Appalachian State Mountaineers vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers Final — October 16, 2026
APPOffense2026 regular season to dateCCU
APPDefenseCCUAPPRecent formCCUAPPHome and roadseason to dateCCUAPPLast 10 gamesCCURest & travelrest and travel
APPRest & travelCCUAbout these numbers
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Margin of each of the last 6 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
The pre-game matchup
App State (2-2) visited Coastal Carolina (1-4) on Friday, October 16 at 8:00 PM ET.
App State has the 112th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 83rd-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Coastal Carolina has the 71st-ranked offense and the 104th-ranked defense. When App State has the ball, a 112th-ranked offense (−0.059 EPA per play) meets a 104th-ranked defense (+0.158 allowed); when Coastal Carolina has it, a 71st-ranked offense (+0.055) meets a 83rd-ranked defense (+0.093 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the App State offense is at 44.5% (87th) and the Coastal Carolina offense at 43.2% (102nd). App State scores 21.8 points per game (93rd) and allows 24.0 (55th); Coastal Carolina scores 21.2 (98th) and allows 27.8 (80th).
App State is 3-2 and 3-2 against the spread; its last game was a 10-3 loss to Old Dominion. Coastal Carolina is 2-4 and 3-3 against the spread; its last game was a 27-21 win over Marshall.
App State closed as a 1.5-point road favorite, with Coastal Carolina getting the points at home. The spread closed where it opened. The total closed at 48.5, down from 53.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (App State -113, Coastal Carolina -106) prices App State at 51% and Coastal Carolina at 49%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
Appalachian State Mountaineers 35, Coastal Carolina Chanticleers 32
Appalachian State Mountaineers won by 3.
- Against the closing spread (Coastal Carolina Chanticleers +1.5): Appalachian State Mountaineers covered.
- Combined score 67 vs the closing total of 48.5: Over.
- Appalachian State Mountaineers closed at -113 on the moneyline (a 51% no-vig market-implied chance).
Before the game: market and G&W
From open to close the market moved 2 points toward Coastal Carolina Chanticleers.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Appalachian State Mountaineers 51%, Coastal Carolina Chanticleers 49%) and moving with every snap until the final.
Biggest swings
- Q1 4:26 — Appalachian State Mountaineers ball, 3rd & 6 at APP 48No Huddle-Shotgun #3 M.Singleton pass complete deep right to #1 N.Branch caught at CCU25, for 45 yards to the CCU07 (#25 B.Rose), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY CCU Offside d…Appalachian State Mountaineers 55% → 66% (+11 pts) · Drive 4 in Drive X-Ray
- Q2 11:47 — Coastal Carolina Chanticleers ball, 1st & 10 at CCU 29No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Bailey pass complete deep middle to #1 R.Washington caught at APP33, for 71 yards to the APP00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:47, 1ST DOWN #30 N.Cava…Coastal Carolina Chanticleers 30% → 45% (+15 pts) · Drive 7 in Drive X-Ray
- Q3 7:59 — Appalachian State Mountaineers ball, 2nd & 8 at CCU 12No Huddle-Shotgun #5 J.Lewis rush middle for 12 yards gain to the CCU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:59, 1ST DOWN #83 J.London kick attempt good (H: #40 J.Dunn, LS: #34 P…Appalachian State Mountaineers 27% → 36% (+10 pts) · Drive 14 in Drive X-Ray
- Q4 3:40 — Coastal Carolina Chanticleers ball, 2nd & 8 at APP 31No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Bailey pass complete deep left to #33 Z.Courtney caught at APP10, for 29 yards to the APP02 (#25 K.Purdy), 1ST DOWNCoastal Carolina Chanticleers 8% → 19% (+11 pts) · Drive 21 in Drive X-Ray
- Q4 0:28 — Appalachian State Mountaineers ball, 2nd & 14 at CCU 41Kneel down by #8 H.Hasselbeck at CCU43 for loss of 2 yardsAppalachian State Mountaineers 90% → 100% (+10 pts) · Drive 22 in Drive X-Ray
Appalachian State Mountaineers won after falling as low as 18% (Q3 12:30).
Game DNA
| App State | Points added | Coastal Carolina |
|---|---|---|
| -5.7 | Passingdropbacks | -5.3 |
| +4.9 | Rushingdesigned runs | +2.0 |
| +15.6 | Explosive plays6 plays · 6 plays | +18.3 |
| -2.2 | Turnovers1 giveaways · 1 giveaways | -4.8 |
| -1.3 | Special teamskicks, punts and returns | +1.6 |
| -0.8 | Penaltiespre-snap and dead-ball | -0.3 |
| +12.5 | Red zoneTDs on trips: 4 of 4 · 2 of 2 | +1.2 |
| +23.2 | All plays | +12.8 |
The biggest single gap: red zone, worth about 11.3 points to Appalachian State Mountaineers. The final margin was 3.
Points added: what each team's plays added to its expected points, credited to the team with the ball. Each play counts once.
The official play, graded
The official play on this game, at the price it was sent, graded against the final score.
Every official play is logged and graded, wins and losses alike. Full track record.
Line review
Appalachian State Mountaineers closed as the market favourite at 51% and won.
The line moved toward Coastal Carolina Chanticleers before kickoff, and they lost.
Market
Closing line and line movement
App State -1.5 (-112)
App State -1.5 (-105)
Coastal Carolina +104 47%
Coastal Carolina -106 49%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Attempts155
- Completion %65.2%77th
- Passing yards1,27888th
- Yards per attempt8.268th
- TD–INT7–2
- Rushing yards261159th
- Season line57 carries, 261 yds, 4 TD
- Receiving yards33394th
- Season line21 catches, 333 yds, 3 TD
- Tackles35188th
- Attempts173
- Completion %53.8%226th
- Passing yards1,34076th
- Yards per attempt7.8101st
- TD–INT13–3
- Rushing yards36275th
- Season line62 carries, 362 yds, 3 TD
- Receiving yards231211th
- Season line13 catches, 231 yds, 3 TD
- Tackles5510th
Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 259 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured October 14, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.
Success by situation
| Situation | App State | Coastal Carolina |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateApp State offense vs Coastal Carolina defense | 41.3%86th | 45.0%89th |
| Early-down success rateCoastal Carolina offense vs App State defense | 42.9%62nd | 40.9%94th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateApp State offense vs Coastal Carolina defense | 35.1%98th | 48.4%117th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateCoastal Carolina offense vs App State defense | 35.0%37th | 31.7%115th |
| Explosive play rateApp State offense vs Coastal Carolina defense | 6.5%73rd | 7.9%103rd |
| Explosive play rateCoastal Carolina offense vs App State defense | 3.5%4th | 6.1%88th |
| Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks | 54.6%33rd-highest | 50.5%73rd-highest |
On 3rd down App State converts 35.1% (98th) against a Coastal Carolina defense allowing 48.4% (117th).
On 3rd down Coastal Carolina converts 31.7% (115th) against a App State defense allowing 35.0% (37th).
2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.
Coaching staff
| Staff | App State | Coastal Carolina |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Dowell Loggains | Ryan Beard |
| Tenureat this school | 2nd season | 1st season |
| Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below | 8–10 | 2–4 |
| Career recordas an FBS head coach | 8–10 | 9–9 |
| Offensive coordinator | Mike Anthony | Nick Petrino |
| Defensive coordinator | D. J. Smith | LD Scott |
Staff list as of October 13, 6:50 a.m. ET.
Head-to-head
The teams have met 5 times since 2021: App State won 1 and Coastal Carolina 4.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | Coastal Carolina 45, App State 37 Coastal Carolina won | ||
| Nov 7, 2024 | App State 24, Coastal Carolina 38 Coastal Carolina won | ||
| Oct 10, 2023 | Coastal Carolina 27, App State 24 Coastal Carolina won | ||
| Nov 3, 2022 | App State 28, Coastal Carolina 35 Coastal Carolina won | ||
| Oct 20, 2021 | Coastal Carolina 27, App State 30 App State won |
Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.
Teams
Appalachian State Mountaineers
- Appalachian State Mountaineers at Georgia Southern Eagles (Oct 31)
- James Madison Dukes 31, Appalachian State Mountaineers 34 (Oct 22)
- Old Dominion Monarchs 10, Appalachian State Mountaineers 3 (Oct 10)
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
- Coastal Carolina Chanticleers team stats
- Coastal Carolina Chanticleers at Georgia State Panthers (Oct 31)
- Coastal Carolina Chanticleers 27, Marshall Thundering Herd 21 (Oct 10)
- Georgia Southern Eagles 31, Coastal Carolina Chanticleers 24 (Oct 3)
Gridiron & Wine graded a pick on this game: see the archived pick.
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