 (Oct 16)
- Washington Huskies 21, USC Trojans 25 (Oct 3)
Gridiron & Wine graded a pick on this game: see the archived pick.
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