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NCAAF · October 28, 2026

Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs New Mexico State Aggies Preview & Odds — October 28, 2026

Jacksonville State Gamecocks

4-2

Quarterback Caden Creel

New Mexico State Aggies

2-4

Quarterback Adam Damante

Wednesday, October 28 · 8:00 PM ET

JXSTOffense2026 regular season to dateNMSU

41st+0.147

EPA/play

−0.130130th

10th52.9%

Success %

40.2%131st

85th23.7

PPG

20.2110th

JXSTDefenseNMSU

80th+0.097

EPA/play allowed

−0.08316th

79th47.6%

Success % allowed

42.7%22nd

66th25.3

Opp PPG

27.379th

JXSTRecent formNMSU

L@ Ohio 27-29Wvs Georgia Southern 31-27Wvs Middle Tennessee 23-13W@ Kennesaw State 27-26Wvs Florida International 27-24

Resultsoldest to newest

L@ Hawai'i 19-29Lvs New Mexico 18-42Wvs Western Kentucky 34-13L@ Florida International 3-22W@ Sam Houston 30-24

5-2

Record

3-4

JXSTHome and roadseason to dateNMSU

4-0

Home record

2-1

1-2

Road record

1-3

JXSTLast 10 gamesNMSU

Game by game

5-2

Last 7

3-4

+32

Net points

-6

Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)

Rest & travelrest and travel

JXSTRest & travelNMSU

15 days

Days of rest

7 days

1,217 mi1,959 km

Travel to the game

Home

−1 hclock change vs home

Time-zone change

Home

Venue

Aggie Memorial Stadium

About these numbers

2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.

Margin of each of the last 7 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.

Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.

Matchup preview

Jacksonville State (4-2) visits New Mexico State (2-4) on Wednesday, October 28 at 8:00 PM ET.

Jacksonville State has the 41st-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 80th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, New Mexico State has the 130th-ranked offense and the 16th-ranked defense. When Jacksonville State has the ball, a 41st-ranked offense (+0.147 EPA per play) meets a 16th-ranked defense (−0.083 allowed); when New Mexico State has it, a 130th-ranked offense (−0.130) meets a 80th-ranked defense (+0.097 allowed).

By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Jacksonville State offense is at 52.9% (10th) and the New Mexico State offense at 40.2% (131st). Jacksonville State scores 23.7 points per game (85th) and allows 25.3 (66th); New Mexico State scores 20.2 (110th) and allows 27.3 (79th).

Jacksonville State is 5-2; its last game was a 27-24 win over Florida International. New Mexico State is 3-4; its last game was a 30-24 win over Sam Houston.

Jacksonville State is a 3.5-point road favorite, with New Mexico State getting the points at home. The spread opened at Jacksonville State -3. The total is 49.5, down from 50.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Jacksonville State -160, New Mexico State +135) prices Jacksonville State at 59% and New Mexico State at 41%.

Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.

Market

Odds and line movement

Spreadmoved 0.5

OpenNew Mexico State +3 (-110)
Jacksonville State -3 (-110)

NowNew Mexico State +3.5 (-114)
Jacksonville State -3.5 (-106)

Totaldown 1

Open50.5 (o -110 / u -110)

Now49.5 (o -110 / u -110)

Moneyline

OpenJacksonville State -144 57%
New Mexico State +121 43%

NowJacksonville State -160 59%
New Mexico State +135 41%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Best available prices on Oct 28

Jacksonville State -3.5+108Novig
New Mexico State +3.5-110Hard Rock
Over 49.5-102Novig
Under 49.5+100Novig
Jacksonville State-150Novig
New Mexico State+145theScore Bet

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score

Spread

Total

Win %

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Matchup

Players to watch

Jacksonville State

QB · Caden Creel

Attempts192
Completion %67.2%39th
Passing yards1,63774th
Yards per attempt8.543rd
TD–INT12–6

Leading rusher (QB) · Caden Creel

Rushing yards50065th
Season line105 carries, 500 yds, 4 TD

Leading receiver (WR) · Deondre Johnson

Receiving yards43186th
Season line22 catches, 431 yds, 3 TD

Leading tackler (S) · Caleb Nix

Tackles43242nd

New Mexico State

QB · Adam Damante

Attempts88
Completion %61.4%
Passing yards518
Yards per attempt5.9
TD–INT5–3

Leading rusher (RB) · James Jones

Rushing yards77714th
Season line119 carries, 777 yds, 4 TD

Leading receiver (WR) · TK King

Receiving yards307200th
Season line23 catches, 307 yds, 3 TD

Leading tackler (S) · Nick Session

Tackles52112th

Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured October 28, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.

Success by situation

Situation	Jacksonville State	New Mexico State
Early-down success rateJacksonville State offense vs New Mexico State defense	46.1%32nd	38.7%16th
Early-down success rateNew Mexico State offense vs Jacksonville State defense	42.0%50th	36.1%133rd
3rd-down conversion rateJacksonville State offense vs New Mexico State defense	41.8%55th	40.7%73rd
3rd-down conversion rateNew Mexico State offense vs Jacksonville State defense	50.0%126th	34.2%108th
Explosive play rateJacksonville State offense vs New Mexico State defense	6.3%86th	6.6%68th
Explosive play rateNew Mexico State offense vs Jacksonville State defense	4.4%11th	6.9%62nd
Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks	46.3%103rd-highest	54.1%34th-highest

On 3rd down Jacksonville State converts 41.8% (55th) against a New Mexico State defense allowing 40.7% (73rd).

On 3rd down New Mexico State converts 34.2% (108th) against a Jacksonville State defense allowing 50.0% (126th).

2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.

Coaching staff

Staff	Jacksonville State	New Mexico State
Head coach	Charles Kelly	Tony Sanchez
Tenureat this school	2nd season	3rd season
Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below	14–7	10–21
Career recordas an FBS head coach	14–7	30–61
Offensive coordinator	Taylor Housewright	David Yost
Defensive coordinator	Brian Williams	Joe Morris

Staff list as of October 27, 6:50 a.m. ET.

Head-to-head

The teams have met 2 times since 2021: Jacksonville State won 1 and New Mexico State 1.

Date	Score	Line	Total
Oct 9, 2024	New Mexico State 13, Jacksonville State 54 Jacksonville State won
Nov 25, 2023	Jacksonville State 17, New Mexico State 20 New Mexico State won

Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.

Result

After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.

Teams