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NCAAF · October 31, 2026

Purdue Boilermakers vs Penn State Nittany Lions Preview & Odds — October 31, 2026

Purdue Boilermakers

2-4

Quarterback Ryan Browne

Penn State Nittany Lions

3-4

Quarterback Rocco Becht

Saturday, October 31 · 4:15 PM ET

PUROffense2026 regular season to datePSU

59th+0.082

EPA/play

+0.05571st

69th47.1%

Success %

48.2%55th

47th29.2

PPG

28.751st

PURDefensePSU

130th+0.263

EPA/play allowed

+0.03961st

119th51.0%

Success % allowed

46.3%62nd

119th34.5

Opp PPG

18.925th

PURRecent formPSU

L@ UCLA 38-52Lvs Notre Dame 10-49W@ Illinois 24-17Wvs Minnesota 41-13Lvs Washington 26-38

Resultsoldest to newest

Wvs Buffalo 55-13Lvs Wisconsin 20-24L@ Northwestern 13-34Lvs USC 23-31L@ Michigan 18-21

3-4

Record

3-4

ATS

3-4

6-1

Over–under

2-4-1

PURHome and roadseason to datePSU

2-3

Home record

2-2

1-1

Road record

1-2

2-3

Home ATS

2-2

1-1

Road ATS

1-2

5-0

Home O/U

2-2

1-1

Road O/U

0-2-1

PURLast 10 gamesPSU

Game by game

3-4

Last 7

3-4

-7

Net points

+69

Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)

Rest & travelrest and travel

PURRest & travelPSU

15 days

Days of rest

14 days

476 mi766 km

Travel to the game

Home

Venue

Beaver Stadium

About these numbers

2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.

Margin of each of the last 7 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.

Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.

Matchup preview

Purdue (2-4) visits Penn State (3-4) on Saturday, October 31 at 4:15 PM ET.

Purdue has the 59th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 130th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Penn State has the 71st-ranked offense and the 61st-ranked defense. When Purdue has the ball, a 59th-ranked offense (+0.082 EPA per play) meets a 61st-ranked defense (+0.039 allowed); when Penn State has it, a 71st-ranked offense (+0.055) meets a 130th-ranked defense (+0.263 allowed).

By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Purdue offense is at 47.1% (69th) and the Penn State offense at 48.2% (55th). Purdue scores 29.2 points per game (47th) and allows 34.5 (119th); Penn State scores 28.7 (51st) and allows 18.9 (25th).

Purdue is 3-4 and 3-4 against the spread; its last game was a 38-26 loss to Washington. Penn State is 3-4 and 3-4 against the spread; its last game was a 21-18 loss to Michigan.

Penn State is a 7.5-point favorite at home against Purdue. The spread has not moved since it opened. The total is 54.5, up from 52 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Purdue +240, Penn State -310) prices Purdue at 28% and Penn State at 72%.

Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.

Market

Odds and line movement

Spreadno move

OpenPenn State -7.5 (-110)
Purdue +7.5 (-110)

NowPenn State -7.5 (-112)
Purdue +7.5 (-108)

Totalup 2.5

Open52 (o -110 / u -110)

Now54.5 (o -111 / u -108)

Moneyline

OpenPurdue +252 27%
Penn State -320 73%

NowPurdue +240 28%
Penn State -310 72%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Best available prices on Oct 28

Purdue +7.5+100ProphetX
Penn State -7.5-105theScore Bet
Over 54.5-102Novig
Under 54.5-105DraftKings
Purdue+277Novig
Penn State-275theScore Bet

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score

Spread

Total

Win %

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Matchup

Players to watch

Purdue

QB · Ryan Browne

Attempts221
Completion %65.6%69th
Passing yards1,82248th
Yards per attempt8.259th
TD–INT10–3

Leading rusher (RB) · Fame Ijeboi

Rushing yards56845th
Season line130 carries, 568 yds, 9 TD

Leading receiver (WR) · Asaad Waseem

Receiving yards58830th
Season line38 catches, 588 yds, 1 TD

Leading tackler (LB) · Jojo Hayden

Tackles48158th

Penn State

QB · Rocco Becht

Attempts210
Completion %62.9%107th
Passing yards1,66468th
Yards per attempt7.980th
TD–INT12–5

Leading rusher (RB) · Carson Hansen

Rushing yards278217th
Season line72 carries, 278 yds, 4 TD

Leading receiver (WR) · Chase Sowell

Receiving yards51049th
Season line34 catches, 510 yds, 3 TD

Leading tackler (LB) · Tony Rojas

Tackles5579th

Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured October 28, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.

Success by situation

Situation	Purdue	Penn State
Early-down success ratePurdue offense vs Penn State defense	43.2%70th	42.5%60th
Early-down success ratePenn State offense vs Purdue defense	45.6%105th	46.8%21st
3rd-down conversion ratePurdue offense vs Penn State defense	41.2%60th	35.1%30th
3rd-down conversion ratePenn State offense vs Purdue defense	52.5%135th	34.6%106th
Explosive play ratePurdue offense vs Penn State defense	7.1%51st	7.0%78th
Explosive play ratePenn State offense vs Purdue defense	9.8%133rd	6.8%69th
Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks	52.5%52nd-highest	53.5%42nd-highest

On 3rd down Purdue converts 41.2% (60th) against a Penn State defense allowing 35.1% (30th).

On 3rd down Penn State converts 34.6% (106th) against a Purdue defense allowing 52.5% (135th).

2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.

Coaching staff

Staff	Purdue	Penn State
Head coach	Barry Odom	Matt Campbell
Tenureat this school	2nd season	1st season
Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below	5–14	3–4
Career recordas an FBS head coach	49–47	110–74
Offensive coordinator	Josh Henson	Taylor Mouser
Defensive coordinator	Kevin Kane	D'Anton Lynn

Staff list as of October 27, 6:50 a.m. ET.

Head-to-head

The teams have met 2 times since 2021: Purdue won 0 and Penn State 2.

Date	Score	Line	Total
Nov 16, 2024	Penn State 49, Purdue 10 Penn State won
Sep 1, 2022	Penn State 35, Purdue 31 Penn State won

Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.

Result

After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.

Teams